Posted on 10/31/2020 2:22:52 PM PDT by billorites
Four years ago, almost nobody gave Donald Trump a realistic chance to win the White House. Right up until the vote totals started coming in, Hillary Clinton was the prohibitive favorite in the minds of the media and the smart set. A few hours later, the outsider businessman from Queens was the president-elect.
In 2016, Trumps road to gaining 270 votes in the Electoral College and winning the White House was clear: hold the states Mitt Romney had carried in 2012 especially North Carolina and add Ohio, Florida and Pennsylvania. The surprise pickups of Wisconsin and Michigan were gravy.
Once again, the election will be won or lost in the battleground states, which this year include Arizona and possibly Minnesota. Trumps path to 270, therefore, remains essentially the same: Hold what he already has and try to pick off a blue state or two while minimizing his own possible losses in Arizona, Georgia, Wisconsin and Michigan.
He did it before and he can do again. Heres how:
Trump narrowly won Pennsylvania in 2016, and hes likely to squeak by again especially after Joe Bidens ill-advised remark at the final debate that he wants to transition away from fossil fuels, which directly threatens the livelihood of hundreds of thousands of workers in a place where fracking has revitalized the economy.
The president seems to be in good shape in Ohio, which he won by 8 points the last time. Of greater concern is Florida, which went for Trump in 16 by a mere 1.2 points. Hes been trailing in the polls there, but Trumps popularity with Hispanic voters has been surging, so look for Florida to stay barely red.
Minnesota, meanwhile, went for Clinton in 2016 by less than two points, and a long summer
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
How can something be an upset when you are being feed BS polls? like 2016 Trump is the favorite the media are liars.
PA is key, but I think most of his campaigning the last few days has been to help down-ballot races.
Let's try this on for size. Let's act like winners all the time and make sure those damn Marxists know they are losers.
Amen. Dis Trump win ain’t gonna be no upset.
And even in PA there are 6 House seats that need to be kept or flipped from D that are not solid one way or the other. Potential +3 in the HoR from just PA, so it’s a solid place to campaign.
25,000 at the rally 2 mile long parades 1,200 boats on the river, more Trumper’s at Biden rally then Biden supporters.
Had to cancel Austin rally due to to many Trump supporters.
So “shy Trump voters?
So “unimaginable upset”
So “no path to 270”
Which is it? Make up your little minds.
Dont let Georgia fool you. Trump is coming here for the senate races
Hell do just fine
I’ll give that another Amen!!!
Hillary Clinton was not a "prohibitive" favorite. We were assured by every major media outlet that she was a shoo-in. She had the Media, Hollywood, the FBI, and the CIA all working to get her elected. Her loss was a huge shock.
Secondly, in spite of the stupid polls showing Biden with double-digit leads, polling has also indicated that a plurality of voters believe that President is likely to win re-election. In other words, the Media is spinning the same B.S. as in 2016. And you can be forgiven if you wonder if the FBI is again trying to cover up Democratic perfidy (again!). But regular folks have a different view of the situation on the ground. And this time, we have several prominent rap artists endorsing Trump.
The only unions the Democrats have a chance with are the public service unions: Teachers, firefighters, etc.
The actual BLUE COLLAR workers like Trump and I hope like hell they turn out and vote for the guy.
You marginalize him by calling him an underdog and calling it an upset
Right? Im so sick of hearing that he is the underdog when he is completely been the alpha dog for years!
No Carbon Emission Taxes, Ever
A winning policy in all 50 states
No Federal Electricity Mandates
A winner in NV, AZ, TX and FL
Save Our Hydrocarbon Industry Jobs
A winner in PA, TX, OK
Affordable Gasoline Powered Used Cars, Forever, For Job Access
A winning policy everywhere
Trump will prevent the near doubling of electricity rates.
Put NV, TX, AZ and FL in Trump’s column.
I had a replay of Rush’s show on in the car. At the news break the newsreader said that Trump was further behind Biden at this point than he was against Hillary. That’s when I turned off the radio. They’re doing their best to discourage Trump voters and I think they’re only making us more determined.
Another thing- We Americans don't like being enslaved. When we go to a Trump event, we don't like our "so-called betters" lisping that it's a "Sthuper Sthpreader Eventh"
I don't say this because I disagree with her, or dislike her, or anything person- she's HORRIBLE on the campaign trail. Her voice, laugh, and affected speaking makes me long for the honesty and transparency of Hillary Clinton.
*****
Trump gets that support and he's reelected.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.