Even worse, Basement-Biden's large polls lead has remained rock-steady in the 6-8 points range since September 1. Again, not looking good ..... unless there's some October Surprise (that helps Trump) coming later in the month. If there's an October Surprise benefiting Harris/Biden, then it's all over.
RCP is the average of many leftist skewed polls, plus a few legitimate ones. Garbage in, garbage out.
I can see the tombstone:
USA, 1776 - 2021
Cause of Death: rampant stupidity and Marxism
Question: Putting the polls aside.......Is there any evidence that Biden is ahead? I live in Maryland, probably the most liberal state in the country. I haven’t seen more than a dozen yard signs or bumper stickers for Joe Biden in Maryland. The accuracy of “the polls” depends upon the turnout model chosen by the pollsters who do the polls. The consensus among pollsters is that Democrat turnout will be akin to 2008 or 2012. If that is true, we are screwed. If they are wrong, and pollsters like Trafalgar are correct in predicting the demographics of the turnout, Trump will win.
HRC was up 3.8% on RCP at this time in 2016.
I agree it doesn’t look good, but we shall see
That’s true, but assuming that you’re using the RCP averages, Trump is ahead of where he was at this point in 2016 in Battleground states: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/
YouGov 10/15 - 10/18 925 RV 3.9 42 38 6 1 Clinton +4
FOX News 10/15 - 10/17 912 LV 3.0 45 39 5 3 Clinton +6
Bloomberg 10/14 - 10/17 1006 LV 3.1 47 38 8 3 Clinton +9
Reuters 10/13 - 10/17 1190 LV 3.3 42 38 6 2 Clinton +4
Monmouth 10/14 - 10/16 726 LV 3.6 50 38 5 2 Clinton +12
CBS News 10/12 - 10/16 1189 LV 3.0 47 38 8 3 Clinton +9
NBC News 10/10 - 10/16 24804 LV 1.0 46 40 8 4 Clinton +6
Boston Globe 10/11 - 10/14 845 LV 3.4 46 36 5 2 Clinton +10
Rasmussen 10/11 - 10/13 1500 LV 2.5 41 43 6 2 Trump +2
ABC/WP 10/10 - 10/13 740 LV 4.0 47 43 5 2 Clinton +4
NBC/WSJ 10/10 - 10/13 905 LV 3.3 48 37 7 2 Clinton +11
FOX News 10/10 - 10/12 917 LV 3.0 45 38 7 3 Clinton +7
GWU/Battleground 10/8 - 10/13 1000 LV 3.1 47 39 8 2 Clinton +8
NBC/WSJ 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 46 37 8 2 Clinton +9
Reuters 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 6 2 Clinton +7
NBC/WSJ 10/8 - 10/9 447 LV 4.6 46 35 9 2 Clinton +11
Rasmussen 10/6 - 10/10 1500 LV 2.5 44 39 7 2 Clinton +5
YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 44 38 5 1 Clinton +6
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 45 40 6 3 Clinton +5
The polls only got close in pretty much the very last week of polling, so the pollsters didn't look too bad when Trump won. They were essentially covering their butts.
Look, people are getting beat up, fired from their job, businesses burned to the ground, assaulted, if not killed, all because they support Donald Trump.
As bad as it was in 2016, nothing tops what is happening right now to anyone who dares show any type of support for DT. Thus those poll numbers are more off-kilter than 4 years ago.
Gone are the days when you can tell a pollster "I support that person", and just go about your business. There is fear of retribution, unlike anything I've ever seen.
....with a rusty, red-hot railroad spike.
And the Donkey or Panda you rode in on.
Check this out;
See how changes in voter turnout and support could shift the outcome of the 2020 election.
How it works
Start with the results of the previous election, adjusted for demographic change since 2016. Then adjust the sliders to see how shifts in turnout and support among different demographic groups could swing the Electoral College. See the scenarios below for examples.
https://www.nbcnews.com/specials/swing-the-election/
Use the sliders to see a likely outcome.
As an example, Trump got 69% of the “Non College White” vote in 2016, if he gets just 2% more, he wins. This is the biggest voting block and there are certainly more in this group this time.
Trump is polling higher among Black and Hispanic’s as well.
IMHO, there is NO WAY Biden wins and it will be a Trump Landslide.