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Another Coronavirus Variant: Are We Overreacting to Omicron?
NOQ Report ^ | 11/27/2021 | Paul Elias Alexander, Ph.D.

Posted on 11/27/2021 11:10:18 AM PST by SeekAndFind

With natural exposure immunity and early outpatient treatment and when combined with no reports of increased lethality, the WHO’s reaction of generating panic toward “Omicron” is causing needless fear and panic. So too with the Biden administration’s newly imposed travel restrictions, which will achieve nothing and will once again disrupt trade and violate human rights.

The WHO has said that the Omicron variant can spread more quickly than other variants. Likely true. The virus is behaving just like how viruses behave. They are mutable and mutate and via Muller’s ratchet, we expect this to be milder and milder mutations and not more lethal ones given the pathogen seeks to infect the host and not arrive at an evolutionary dead-end.

The virus will mutate downward so that it can use the host (us) to propagate itself via our cellular metabolic machinery. The Delta has shown us this: it is very infectious and mostly non-lethal. Especially for children and healthy people. So is the WHO panicking the globe needlessly? Is this Covid-19 February 2020 once again?

The problem with South Africa as is with Australia and New Zealand and even island nations like Trinidad is that it has low natural immunity to SAR-Cov-2. This is because, as we witnessed over the last year and more, if you lock down your society too long and too hard, you deny the nation and population from inching closer to population-level herd immunity. And you have no economy or society from which to reemerge. You devastate your society for a pathogen that is largely harmless to the vast majority of people, especially children.

Moreover, governments asked us for two weeks to flatten the curve to help prepare hospitals so that they can tend to surges and other non-Covid illnesses. We as societies gave our governments 2 weeks, not 21 months. They failed to tend to the non-Covid illnesses and we locked down the healthy and well (children and young and middle aged healthy persons) while failing to properly protect the vulnerable and high-risk persons such as the elderly. We failed and it was like killing fields in our nursing homes.

This failure rests on public health messaging and government. Additionally, what did our governments in the US, Canada, UK, Australia etc. do with the tax money for the hospitals and PPE etc.? Hospitals must be prepared by now. Governments have failed! Not the people. The Task Forces have failed, not the people.

These nations thought that they could stay locked down and wait for a vaccine. This is a reasonable view though I was against lockdowns as they would and did cause crushing harms on especially poor persons and children. The problem is there was an opportunity cost because the vaccine we were waiting on was sub-optimally developed without the proper safety testing or assessment of effectiveness.

We have data that the Pfizer vaccine loses 40% of antibodies per month, meaning in 3 months post-shot, you have low effective vaccinal immunity. We see it clearly playing out now whereby you got to tamp down spread with the draconian lockdowns, but you did it at the cost of natural immunity. That is the opportunity cost. So we spent on getting the vaccine and it cost us natural immunity and thus herd immunity.

For example, the vaccine has failed to stop infection and spread against Delta. We have research findings by Singanayagam et al. (fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts), by Chau et al. (viral loads of breakthrough Delta variant infection cases in vaccinated nurses were 251 times higher than those of cases infected with prior strains early 2020), and by Riemersma et al. (no difference in viral loads when comparing unvaccinated individuals to those who have vaccine “breakthrough” infections and if vaccinated individuals become infected with the delta variant, they may be sources of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to others) that reveal the vaccines have very suboptimal efficacy.

This situation of the vaccinated being infectious and transmitting the virus has also emerged in seminal nosocomial outbreak papers by Chau et al. (HCWs in Vietnam), the Finland hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients), and the Israel hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients). These studies have also revealed that the PPE and masking were essentially ineffective within the healthcare setting. All of the HCWs were double-vaccinated yet there was extensive spread to themselves and their patients.

In addition, Nordström et al. (vaccine effectiveness of Pfizer against infection waned progressively from 92% day 15-30 to 47% day 121-180, and from day 211 and onwards no effectiveness), Suthar et al. (a substantial waning of antibody responses and T cell immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and its variants, at 6 months following the second immunization), Yahi et al. (with Delta variant, neutralizing antibodies have a decreased affinity for the spike protein, whereas facilitating antibodies display a strikingly increased affinity), Juthani et al. (higher numbers of patients with severe or critical illness in those who received the Pfizer vaccine), Gazit et al. (SARS-CoV-2-naïve vaccinees had a 13-fold increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant, and substantially elevated risk of symptomatic Covid and hospitalization), and Acharya et al. (no significant difference in cycle threshold values between vaccinated and unvaccinated, asymptomatic and symptomatic groups infected with Delta) collectively reveal the poor efficacy and even negative efficacy of the Covid vaccines. Levine-Tiefenbrun et al. reports that the viral load reduction effectiveness declines with time after vaccination, “significantly decreasing at 3 months after vaccination and effectively vanishing after about 6 months.”

As an example, the Swedish study (retrospective with 842,974 pairs (N=1,684,958) is particularly alarming for it shows that while the vaccine provides temporary protection against infection, the efficacy declines below zero and then to negative efficacy territory at approximately 7 months, underscoring that the vaccinated are highly susceptible to infection and eventually become highly infected (more so than the unvaccinated). A further example emerges from Ireland whereby reporting suggests that the Waterford city district has the State’s highest rate of Covid-19 infections, while the county also boasts the highest rate of vaccination in the Republic (99.7% vaccinated). Reports are that the U.S. Covid-19 deaths for 2021 surpassed the deaths from 2020, leading some to state that “more people have died from COVID-19 in 2021, with most adults vaccinated and nearly all seniors), than in 2020 when nobody was vaccinated.”

