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Trump’s winning hand: How the president can pull off another upset
New York Post ^ | October 31, 2020 | Michael Walsh

Posted on 10/31/2020 2:22:52 PM PDT by billorites

Four years ago, almost nobody gave Donald Trump a realistic chance to win the White House. Right up until the vote totals started coming in, Hillary Clinton was the prohibitive favorite in the minds of the media and the smart set. A few hours later, the outsider businessman from Queens was the president-elect.

In 2016, Trump’s road to gaining 270 votes in the Electoral College and winning the White House was clear: hold the states Mitt Romney had carried in 2012 — especially North Carolina — and add Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. The surprise pickups of Wisconsin and Michigan were gravy.

Once again, the election will be won or lost in the battleground states, which this year include Arizona and possibly Minnesota. Trump’s path to 270, therefore, remains essentially the same: Hold what he already has and try to pick off a blue state or two while minimizing his own possible losses in Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Michigan.

He did it before — and he can do again. Here’s how:

Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania in 2016, and he’s likely to squeak by again — especially after Joe Biden’s ill-advised remark at the final debate that he wants to “transition” away from fossil fuels, which directly threatens the livelihood of hundreds of thousands of workers in a place where fracking has revitalized the economy.

The president seems to be in good shape in Ohio, which he won by 8 points the last time. Of greater concern is Florida, which went for Trump in ’16 by a mere 1.2 points. He’s been trailing in the polls there, but Trump’s popularity with Hispanic voters has been surging, so look for Florida to stay — barely — red.

Minnesota, meanwhile, went for Clinton in 2016 by less than two points, and a long summer

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
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1 posted on 10/31/2020 2:22:52 PM PDT by billorites
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To: billorites

How can something be an upset when you are being feed BS polls? like 2016 Trump is the favorite the media are liars.


2 posted on 10/31/2020 2:26:28 PM PDT by bte
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To: billorites

PA is key, but I think most of his campaigning the last few days has been to help down-ballot races.


3 posted on 10/31/2020 2:27:09 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: billorites
They can call it an upset if they want, but the facts are: 1) he's President and 2) He's never been behind in anything other than fake news polls.

Let's try this on for size. Let's act like winners all the time and make sure those damn Marxists know they are losers.

4 posted on 10/31/2020 2:28:07 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: ConservativeInPA

Amen. Dis Trump win ain’t gonna be no upset.


5 posted on 10/31/2020 2:32:09 PM PDT by Coop (After 14 years, it's time for a new tagline)
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To: calenel

And even in PA there are 6 House seats that need to be kept or flipped from D that are not solid one way or the other. Potential +3 in the HoR from just PA, so it’s a solid place to campaign.


6 posted on 10/31/2020 2:32:11 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: billorites

25,000 at the rally 2 mile long parades 1,200 boats on the river, more Trumper’s at Biden rally then Biden supporters.

Had to cancel Austin rally due to to many Trump supporters.

So “shy Trump voters?
So “unimaginable upset”
So “no path to 270”

Which is it? Make up your little minds.


7 posted on 10/31/2020 2:35:28 PM PDT by Ndorfin (Kitties,titties, and fiddies oh, and no sickies)
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To: billorites

Don’t let Georgia fool you. Trump is coming here for the senate races

Hell do just fine


8 posted on 10/31/2020 2:43:11 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: Coop

I’ll give that another Amen!!!


9 posted on 10/31/2020 2:47:13 PM PDT by wireman
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To: billorites
Our political pundit class needs improvement in their writing.

Hillary Clinton was not a "prohibitive" favorite. We were assured by every major media outlet that she was a shoo-in. She had the Media, Hollywood, the FBI, and the CIA all working to get her elected. Her loss was a huge shock.

Secondly, in spite of the stupid polls showing Biden with double-digit leads, polling has also indicated that a plurality of voters believe that President is likely to win re-election. In other words, the Media is spinning the same B.S. as in 2016. And you can be forgiven if you wonder if the FBI is again trying to cover up Democratic perfidy (again!). But regular folks have a different view of the situation on the ground. And this time, we have several prominent rap artists endorsing Trump.

10 posted on 10/31/2020 2:48:53 PM PDT by Lysandru
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To: billorites

The only unions the Democrats have a chance with are the public service unions: Teachers, firefighters, etc.

The actual BLUE COLLAR workers like Trump and I hope like hell they turn out and vote for the guy.


11 posted on 10/31/2020 2:49:29 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici
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To: ConservativeInPA

You marginalize him by calling him an underdog and calling it an upset


12 posted on 10/31/2020 2:50:54 PM PDT by Jimmy The Snake
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To: billorites
We had a pumpkin carving contest in our neighborhood today. I got to be a judge. Here was my top pick:


13 posted on 10/31/2020 2:56:57 PM PDT by Mase (Save me from the people who would save me from myself!)
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To: bte

Right? I’m so sick of hearing that he is the underdog when he is completely been the alpha dog for years!


14 posted on 10/31/2020 2:56:59 PM PDT by Maskot (Put every dem/lib in prison........like yesterday!!!)
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To: billorites

No Carbon Emission Taxes, Ever

A winning policy in all 50 states

No Federal Electricity Mandates

A winner in NV, AZ, TX and FL

Save Our Hydrocarbon Industry Jobs

A winner in PA, TX, OK

Affordable Gasoline Powered Used Cars, Forever, For Job Access

A winning policy everywhere


15 posted on 10/31/2020 3:00:51 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: billorites

Trump will prevent the near doubling of electricity rates.

Put NV, TX, AZ and FL in Trump’s column.


16 posted on 10/31/2020 3:03:54 PM PDT by Brian Griffin
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To: Maskot

I had a replay of Rush’s show on in the car. At the news break the newsreader said that Trump was further behind Biden at this point than he was against Hillary. That’s when I turned off the radio. They’re doing their best to discourage Trump voters and I think they’re only making us more determined.


17 posted on 10/31/2020 3:11:57 PM PDT by surrey
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To: billorites
What the polls aren't showing is the 30-35% black and 45-50% hispanic support. The wimmen are low, but I don't see that as being what gives Biden the win.

Another thing- We Americans don't like being enslaved. When we go to a Trump event, we don't like our "so-called betters" lisping that it's a "Sthuper Sthpreader Eventh"

18 posted on 10/31/2020 3:13:46 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople (What if the Lord sent COVID-19 to immunize the world from something more deadly?)
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To: Ndorfin
Another freeper on here believed that the reason they sent Kamala down to Texas was because they wanted to put her down here where she wouldn't hurt anything.

I don't say this because I disagree with her, or dislike her, or anything person- she's HORRIBLE on the campaign trail. Her voice, laugh, and affected speaking makes me long for the honesty and transparency of Hillary Clinton.

19 posted on 10/31/2020 3:19:30 PM PDT by MuttTheHoople (What if the Lord sent COVID-19 to immunize the world from something more deadly?)
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To: MuttTheHoople
What the polls aren't showing is the 30-35% black and 45-50% hispanic support.

*****

Trump gets that support and he's reelected.

20 posted on 10/31/2020 3:23:51 PM PDT by ealgeone
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