Posted on 04/13/2021 2:08:22 PM PDT by Alas Babylon!
Believe it or not hurricane season starts in less than 50 days in the Atlantic. So what’s in store in the tropics here in 2021? Will it be a repeat of 2020? Will it be quieter?
Enter Colorado State University (CSU) and their 2021 hurricane season outlook -- one that may not be what you want to hear.
Researchers at CSU are once again predicting an above average hurricane season this year. The main driver behind that prediction is the likely absence of El Niño, according to the release. Other factors include near-normal tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures and much warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
So why does the presence of El Niño -- or lack thereof -- matter for hurricanes in the Atlantic?
“El Niño tends to increase upper-level westerly winds across the Caribbean into the tropical Atlantic, tearing apart hurricanes as they try to form,” according to CSU’s Dr. Phil Klotzbach.
The lack of El Niño is what led CSU researchers to forecast 17 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes (category 3+). Those numbers are above the climatological average of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 major hurricanes.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
They rely on the knowledge that a broken clock is correct twice a day. It's the backbone of meteorology.
If only CO2 in the air was not capable of heating the ocean
Ping a ling.
5.56mm
“After Katrina...they predicted more 5’s....and we’ve had nothings”
I agree the predictions are crap, but as far as your comment; don’t say that too loud around anyone from Mexico Beach, Fl. They pretty much got wiped out. Literally.
One of these years they’re bound to be right.
Yeah, but three years ago, we did have a tropical storm come through. Took down a neighbor’s tree across the power lines and blocked the road (we live on a dead-end road in Huguley). In my resoucefulness (it was hotter than the Gates of Hell that night), I called Alabama Power, packed my beer in ice, took it out to our SUV, and sat in air-conditioned comfort listening to SiriusXM until I was likkered up enough to not care about the sticky air, wind, and sideways rain. LOL
And 2021 is projected to be the warmest year ever!
So, if Bill Gates succeeds in putting out the sun, will hurricane season have more or less activity?
I remember hundreds of buses capable of transporting people out of there...but Union Folks said...not in our contract.
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