Posted on 10/31/2020 2:22:52 PM PDT by billorites
Four years ago, almost nobody gave Donald Trump a realistic chance to win the White House. Right up until the vote totals started coming in, Hillary Clinton was the prohibitive favorite in the minds of the media and the smart set. A few hours later, the outsider businessman from Queens was the president-elect.
In 2016, Trump’s road to gaining 270 votes in the Electoral College and winning the White House was clear: hold the states Mitt Romney had carried in 2012 — especially North Carolina — and add Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. The surprise pickups of Wisconsin and Michigan were gravy.
Once again, the election will be won or lost in the battleground states, which this year include Arizona and possibly Minnesota. Trump’s path to 270, therefore, remains essentially the same: Hold what he already has and try to pick off a blue state or two while minimizing his own possible losses in Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Michigan.
He did it before — and he can do again. Here’s how:
Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania in 2016, and he’s likely to squeak by again — especially after Joe Biden’s ill-advised remark at the final debate that he wants to “transition” away from fossil fuels, which directly threatens the livelihood of hundreds of thousands of workers in a place where fracking has revitalized the economy.
The president seems to be in good shape in Ohio, which he won by 8 points the last time. Of greater concern is Florida, which went for Trump in ’16 by a mere 1.2 points. He’s been trailing in the polls there, but Trump’s popularity with Hispanic voters has been surging, so look for Florida to stay — barely — red.
Minnesota, meanwhile, went for Clinton in 2016 by less than two points, and a long summer
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
That gets President Trump into landslide territory. At that level of support, he'd be winning in states that no one has seriously predicted would go his way.
Very much so! My 5 member family is voting On Tuesday!
Upset, my a$$!
Trump - 330 electoral votes
Biden - not enough
“ What the polls aren’t showing is the 30-35% black and 45-50% hispanic support.”
Don’t be ridiculous.
President Trump winning in 2020 is not an “upset”....
He didn’t write they will vote for Trump. he wrote they support him. The way many blacks may support Trump, is by just not voting...period. Maybe they’re just not comfortable voting for a Republican or comfortable voting for Trump but they like what hes doing enough that they’re not intrested in voting against him by voting for Biden. That’s what happened the last time with Hillary in places like Detroit,and Philly. There wasn’t enough black vote to overcome the rural area vote.
Upset? Really? Who told you Trump was losing? Get some facts and don’t come back until you have gotten them straight.
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