Posted on 05/19/2022 2:49:45 PM PDT by texas booster
“Author makes the point that all of the “traditional” amphibious capability possessed by China does not equal the effort put forth by the Allies in assaulting Sicily.”
Only a small number of Chinese know what they actually have.
Taiwan also has a huge number of “fifth columnists” on the Island. Russia had very few if any in Ukraine as all the pro Russians had concentrated in the Donbas.
Taiwan has had plenty of time to scope out likely amphibious landing areas and set up fields of fire. Just hope they actually did that
Of course, it would be an act of war. The point is that it is a far less risky military operation than an amphibious invasion and just as likely to be decisive.
The diplomatic and economic fallout would be similar, probably, or maybe less, if there are no large casualties or bombardments of civilians, etc. A blockade would be less likely to involve these politically inconvenient things. If a cruise ship were to get sunk that would be another story.
“the PLA lacks the necessary power projection and sustainment capability and capacity to execute an opposed occupation of a densely urbanized island”
I’ve been saying that for years on this site.
But dumbasses keep disagreeing.
“The point is that it is a far less risky military operation than an amphibious invasion and just as likely to be decisive.”
And that likelihood is damn near nil.
Because China would not fire on a US and/or Japanese relief convoy. This because thy KNOW they would be starting a fight they would lose badly.
Yes.
If ChiComs do something they think they can shoot missiles to make Taiwan accept a1C2S deal, which is ludicrous.
But they feel they will have support from certain elements in Taiwan and from the U.S..
However, China has one big advantage...President Biden. From the disaster in the Afghanistan withdrawal it is obvious that Biden will not act decisively and will go into hiding until the ruling cabal loads his teleprompter. China will have free hand to invade and fear few consequences from the US as longer as Dementia Joe is Commander in Chief.
“the PLA lacks the necessary power projection and sustainment capability and capacity to execute an opposed occupation of a densely urbanized island”
I’ve been saying that for years on this site.
But dumbasses keep disagreeing.
Operation Sea Lion is a more apt comparison than Sicily (Operation Husky). China is in much the same situation as Germany was. No experience in amphibious operations, and few, if any amphibious shipping, and no air superiority.
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