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Democrats could be on the ‘precipice’ of a minority-party era
The Week ^ | Oct 8, 2021 | Brigid Kennedy

Posted on 10/08/2021 6:40:05 PM PDT by 11th_VA

Democrats narrowly control the White House, the Senate, and the House, but President Biden's agenda might still be "in peril," so long as one caucus member has the ability to derail negotiations or initiatives, writes Ezra Klein for The New York Times.

And even worse, Democrats are "on the precipice of an era without any hope of a governing majority" for potentially the next decade, meaning the coming year could be their "last, best chance to alter course," according to pollster and election modeler David Shor. If they otherwise fail, "they will not get another chance. Not anytime soon," Klein writes.

More specifically, Democrats are "screwed" in the Senate, per Shor's projections. But why? Well, should Democrats pull off what would be a "startling performance" and beat Republicans by four points in the midterms, they would still only have a 50 percent chance of holding on to their majority. Worse, if they win just 51 percent of the vote, "they'll likely lose a seat — and the Senate," Klein writes per Shor.

But it's 2024 when things could really get bad — if Democrats win a run-of-the-mill 51 percent of the vote, "Shor's model projects a seven-seat loss, compared with where they are now." In other words, "Senate Democrats could win 51 percent of the two-party vote in the next two elections and end up with only 43 seats in the Senate."

To combat the problem, Democrats need a way forward, and fast. And although there are plenty of forces at play — popularism, polarization, and the fact that "almost all politics is now national" — Klein requests the party start by recognizing itself to be a singular entity, incapable of influencing or winning voters until it understands who it truly is…

(Excerpt) Read more at theweek.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
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Gawd - is it 2024 yet ???
1 posted on 10/08/2021 6:40:05 PM PDT by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA
Sounds like whistling past the graveyard to me.

For one thing they control almost all public institutions and big corporations. Electing more "conservatives" will not fix this.

To say nothing of the assumption that we have free elections.

2 posted on 10/08/2021 6:43:36 PM PDT by Salman (It's not a "slippery slope" if it was part of the program all along. )
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To: 11th_VA

I sincerely hope so!


3 posted on 10/08/2021 6:44:10 PM PDT by Rummyfan (In any war between the civilized man and the savage, support the civilized man. Suppo)
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To: 11th_VA

“Democrats could be on the ‘precipice’ of a minority-party era”

The writer is still thinking that we have free and fair elections. The RAT party has 2 full years to plot how to steal the midterms.


4 posted on 10/08/2021 6:45:22 PM PDT by Brooklyn Attitude (I went to bed on November 3rd 2020 and woke up in 1984.)
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To: 11th_VA

Well it would be new Senators but at 57 Repub and 43 Dem it would be about even Steven if we go by history. Probably 6 or 7 mcCains waiting in the wings.


5 posted on 10/08/2021 6:45:56 PM PDT by taterjay
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To: 11th_VA
To combat the problem, Democrats need a way forward, and fast.

They have already decided their way forward. Institutionalised voter fraud, weaponised Federal agencies against all opposition, and massive enfranchisement of destitute illegals who will vote Democrat in exchange for government handouts.

In fact, it's their ONLY way forward. The mask is off and they know they can't win honestly again. They have to change the rules so they always win.

6 posted on 10/08/2021 6:47:56 PM PDT by Ronin (White privilege is not having to fake your own hate crimes. (HT: CrappieLuck))
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To: 11th_VA

I wonder what they think China is going to do to them when they take over?

Give the medals?


7 posted on 10/08/2021 6:47:56 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Communism is not love. Communism is a hammer which we use to crush the enemy." ― Mao Zedong)
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To: 11th_VA

Nonsense article. American elections are now managed electronically and with fraudulent ballots. The devil’s own are not going to let the republicants into power.


8 posted on 10/08/2021 6:48:12 PM PDT by MHGinTN (A dispensation perspective is a powerful tool for discernment)
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To: 11th_VA

I’d rather they be on the precipice of a prison sentence.


9 posted on 10/08/2021 6:49:13 PM PDT by cuz1961 (USCGR Veteran )
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To: 11th_VA

They would rather burn her down than give up power.


10 posted on 10/08/2021 6:49:26 PM PDT by patriot torch
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To: 11th_VA

Right....If a party can manufacture 81 million votes and get away with it, far from seeing this claimed ‘precipice’ for the commie/totalitarian/authoritarian DEM Left......


11 posted on 10/08/2021 6:51:15 PM PDT by cranked
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To: Ronin

👍


12 posted on 10/08/2021 6:52:36 PM PDT by ConservaTexan (February 6, 1911/June 14, 1944)
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To: 11th_VA

He forgets to factor in the rampant fraud.


13 posted on 10/08/2021 6:57:07 PM PDT by Still Thinking (Freedom is NOT a loophole!)
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To: 11th_VA
Sounds like whistling past the graveyard to me. For one thing they control almost all public institutions and big corporations. Electing more "conservatives" will not fix this. To say nothing of the assumption that we have free elections.

I noticed y'all ignored all this with your comments. Wake up, people!
14 posted on 10/08/2021 7:01:13 PM PDT by ratzoe
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To: Brooklyn Attitude

They plan to end elections.


15 posted on 10/08/2021 7:03:03 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: 11th_VA

If you own the Ed system K-PhD, and the Fed bureaucracy, and the woke corporations, and Big Tech, you’re king of the hill until God says you’re not.


16 posted on 10/08/2021 7:06:39 PM PDT by lurk ( )
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To: 11th_VA

Sounds good but they love free stuff and cheating.


17 posted on 10/08/2021 7:06:51 PM PDT by willk
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To: 11th_VA; All

Not gonna happen. The libs have voter fraud down to a science.


18 posted on 10/08/2021 7:06:52 PM PDT by Cobra64 (Common sense isn’t common anymore.)
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To: 11th_VA

Political Prognostications Gone Wrong:

“Democrats are “on the precipice of an era without any hope of a governing majority”” ~ Ezra Klein

“The era of big government is over.” ~ Bill Clinton


19 posted on 10/08/2021 7:07:17 PM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
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To: 11th_VA

In the next General Election the Democrat will get over 100,000,000 votes and millions of these will arrive in boxes of mail out ballots that were never mailed out, which are perfectly filled in, with exactly 1 in 7 or so for the Republican.


20 posted on 10/08/2021 7:07:39 PM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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