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Nate Silver: "Without Pennsylvania, Biden becomes an underdog"
Axios ^ | Nov 1 2020 | Fadel Allassan

Posted on 11/01/2020 10:30:54 AM PST by rintintin

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To: rintintin
"Pennsylvania has not bumped up to a 7- or 8-point Biden lead like we see in Michigan and Wisconsin. It's 5 points. It's not a big early voting state, so a lot of votes have not yet been cast in Pennsylvania," Silver said.

Full of $h!t. And he was on ABC's Sunday morning show spewing this? If this were betting on the point spread, I would take under and win every time.

81 posted on 11/01/2020 12:16:53 PM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: SES1066

So they are saying one of the least inspiring candidates in recent memory is going to win 349 electoral votes? That is beyond foolish.


82 posted on 11/01/2020 12:19:29 PM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: JMS

“he looked like a kicked dog so I can only hope he’s getting the same answer over and over and over again.”

sounds like in fact that’s EXACTLY what he was getting ...


83 posted on 11/01/2020 12:20:51 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: rintintin

2 Chronicles 7:14 NIV

If MY people, who are called by MY name, will humble themselves and pray and seek MY face and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, and I will forgive their sin and will heal their land.

Pray Christians..Pray for America and PDJT


84 posted on 11/01/2020 12:20:59 PM PST by RevelationDavid (Don't just 'know about God'...... KNOW GOD....!)
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To: Ted Grant

“Nate built his reputation calling two of the most obvious election results in recent times.”

many have said that the was given obama’s internal polling ...


85 posted on 11/01/2020 12:22:41 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Thumper1960
Early voting as of two days ago showing Trump doing 10% better in Philly than he did in 2016, and Biden underperforming Clinton by 9% in Philly.

Landslide.

86 posted on 11/01/2020 12:22:41 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change with out notice.)
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To: Paddy Irish

Yup. The Iowa poll has them worried.


87 posted on 11/01/2020 12:27:44 PM PST by cornfedcowboy
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To: HonkyTonkMan
this picture is found next to the word "dork" in every encyclopedia and dictionary, both online and printed:


88 posted on 11/01/2020 12:28:02 PM PST by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: rintintin

We hold our 2016 and win MI we win-period. We don’t need PA.


89 posted on 11/01/2020 12:35:46 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Williams

Don’t forget NH, with colleges closed, I think we flip that State.


90 posted on 11/01/2020 12:39:24 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: DAC21
lot of Gimmicrats in the PA big cities

This thread has more insight than the entire NY Times today.

91 posted on 11/01/2020 12:40:19 PM PST by alrea
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Why would anyone vote L when Trump has given us a nonintervention foreign policy?


92 posted on 11/01/2020 12:42:45 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: Williams

No, it is right on time, before election day.


93 posted on 11/01/2020 12:43:37 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: cgbg

“ Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
1h
Tired of people framing “Trump will declare victory prematurely” as a media story. Most likely—in part because the White House has telegraphed it so much in advance—the media will be fairly well-prepared. Instead, it’s a story about Trump seeking to undermine faith in democracy.”


94 posted on 11/01/2020 12:48:54 PM PST by CassieL (Mostly a lurker here since the Blue Dress)
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To: CassieL

The WH can have so much fun with this.

They can declare victory any time they want—f&^% Nate and f^%$ the mass media.

The WH knows the real numbers.

Btw, if anyone is not aware of where to go to find the real numbers, here is one place you want to visit on election night:

https://www.decisionusaonline.com/

An early state to watch is NH.

All the “official” polls are showing an easy Biden win.

Polls I trust say the President will win the state by a couple of points.

Also, here are the numbers I believe are accurate (for comparison on election night)—post 13 on this thread:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3896421/posts?page=50#50


95 posted on 11/01/2020 1:04:51 PM PST by cgbg (Biden n-2020: Criminal enterprise using cokehead as bagman. Pronounced: Bye Done.)
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To: rintintin

Nate knows but is afraid to say Biden is doomed.


96 posted on 11/01/2020 1:21:13 PM PST by Zathras
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To: Zathras

They have to make it sound close so people tune in.


97 posted on 11/01/2020 1:22:46 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: cgbg

Wi and MI are 7 to 8 point leads for Biden? HAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA. I have a $100 Nate and I will take the under for both states.


98 posted on 11/01/2020 1:24:17 PM PST by Kozy (new age haruspex; "Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth.")
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To: fatima; Fresh Wind; st.eqed; xsmommy; House Atreides; Nowhere Man; PaulZe; brityank; Physicist; ...

Pennsylvania Ping!

Please ping me with articles of interest.

FReepmail me to be added to the list.

99 posted on 11/01/2020 2:12:56 PM PST by lightman (I am a binary Trinitarian. Deal with it!)
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To: rintintin

Without PA, Biden is toast. He would have to run the table and that is not going to happen. With PA, President Trump has many, many combinations to win. If Trump wins NH, several more possibilities open up.

What I really think: President Trump is going to win all of the states that are not part of the popular vote pack (and maybe one of them). Then is the pack going to give Trump their electors? They will claim it is not in effect yet. True, but if it benefited them they would do it. Giving Trump a moral 50 state victory.


100 posted on 11/01/2020 2:20:04 PM PST by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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