Posted on 02/05/2021 5:58:27 AM PST by Red Badger
Reported infections are down an astounding 30 to 40 percent now that the political season is over
Since President Biden’s inauguration, the infection rates in the COVID pandemic have plummeted by between 30 and 40 percent, a statistic that stands opposed to Joe Biden’s prediction of a “dark winter.” Reports of COVID infections and hospitalizations are on the decline around the world. Cases of the virus are down 30 percent from last in the United States alone.
The United States averaged 141,146 cases per day over the past week. This is a 30 percent decline from the average two weeks ago.
The nation’s weekly average has leveled under 150,000 cases per day for the first time since November. John Hopkins University indicated a seven-day rolling average culminating in a near 40% decline.
Nationally, new COVID cases per day, 7-day average: Down 40%. From NYT: https://t.co/YH75Ogy7KM pic.twitter.com/qTpO74Wm5d
— Byron York (@ByronYork) January 31, 2021
As only 8 percent of the population in the US has received at least a first dose of any of the vaccines – and this is most healthcare and front line workers, vaccine administration doesn’t appear to play into the decline in cases.
Cases around the world, according to the World Health Organization, appear to corroborate the trend in the US. According to their statistics new infections are also down 30 percent.
According to the London Daily Mail, health experts around the world are theorizing that one reason for the dramatic drop in reported infections could be that herd immunity is finally starting to be achieved, while others remain astonished by the revelation.
“Public health experts believe that the decline in cases is likely a combination of a higher number of people who’ve had the virus than official counts suggest,” the Daily Mail reported.
New covid-19 cases in the US move down to 139k, fewest since Nov 12 (7-day average). pic.twitter.com/D01Dp2Hgyd
— Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) February 3, 2021
Many scientists – including the total of those who signed The Great Barrington Declaration – believe that the quarantining and segregation of the public has hindered the establishment of herd immunity, thus providing an extended life to the pandemic.
Herd immunity is a form of indirect, naturally occurring protection from infectious diseases when a sufficient percentage of a population has become immune, whether through vaccination or the cultivation of antibodies through previous infections.
An antibody cocktail in phase three trials produced by Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, is emerging as a game-changer in the fight against the COVID virus because of the introduction of antibodies produced in the establishment of herd immunity.
In spite of the evidence that herd immunity is, indeed, working, neither the WHO nor the CDC is examining the possibility that they may have caused more harm than good with their draconian lockdowns and non-sensical masking protocols.
In fact, Dr. Anthony Fauci, the most revered voice on the matter among those in the Biden administration – and who has reversed his position on masks, quarantines, and herd immunity so many times it is hard to keep track – has specifically cautioned against attending Super Bowl parties.
“The high number of vaccinations since December to the most vulnerable of us might be the reason why the Cases and Deaths are dropping like rocks.”
I think that it is one significant factor, and it is on the way to becoming the overwhelming factor in coming months.
Most COVID-19 cases are asymptomatic - not tested, and not reported.
So among those cases that are tested and reported, the elderly (targeted by the vaccine program) are disproportionally represented.
Definitely within the residents of Long Term Care Facilities, the vaccine Program would have been making a significant impact by the time reported US cases peaked on 8 Jan (just after the Electoral Votes were counted on the 6th). Currently, the residents of US LTC Facilities have all had the opportunity for first shots, and second shots should be wrapping up in around two weeks.
Between the natural seasonal peak, the increasing percentage of the population that has natural immunity through exposure, the vaccination program, and the greatly reduced test sensitivity (as of inauguration day); cases should continue to steeply decline.
Between fewer cases, and better treatment, like the now wide availability of Regeneron multiclonal antibodies for serious cases (HCQ has also suddenly been deemed effective for initial mild cases by Facebook and American medical journals, just since inauguration day), the hospital COVID wards should basically empty out next month.
“Can you explain this in more detail please? I don’t know what these cycle are. Would love to understand.”
A PCR (Polymerase Chain Reaction) test is widely used to identify cases of COVID-19.
According to Wikipedia: “Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) is a method widely used to rapidly make millions to billions of copies of a specific DNA sample, allowing scientists to take a very small sample of DNA and amplify it to a large enough amount to study in detail.”
Each cycle of the the test will amplify any traces of DNA in the sample. So more cycles means more positive tests (and more false positives).
The norm is around 20 cycles, but the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended 40 for the COVID tests - until Inauguration Day, when they revised their guidance, to recommend a return to normal (20 cycle) sensitivity standards.
