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Another Coronavirus Variant: Are We Overreacting to Omicron?
NOQ Report ^ | 11/27/2021 | Paul Elias Alexander, Ph.D.

Posted on 11/27/2021 11:10:18 AM PST by SeekAndFind

With natural exposure immunity and early outpatient treatment and when combined with no reports of increased lethality, the WHO’s reaction of generating panic toward “Omicron” is causing needless fear and panic. So too with the Biden administration’s newly imposed travel restrictions, which will achieve nothing and will once again disrupt trade and violate human rights.

The WHO has said that the Omicron variant can spread more quickly than other variants. Likely true. The virus is behaving just like how viruses behave. They are mutable and mutate and via Muller’s ratchet, we expect this to be milder and milder mutations and not more lethal ones given the pathogen seeks to infect the host and not arrive at an evolutionary dead-end.

The virus will mutate downward so that it can use the host (us) to propagate itself via our cellular metabolic machinery. The Delta has shown us this: it is very infectious and mostly non-lethal. Especially for children and healthy people. So is the WHO panicking the globe needlessly? Is this Covid-19 February 2020 once again?

The problem with South Africa as is with Australia and New Zealand and even island nations like Trinidad is that it has low natural immunity to SAR-Cov-2. This is because, as we witnessed over the last year and more, if you lock down your society too long and too hard, you deny the nation and population from inching closer to population-level herd immunity. And you have no economy or society from which to reemerge. You devastate your society for a pathogen that is largely harmless to the vast majority of people, especially children.

Moreover, governments asked us for two weeks to flatten the curve to help prepare hospitals so that they can tend to surges and other non-Covid illnesses. We as societies gave our governments 2 weeks, not 21 months. They failed to tend to the non-Covid illnesses and we locked down the healthy and well (children and young and middle aged healthy persons) while failing to properly protect the vulnerable and high-risk persons such as the elderly. We failed and it was like killing fields in our nursing homes.

This failure rests on public health messaging and government. Additionally, what did our governments in the US, Canada, UK, Australia etc. do with the tax money for the hospitals and PPE etc.? Hospitals must be prepared by now. Governments have failed! Not the people. The Task Forces have failed, not the people.

These nations thought that they could stay locked down and wait for a vaccine. This is a reasonable view though I was against lockdowns as they would and did cause crushing harms on especially poor persons and children. The problem is there was an opportunity cost because the vaccine we were waiting on was sub-optimally developed without the proper safety testing or assessment of effectiveness.

We have data that the Pfizer vaccine loses 40% of antibodies per month, meaning in 3 months post-shot, you have low effective vaccinal immunity. We see it clearly playing out now whereby you got to tamp down spread with the draconian lockdowns, but you did it at the cost of natural immunity. That is the opportunity cost. So we spent on getting the vaccine and it cost us natural immunity and thus herd immunity.

For example, the vaccine has failed to stop infection and spread against Delta. We have research findings by Singanayagam et al. (fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts), by Chau et al. (viral loads of breakthrough Delta variant infection cases in vaccinated nurses were 251 times higher than those of cases infected with prior strains early 2020), and by Riemersma et al. (no difference in viral loads when comparing unvaccinated individuals to those who have vaccine “breakthrough” infections and if vaccinated individuals become infected with the delta variant, they may be sources of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to others) that reveal the vaccines have very suboptimal efficacy.

This situation of the vaccinated being infectious and transmitting the virus has also emerged in seminal nosocomial outbreak papers by Chau et al. (HCWs in Vietnam), the Finland hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients), and the Israel hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients). These studies have also revealed that the PPE and masking were essentially ineffective within the healthcare setting. All of the HCWs were double-vaccinated yet there was extensive spread to themselves and their patients.