Thus these nations that locked down and stayed that way are in a quandary for they do not know what to do now. If you open you will get surges in infection. Where is the money that was to go to hospital preparation? Did governments embezzle and steal and misappropriate the money for the hospitals remain still not prepared?

We have a lot of natural immunity in the US, e.g. near 65-70% of the population. The open states (those that did not lock down too long and too hard and opened quickly) will likely do very well with this Omicron or any new variant. This also is the power of natural immunity.

And we need not forget the potency of the overlooked ‘innate’ immunity with the innate antibodies and innate natural killer cellular compartment. This innate response is particularly potent in children (our first line of defense against pathogens) and is what has spared children from Covid and how children typically stave off pathogens, especially young children still laying down immunological memory.

Moreover, there is no reporting of increased virulence/lethality of this new Omicron variant. As yet this will remain the case based on Delta and prior variants. There are no guarantees but we operate based on risk and all things point to the same for this new variant.

Just because there is a wave in SA does not mean that there will be waves in the US or Israel or other places with greater natural immunity. This was the prize of letting people enjoy day-to-day living. The nations that have ended lockdowns are likely to move past this new variant scare, and be fine. This is more of an overreaction by the WHO and governments and much ado about nothing.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anthonyfauci; coronavirus; covid; covidstooges; obamacare; omicron; vaccinemandates; variant
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To: All

It is a manufactured, artificial virus.

Say that over and over again.

This undercuts all thoughts like “natural immunity” because the virus is not natural.

The idea of Omicron, and really all the other variants, is you can examine the details of the mutations. This is how vaccines are produced. And it’s not all that difficult. Many countries have made their own vaccines. Knowing the mutations also allows one to predict what happens in a population. You don’t have to wait for death statistics. You can see in the mutation profile what the virus is going to do in a population.

The Health Depts all over the world, nearly all with zero interest in US politics, looked at the mutation profile and announced this is a serious issue, because they know what those mutations will do in a population.

How serious is it? It’s as serious as the mutation profile says it will be.


21 posted on 11/27/2021 11:47:22 AM PST by Owen
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To: SeekAndFind

Not when there are billions more to be made with more vaccines.
Of course there are cheap therapeutics available but nobody gets rich over those,so they are banned


22 posted on 11/27/2021 11:47:42 AM PST by ballplayer
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To: SeekAndFind

Omicron means more Democrat 2022 election fraud, so the Dems/Deep State will hammer on Omicron and the next CCP-PLA Covids that come along.
BUT let’s keep Omicron in perspective. It has all of Europe in a panic. Probably Japan and Korea too, and the Dems don’t run these countries. Include crazy Australia and New Zealand. They are in perpetual Covid panic, with or without Omicron.

All developed nations are spending billions and trillions on their Covid hypochondria. And you wondered why the Egyptians blew so much of their resources building pyramids/burial chambers for their foremost useless eaters. Their Kings and top rank nobility. All due to crap religious myths.

Summary — Modern atheist, godless man has his own garbage religious myths, with Covid-XYZ and global warming at the top of the fear, hypochondria and panic list. My personal solution is to keep D3 levels at the max, I do not watch TV. Especially the network news with its loud panicky female voices about 60% of what they cover.

I get plenty of news from FR, Gateway Pundit, Breitbart, the internet and the UK Daily Mail. But minus the brainwashing from getting my news via the boob tube.


23 posted on 11/27/2021 12:19:18 PM PST by dennisw
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South Africa's medical chief says she has only seen "very mild cases" caused by the new COVID mutation, calling it a "storm in a teacup." [45 sec video]
gab.com ^ | Nov 26, 2021 | @PrisonPlanet

Posted on 11/27/2021, 12:46:52 PM by ransomnote

[H/T Melian]

24 posted on 11/27/2021 12:52:15 PM PST by ransomnote (IN GOD WE TRUST)
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To: mosaicwolf

Sounds like the annual flu. Sometimes, we get it sometimes we don’t. Flu shots work sometimes, and sometimes they don’t!

My wife was the head RN in a good size Family Practice group for decades. It was after the Thanks Giving Holidays where college students brought a flu bug to infect family members here. Then, many of previously uninfected ones took back our flu variant they picked up here.

By Christmas, that new virus and its variants were running full blast up and down the West Coast and creating a lot of natural immunity.

People flying in from China,Taiwan, Korea, Japan and other Asia countries were bringing in their version of that year’s flu. They added to our natural immunity library of viruses.


25 posted on 11/27/2021 2:56:03 PM PST by Grampa Dave (Want to make America great again. Stop talking about government reform. Thanks: precisionshootistst)
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To: SeekAndFind

of course we are

fearporn for the holidays


26 posted on 11/27/2021 3:25:33 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: Dilbert San Diego

its not about race. its political.


27 posted on 11/27/2021 4:47:30 PM PST by joshua c (Dump the LEFT. Cable tv, Big tech, national name brands)
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To: SeekAndFind

The virus is real. The other 99% is political.


28 posted on 11/27/2021 6:08:59 PM PST by lurk ( )
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To: SeekAndFind

The virus is real. The other 99% is political.


29 posted on 11/27/2021 6:09:34 PM PST by lurk ( )
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To: Owen

Natural immunity or not, I STILL won’t take the vaccine. Not even after my wife spent 15 days in the ICU with “Delta”. WON’T COMPLY.


30 posted on 11/27/2021 8:21:42 PM PST by backwoods-engineer (But what do I know? I'm just a backwoods engineer.)
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To: SeekAndFind
We are over reacting to just about everything.
31 posted on 11/27/2021 8:24:45 PM PST by Harmless Teddy Bear (add a dab of lavender in milk, leave town with an orange and pretend you're laughing with it)
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