Sure. When testing for something like covid, replication cycles of the sample are used to increase the virus particles to a point they can be detected. Therefore, the more cycles you run to detect the covid, the less likely it is you actually have the virus. Anything over 20x is supposed to be considered nothing.
The inventor of this method, flat said that it cannot be used for diagnosis either. The problem is, you pick up everything, even dead virus particles.
At any rate, if you wish to say something is “there” you cannot replicate more than about 20x or you will detect virus amounts that are so minimal, that they are considered non existent.
During the Trump presidency, I was seeing reports of upwards of 45 replication cycles. This many replication cycles, you could have one dead particle, that you picked up in your nose hairs on the way to get tested, and come back positive.
They day Biden became president, the WHO (iirc, or it could have been CDC?) anyway they released an announcement that everyone should follow the testing recommendations, which provide the 20-25x threshold.
So now, the numbers will go down, because the replication cycles are back to normal. This was/is a perfect way to reduce numbers without many people noticing. But I was waiting for it, and was somewhat amazed they did it literally hours after Biden took office.
So now, people will look at the numbers, and say look, Bidens mask mandate ect saved us all. It is all a bunch of hooey.
Excellent post re PCR and guidance/data points.
Thanks
You bet. To me, the smoking gun, that this covid was used as a political weapon, was the replication cycles. Confirmed, beyond any reasonable doubt, when the WHO reduced the cycles back to normal the day Biden took office.
Easy answer: We’re rapidly approaching herd immunity. The Dakotas were the early indicators. Once they reached a level of one in ten residents being diagnosed with Covid, their new case level started trending down. Neither state had a post-Christmas increase in cases, nor a post-Thanksgiving increase for that matter.
That made sense because even Fauci has said that the actual cases are probably six to eight times the reported cases, so when first ND and then SD went over one reported case for every ten residents, that would indicate that 60-80% of the residents had already contracted Covid. Since mid-November new cases have dropped dramatically in both states.
Note that both states avoided severe lockdowns, allowing Covid to progress normally through the population and achieving herd immunity early. State that locked down just prolonged the inevitable. Now it appears that the entire country is on the way to herd immunity. But the Biden administration now wants us to double-mask and continue social distancing for the foreseeable future.
P.S. If you read my past posts, I’ve been saying since early November that we should be watching ND and SD.
Vaccinating older residents will curb COVID-19 deaths, Bay Area health officials say!
By Eli Walsh Bay City News Foundation
Health officers in eight Bay Area counties urged health systems Wednesday to prioritize COVID-19 vaccinations for older residents amid vaccine supply shortages in the region.
Health departments in Marin, Napa, Santa Cruz and Solano counties and their health care partners are prioritizing vaccinating all residents age 75 and older while Contra Costa, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties will do the same with residents age 65 and older.
The intent, according to health officers in the eight counties, is to limit coronavirus-related deaths by targeting the age demographic with the greatest risk of dying.
As of Jan. 28, an average of 83.6 percent of COVID-19 deaths in the eight counties have been residents age 65 and older.
"Three out of four COVID-19 deaths in Marin are among residents age 75 or older," Marin County Public Health Officer Dr. Matt Willis said. "A vaccine offered to a resident above age 75 is 300 times more likely to save a life than a vaccine offered to someone under the age of 50."
Health care workers and nursing home residents will also continue to be vaccinated in accordance with the state's vaccine prioritization guidelines.
The region's current pace of supply, however, could limit counties' ability to get vaccine doses for several weeks to older adults who want them.
The two-dose nature of the vaccines currently on the market, developed by Pfizer and Modern, also makes it difficult to begin vaccinating new people, according to the counties, because portions of new shipments must be earmarked for second doses.
"We need to be direct and honest with the public that, although we want to vaccinate everyone, right now we just don't have enough vaccine to do so," Santa Clara County health officer and public health director Dr. Sara Cody said. "Given limited supply of vaccine, we must prioritize vaccinating those at greatest risk of death or serious illness."
Vaccine supply has been so limited that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention revised its vaccine guidance Jan. 21 to allow for second vaccine doses to be administered up to six weeks after a first dose, if necessary.
Second doses of the Pfizer vaccine are recommended to be administered three weeks after the first dose while four weeks is recommended for the Moderna vaccine.
"Modest delays in the administration of the second dose, if absolutely necessary, would not be expected to decrease the protection conferred by the second dose," the CDC said in a statement.
Gov. Gavin Newsom said Wednesday that the state will receive some 1,060,000 vaccine doses this week, but the federal government lacks the amount of vaccine needed by a state of California's size.
