[Mom MD]

Thank God things are easing here. This is the natural course of the infection. It rises, peaks, then falls off about 6 weeks later. regardless of masks, lockdowns or anything else government does to get in the way. We did not see a post thanksgiving bump and I do not expect a post Christmas one either. Hopefully we do not go straight into a nasty flu season now

[lepton]

Hopefully we do not go straight into a nasty flu season now

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Given that most of the personal steps to limit COVID transfer also work even better on the less-infectious flu, it seems unlikely, but I suppose it is possible with excessive dismissal.

[montag813]

Hopefully we do not go straight into a nasty flu season now

Just don't touch your face. Rinse hands with 91% isopropyl alcohol after any interaction (knobs, ATMs, toilet plungers, handles, people), and take Vitamin D (preferably drops) every morning when arising.

That is nearly 100% protection. From ANY virus, which is all COVID is.

[SaxxonWoods]

“It rises, peaks, then falls off about 6 weeks later. regardless of masks, lockdowns or anything else government does to get in the way”

Exactly.

I watch and record daily. I’m watching for trends. It’s been 7 days since Christmas and we had a bad day yesterday. Waiting to see if it’s a “holiday blip”, a small one wouldn’t surprise me.

Yesterday might mean nothing since the actual daily reported cases were 2351, but 887 cases were added from “previous days” bringing the total to 3238. They do that every day and the “added” number can be anywhere from 20 to 900 cases. The Colorado CCV site at least shows both numbers, which helps. I just look for trends. When the virus takes a direction it stays with it for 5-6 weeks in general.

[DoodleBob]

I would love to see a plot of regional per capita case and fatality levels against regional temperature deviations from the respective historical monthly average.

As I wrote elsewhere, lest anyone think otherwise, we are seeing, broadly, a SEASONAL RISE in cases and fatalities, and likely not a "surge" or a "new strain of the virus."

The majority of deaths in most countries can be attributed to causes that feature a distinct seasonal pattern. The figure depicts the relative monthly frequencies of nine selected causes of death in the United States for women and men combined for the years 1959–2014. The reported number of counts in parentheses in the title of each panel is the actual number of deaths.

Viruses gonna virus. Even non-viruses gonna non-virus.

If my hypothesis is right, a mild winter in regions may be helping regional case and fatality levels.