Posted on 10/26/2020 11:46:27 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
Right before the 2016 presidential election, on November 7th, Fivethirtyeight estimated that Hillary Clinton had a 67% chance of winning the election. Yet, Donald Trump crushed Hillary.
Today, Fivethirtyeight thinks Biden has an 87% chance of winning the election. An almost slam dunk case. I disagree.
(Excerpt) Read more at yahoo.com ...
I watched some website that had odds of winning percentages updating constantly in real time and she started in the high 90s.
Around 11pm, he hit 50% and it snowballed from there.
I don’t EVER remember her odds being that low.
I think it was closer to 83%, but 538 gave him much better odds than most places.
“The author’s bias is screaming”
I think the word your looking for is “unhinged”.
The actual article was bashing Trump with lies however the statistics posted are believable!!
“currently, OR, NM, CO, NH are in play. By the end of the week likely NJ will be in play.”
If 3 of those five go to Trump Biden cannot win. They shouldn’t even be close enough for Trump to think about them.
This is, if you are demonrat, beginning to get scary. If Trump has any coat tails at all, the republicans retake the house and expand their majority in the senate. I would bet dollars to do-nut hole if that happens that the new “Trump Party” senators and members of congress enact some sort of Federal anti-voter fraud measures in February. If they don’t, they should. You know the demonrats will challenge the legislation. It needs time to wind through the courts.
“currently, OR, NM, CO, NH are in play. By the end of the week likely NJ will be in play.”
Don’t forget about MN, MI, WI, PA, WA, NV all of which are trending Trump.
Where the heck are you? Miss your commentary, especially as we come down to the wire.
My optimistic forecast has Trump winning 41 states and 427 electoral votes versus 9 states and DC and 111 electoral votes for Biden.
I hope Jeff van Drew wins his seat back as a Rep.
Trump has the momentum, and I think even hardcore DIMs will admit this. The other thing that 538 and other sites do no take into consideration is the enthusiasm gap. It is enormous. I saw one article where they were stating the enthusiasm gap is not what you think based on poll responses. Very dumb. The enthusiasm gap is made up overwhelmingly by people who voluntarily have taken themselves out of the polling pool by not answering the phone and/or giving false answers. These people are not being represented in the polls.
Sincere question - why do they continually say he lies? They call him a liar all the time, have they ever given an example of his lying?
Best of all was hat crooked Hillary already had arrangement made with a barge set up on he Hudson river for a fireworks display. No pun intended but it all fell into he water. That woman was a born conniving crook and never changed.
Oh, they are viting and organizing for the future.
We have all decided being the Silent Majority no longer works...
Florida: Trump 49%, Biden 46% https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/florida_trump_49_biden_46
“Voting” “Voting” “Voting” “Voting” “Voting”
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