"We are anxious to vaccinate a much broader segment of the population, and are ready to do so as soon as vaccine supplies allow," Cody said.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1UrHIuDpvJWhYMSSkXVrjSW0vE5j4WHDcMtnqjwWZmqQ/edit
Just think of all the people who had to quarantine based on a false positive or a positive after 30 or 40 replications with no symptoms. How many businesses had to be shut down, how many schools had to close for two weeks, etc. Many doctors and scientists were trying to get the word out since early last summer. They were shut down.
If it were not actually true, it would be impossible to imagine that the New World Order elites are so hateful about what MAGA policies were doing to benefit the private sector middle class in the United States that they would be willing to destroy the economies of the western world. Freedom is diminishing rapidly also.
‘It’s a MirCal’!
"An even more surprising admission followed: the document described PCR tests merely as an “aid for diagnosis” and did not place any greater weight upon the results of PCR tests. “Most PCR assays are indicated as an aid for diagnosis, therefore, health care providers must consider any result in combination with timing of sampling, specimen type, assay specifics, clinical observations, patient history, confirmed status of any contacts, and epidemiological information.” The new guidance for assessing the results of PCR COVID tests effectively means that there are additional steps to be taken before reporting that someone has tested positive for the virus. The WHO notes that “a new specimen should be taken and retested” and further stipulates that “health care” workers should weigh up the test result alongside real-world information, such as symptoms or “clinical observations,” and contact with any other infected individuals".
Roger that.
Re: Replication cycles for testing when Trump was President, upwards of 45. The day Biden took office, word went out to use manufactures recommendations, 20-25 cycles.
####
That would do it ! What a convenient virus and testing mechanism.
Now add in the removal of the financial incentive for treating a Wuhan Virus patient and for putting one on a respirator.
Were you trying to warn us about these problems with the PCR tests a year ago in late March/April?
If so, we should have listened to you! :)
I, my wife, our siblings and friends across America will take those odds versus nothing which so many Freepers apparently want for our age group for reason?
We are in our early 80’s and siblings and friends are a little older or younger. 90 to 95% versus nothing are great odds for us.
Sometimes on these threads I feel that the negative posters might be related to Cuomo with every post slanted so negative.
My sister, brother-in-law and nephew — all Trump haters and devout mask wearers — have Covid 19. My sister received first vaccine shot shortly before onset of symptoms.
The headline for this post is completely wrong. The highest ever weekly death rates for Covid were the last 2 weeks, when Biden’s failed mask approach and sleepwalking incompetence was installed in the White House. FIFTY THOUSAND PEOPLE IN THE US HAVE DIED OF COVID IN JUST 2 WEEKS SINCE BIDEN TOOK OVER. 220,000 Americans - almost half of all COVID deaths - have died of Covid since this brain dead failure was elected. These terrifying facts are sure to be broadcast on every news network 24 hours a day so that everyone knows that it is Joe Biden who is responsible for the deaths. He said to wear masks, but it didn’t work! MURDERER!
‘...the quarantining and segregation of the public has hindered the establishment of herd immunity, thus providing an extended life to the pandemic...’
what I have been saying since April...and precisely what the dithering mainstream medical community-invigorated by its new found relevance-has staunchly denied...
there’s a commercial that plays every ten minutes, showing a list of hospitals and medical centers, and claiming medical unanimity regarding mask wearing...I use the most foul language for several minutes after that commercial...
10’s of thousands of people murdered around the country by banning HCQ and 10’s of millions of peoples savings wiped out, homes lost, business’s lost, free speech being blocked, people being tracked just so the democrat party can take power in America.
The Party seeks power entirely for its own sake. We are not interested in the good of others; we are interested solely in power, pure power. What pure power means you will understand presently.
We are different from the oligarchies of the past in that we know what we are doing. All the others, even those who resembled ourselves, were cowards and hypocrites. The German Nazis and the Russian Communists came very close to us in their methods, but they never had the courage to recognize their own motives. They pretended, perhaps they even believed, that they had seized power unwillingly and for a limited time, and that just around the corner there lay a paradise where human beings would be free and equal.
We are not like that. We know that no one ever seizes power with the intention of relinquishing it.
Power is not a means; it is an end. One does not establish a dictatorship in order to safeguard a revolution; one makes the revolution in order to establish the dictatorship.
The object of persecution is persecution.
The object of torture is torture.
The object of power is power.
Now you begin to understand me.”
― George Orwell, 1984
The Pandemic is over.
Biden has announced that by opening the borders to hundreds of thousands of illegal immigrants. They are not required to wear masks or distance themselves. It’s all ok now.
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