Republican Darrell Issa opens up lead over Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar in latest poll

San Diego Union ^ | Oct 27, 2020

[11th_VA]

A poll released Tuesday shows Republican Darrell Issa leading Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar by double digits in the race for the 50th Congressional District.

Other polls conducted in September, July, and May had Issa and Campa-Najjar in statistical ties to represent most of East County, parts of inland North San Diego County and a small southern piece of Riverside County. The new San Diego Union-Tribune/10 News poll of 538 likely voters shows Issa, a former congressman, leading with 51 percent of the vote of those polled, far ahead of business owner and San Diego State University lecturer Campa-Najjar, who polled at 40 percent.

The new poll shows Campa-Najjar narrowly leading Issa among those who have already cast their ballots — by 51 percent to 46 percent, said SurveyUSA, which conducted the poll Thursday through Monday. It had a margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

“For Issa to hold the seat for the GOP, he must outperform Campa-Najjar among those who have not yet returned a ballot but who promise to do so,” SurveyUSA pollsters wrote.

“Startlingly, among the small group of voters who say they plan to vote on Election Day, Issa leads 7:1. Issa will need many — but not necessarily all — of those votes to carry him across the finish line.” ...

[funfan]

I think the Republicans are ballot harvesting now I mean its legal there. You have to play by the same rules.

[thegagline]

“Startlingly, among the small group of voters who say they plan to vote on Election Day, Issa leads 7:1”
With all of the COVID lockdown chicanery and riots that the Democrats could pull on Election Day, why wouldn’t the Republican voters take advantage of early voting?

[rfp1234]

The Rat in this race is a grandson (I think) of an al-Fatah terrorist from Pa,estine.

[Maelstorm]

We should not forget that GOP won resoundingly the special elections in CA where Democrats were expected to be at least competitive and Silver had expected a win.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/

https://www.lamag.com/citythinkblog/mike-garcia-christy-smith-ca-25-katie-hill/

[fieldmarshaldj]

Yes, one of the Black Sunday terrorists. That’s considered a plus for Demonrats.

[gman4bush]

I live in SD. There is no way the 50th District goes blue. It’s like 65% republican out there. Even Ammar tries to act like a gun-toting republican, but there is video of him supporting Medicare for all and other socialist policies.

[BunnySlippers]

I’ve admired Issa for years. I sense that he is a committed Republican.

[SmokingJoe]

Republicans are now doing ballot harvesting even better than the Dems. It is legal in California after all.
In fact the GOP are doing ballot harvesting so well in California that the Dems went crying to some court or the other to try and stop the GOP ballot harvesting effort, saying the Republicans are not playing fair. Two can play at the game.
Now ain't that just sweet?

[SmokingJoe]

Dream on.

[SmokingJoe]

So one down, 16 to go to see the end of Pelosi as Speaker.

[Deplorable American1776]

Red earthquake....😀

[trebb]

Maybe some who saw their votes negated/overturned by the “harvesting” have had enough...

[sgt_lau]

I thought so too. Haven’t heard his name mentioned for a long time.

[GOPJ]

Republican Darrell Issa leading Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar by double digits in the race for the 50th Congressional District.

Great news...