Leading by ONLY 2.3%..... :-)

IBD/TIPP Poll | Oct 20, 2020 | IBD

[ConservativeStLouisGuy]

https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-race-tightens-like-2016-ibd-tipp-2020-presidential-poll/

Leading by ONLY 2.3%..... :-)

[carcraft]

Smart move by Trump, he may not win the states but Trump can peel off , hopefully, enought votes to win the popular vote. I don’t think the current Democratic leadership in New York is very popular, many cause many to vote red out of spite.

[al_c]

So ... Hillary led by 16 and Trump won. Biden is leading by 2.3? That should be a landslide for Trump then, right?

[PapaBear3625]

In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1%, and still lost heavily on electoral votes

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

I remember when the current wisdom was if it’s ever less than +4 DEM the GOP would route in that election.

[ConservativeStLouisGuy]

Yes. Major landslide.

[CWW]

a 2.1% margin is bad for Biden. (IBT/TIPP) is the Trafalger National Poll and it's the most accurate. But here's the key ...

In 2016, Hillary won the popular vote by 2.9% and Trump received 206 Electoral Votes.

So at this point, Trump is doing better than he did in 2016 on the popular vote. Thus, the odds are that we will see the same outcome for Electoral College votes.

[ConservativeStLouisGuy]

Complete Day-By-Day IBD/TIPP Presidential Election Tracking Poll Results for 2016

[TexasFreeper2009]

with Trump being so far behind in Cali and New York, he will always be behind in the popular vote.

[ConservativeStLouisGuy]

Thank God our founders had the foresight to put the Electoral College into play.

[SamAdams76]

Just like four years ago, ignore the polls and observe what is really going on within the campaigns.

Once again, Trump is speaking to massive rally crowds and he is visiting primarily battleground states. He's really got his ground game this time around too (over a million doors knocked on in Minnesota alone!).

The other campaign has mostly tepid, sparsely attended rallies - and you got the same washed up show-business people shilling for them on Twitter, Facebook and whatnot and threatening us they will move out of the country if Trump wins (which they never actually do).

Looks like Obama might hit the campaign trail (hasn't done so yet though) in Philadelphia and Detroit! If the Biden campaign has to send Obama to those cities in an attempt to guilt-trip the black folks into voting for the Democrats, you know things are pretty bad.

[cgbg]

Biden is performing so terribly in early voting that the Trump campaign has a shot in states like New Mexico (that normally would not be in play).

It is worth the effort—and hopefully the Trump campaign will be running this in New Mexico markets to get a few third party and lukewarm Democrats to vote for the President:

https://twitter.com/JackPosobiec/status/1318537680926494720

[PapaBear3625]

Once again this year, Trump need not win the National Popular Vote.

Part of the reason why Trump didn't win the popular vote, was that in states like California, NY, and Massachusetts, where it's certain that the vote will go Democrat, a lot of Republicans stay home and don't bother to vote.

Trump should make an effort to get Repubs in those states to show support by voting anyway.

[1Old Pro]

Once again this year, Trump need not win the National Popular Vote.

Of course not, not expected. He does need to carry pretty much the same states as last time. Hopefully he increases the % in PA due to the expected fraud.

[CincyRichieRich]

Bull crap; I have a degree in statistics and did a lot of work in sampling, surveys, etc. There is NO PROOF any of these pollsters actually call people and have real data...the “results” are always wrong, so why not just make up the results and say you called people??? Why not? No one can prove otherwise.

[usconservative]

which means that Trump is well ahead.

Take nothing for granted. Show up and vote, bring 10 friends.

[cgbg]

I will make a prediction for the last few days before the election—the poll numbers will keep closing and closing and...the Biden campaign will panic, reverse course and get him out there with rushed public appearances as a last ditch effort to save his dying campaign.

This should be fun to watch!

[Dan in Wichita]

I really want to see Trump win the national popular vote. Didn’t 8 blue states vow to give their electoral votes to the national popular vote winner? That would be fun.

Yes, they did vote that, but it is not in effect because not enough states joined in with the pact. For it to go into effect, there had to be states sign on to the pact with combined electoral votes totaling 270 or more. That did not happen so the pact is not in effect.

It sure would be funny to see California's 55 electoral votes go into the Trump column!

[Steely Tom]

Looks like Obama might hit the campaign trail (hasn't done so yet though) in Philadelphia and Detroit! If the Biden campaign has to send Obama to those cities in an attempt to guilt-trip the black folks into voting for the Democrats, you know things are pretty bad.

Remember when Obama announced he was going to "lead the opposition to Trump" after the 2016 election?

[cgbg]

If you have not seen it yet, this video is well worth your time:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wf6yr_McIFs&feature=youtu.be

It explains the errors pollsters are making (and also discusses why early voting has already proven the polls are totally wrong).

I am very confident about a solid Trump electoral college victory and a toss up in the national popular vote.

[ConservativeStLouisGuy]

You might be on to something there. Dems will do ANYTHING to stay in/get power.