In addition, Nordström et al. (vaccine effectiveness of Pfizer against infection waned progressively from 92% day 15-30 to 47% day 121-180, and from day 211 and onwards no effectiveness), Suthar et al. (a substantial waning of antibody responses and T cell immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and its variants, at 6 months following the second immunization), Yahi et al. (with Delta variant, neutralizing antibodies have a decreased affinity for the spike protein, whereas facilitating antibodies display a strikingly increased affinity), Juthani et al. (higher numbers of patients with severe or critical illness in those who received the Pfizer vaccine), Gazit et al. (SARS-CoV-2-naïve vaccinees had a 13-fold increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant, and substantially elevated risk of symptomatic Covid and hospitalization), and Acharya et al. (no significant difference in cycle threshold values between vaccinated and unvaccinated, asymptomatic and symptomatic groups infected with Delta) collectively reveal the poor efficacy and even negative efficacy of the Covid vaccines. Levine-Tiefenbrun et al. reports that the viral load reduction effectiveness declines with time after vaccination, “significantly decreasing at 3 months after vaccination and effectively vanishing after about 6 months.”

As an example, the Swedish study (retrospective with 842,974 pairs (N=1,684,958) is particularly alarming for it shows that while the vaccine provides temporary protection against infection, the efficacy declines below zero and then to negative efficacy territory at approximately 7 months, underscoring that the vaccinated are highly susceptible to infection and eventually become highly infected (more so than the unvaccinated). A further example emerges from Ireland whereby reporting suggests that the Waterford city district has the State’s highest rate of Covid-19 infections, while the county also boasts the highest rate of vaccination in the Republic (99.7% vaccinated). Reports are that the U.S. Covid-19 deaths for 2021 surpassed the deaths from 2020, leading some to state that “more people have died from COVID-19 in 2021, with most adults vaccinated and nearly all seniors), than in 2020 when nobody was vaccinated.”

Thus these nations that locked down and stayed that way are in a quandary for they do not know what to do now. If you open you will get surges in infection. Where is the money that was to go to hospital preparation? Did governments embezzle and steal and misappropriate the money for the hospitals remain still not prepared?

We have a lot of natural immunity in the US, e.g. near 65-70% of the population. The open states (those that did not lock down too long and too hard and opened quickly) will likely do very well with this Omicron or any new variant. This also is the power of natural immunity.

And we need not forget the potency of the overlooked ‘innate’ immunity with the innate antibodies and innate natural killer cellular compartment. This innate response is particularly potent in children (our first line of defense against pathogens) and is what has spared children from Covid and how children typically stave off pathogens, especially young children still laying down immunological memory.

Moreover, there is no reporting of increased virulence/lethality of this new Omicron variant. As yet this will remain the case based on Delta and prior variants. There are no guarantees but we operate based on risk and all things point to the same for this new variant.

Just because there is a wave in SA does not mean that there will be waves in the US or Israel or other places with greater natural immunity. This was the prize of letting people enjoy day-to-day living. The nations that have ended lockdowns are likely to move past this new variant scare, and be fine. This is more of an overreaction by the WHO and governments and much ado about nothing.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: anthonyfauci; coronavirus; covid; covidstooges; obamacare; omicron; vaccinemandates; variant
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1 posted on 11/27/2021 11:10:18 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Xi, Zho and FowChee will keep going back to the well as long as we are willing to play.


2 posted on 11/27/2021 11:11:43 AM PST by Howie66 (Let's Go Brandon!!)
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To: SeekAndFind

“We” aren’t but “they” certainly are. To everything CONvid.


3 posted on 11/27/2021 11:13:47 AM PST by rktman (Destroy America from within? Check! WTH? Enlisted USN 1967 to end up with this? 😕)
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To: SeekAndFind
Boy cries "Wolf!"

Again.

Villages still panicking, just like last time. But more seem to have doubt in their eyes. They may be catching on.

4 posted on 11/27/2021 11:14:04 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (Alec Baldwin has killed more people than the Jan 6 protesters. And he will serve less jail time.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Never give up that con.


5 posted on 11/27/2021 11:16:48 AM PST by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong)
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To: SeekAndFind

No, but there’s plenty of time.
The press got away from the Christmas parade killer Darrell awfully fast.


