[furquhart]

That’s true, but assuming that you’re using the RCP averages, Trump is ahead of where he was at this point in 2016 in Battleground states: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/trump-vs-biden-top-battleground-states-2020-vs-2016/

[furquhart]

As well, I’m not sure how the RCP average in 2016 was calculated, but looking at the polls themselves, Clinton essentially opened up a ten point lead the following week in 2016:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton_vs_johnson_vs_stein-5952.html#polls

[SmokingJoe]

See # 49