6 posted on 11/27/2021 11:19:07 AM PST by Leep (Save America. Lock down pres. Brandon!)
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To: SeekAndFind

Related Article:

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/scared-nu-world-heres-what-we-know-about-new-covid-strain


7 posted on 11/27/2021 11:19:25 AM PST by SaxxonWoods (Elvis is dead and Joe Biden doesn't feel so good himself.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Sounds like the annual flu. Sometimes we get it sometimes we don’t. Flu shots? Don’t know which variant is active but keep financing Big Pharma and the criminal class in Washington.


8 posted on 11/27/2021 11:20:18 AM PST by mosaicwolf
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To: SeekAndFind

Why isn’t Joe Biden pilloried as a racist and bigot?

Trump was villified as a bigot and racist and xenophobic, for restricting travel from China early on.

Well, now we see Biden restricting travel from black African nations.

If Trump restricting travel from China was racist, isn’t restricting travel from Africa similarly racist?


9 posted on 11/27/2021 11:21:09 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SeekAndFind

Is this pandemic ever going to end?

Or will we always panic at news alerts of yet another variant, and that this new variant is the one that will kill us all?


10 posted on 11/27/2021 11:22:10 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SeekAndFind

Anyone else remember how we were to shut down for two weeks to flatten the curve? Whatever happened to that policy?


11 posted on 11/27/2021 11:22:56 AM PST by Dilbert San Diego
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To: ClearCase_guy

Sure hope the people figure it out by the Omega variant. I would hate to have the watch the medical community struggle with what letter to use next. /s


12 posted on 11/27/2021 11:23:27 AM PST by CatOwner (Don't expect anyone, even conservatives, to have your back when the SHTF in 2021.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Another Coronavirus Variant: Are We Overreacting to Omicron?

Well, "WE" overreacted to the original CCP engineered flu, so how is this any difference.

It's not the Bubonic Plague!

13 posted on 11/27/2021 11:25:50 AM PST by higgmeister ( In the Shadow of The Big Chicken)
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To: higgmeister
SOURCE:

https://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/4016222/posts

See last sentence. It reads:

South Africa’s medical chief Dr. Angelique Coetzee described the panic as a “storm in a teacup,” adding that she had only seen “very very mild cases” of the variant so far.


14 posted on 11/27/2021 11:31:31 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Dilbert San Diego
Is this pandemic ever going to end?

Isn't this what the medico's warned about March 2020? Vaccinating during a pandemic ends up with the virus mutating to evade the vax and causes more shots which then stiffens the viral reaction to the shot even more. Isn't that what they're causing with the now boosters? Brought out the booster and the virus responded with an easier spreading and more resistant to these shots.

15 posted on 11/27/2021 11:32:01 AM PST by redcatcherb412
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To: SeekAndFind

“Yes”


16 posted on 11/27/2021 11:35:12 AM PST by Regulator (It's fraud, Jim)
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To: redcatcherb412

“mutating to evade the vax”

Viruses mutate constantly. Because they do, some variants end up not being affected by an antiviral agent that is too specific.

That means that the original virus ends up dead while it’s mutated offspring are now free to flourish in the host which is part of its lifecycle.

The logic is inexorable, but nothing is happening due to any intentional shape shifting. It’s just an outcome.


17 posted on 11/27/2021 11:38:51 AM PST by Regulator (It's fraud, Jim)
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To: SeekAndFind

The entire point is to have people living in fear so that dictators can have their way with us.


18 posted on 11/27/2021 11:40:09 AM PST by Revel
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To: SeekAndFind

When has a libtard *not* overreacted? 🤪


19 posted on 11/27/2021 11:40:50 AM PST by NWFree (Somebody has to say it)
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To: SeekAndFind
I will not comply even if the next one is Megatron.
20 posted on 11/27/2021 11:43:05 AM PST by Manic_Episode (A government of the government, by the government, for the government)
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