Posted on 09/25/2020 11:50:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is the odds-on favorite to win the U.S. election against President Donald Trump, according to an average of 7 different forecast models released on Thursday.
Presidential elections in the U.S. are not decided by who gets the most votes. In order to actually win the contest, a candidate must receive a majority of votes in the Electoral College. There are a total of 538 individuals from each state who decide which candidate becomes president. Candidates need at least 270 Electoral College votes to clinch the presidency.
While those electors often follow the popular vote, that has not always been the case. In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote against Trump, gaining 48.2 percent of the vote to Trump's 46.1 percent. However, Trump picked up 306 Electoral College votes to Clinton's 232 votes, making Trump the president.
In each of Thursday's seven election forecast models, Biden was projected to win both the popular vote and the Electoral College. As averaged together by the website Election Dice, those models predicted that Trump has a 17.9 percent chance of winning while Biden has an 81.8 percent chance of winning. Biden's odds of victory are projected to be nearly five times greater than that of President Trump's.
Data from The Economist showed Biden holding an 8-point lead over Trump, 54 percent to 46 percent respectively. Biden was projected to get 335 votes in the Electoral College, more than the 270 votes needed to become president. Trump was projected to receive 203 electoral votes.
Polling site FiveThirtyEight placed Biden ahead of Trump in the popular vote. Biden held 52.7 percentage points to President Trump's 46 percent. Based on those numbers, Biden was projected to receive 328 votes in the Electoral College
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
Except that polling site FiveThirtyEight admits Trump is winning 270-268 in electoral votes. Ha-HA!
National Likely Voter (LV) Job Approval of @POTUS - 52%
GOP LV App - 79%
Dem LV App - 30% !
Ind LV App - 48%
Men LV App - 56%
Women LV App - 47%
White LV App - 51%
Black Total LV App - 33%
Oth Non-White LV App - 66% !
Sets the narrative that if Trump wins it is due to fraud
Accuse your opponent of being what you are
USA Nearly 5 Times More Likely to Become Another Failed Socialist State, Forecast Models Average Shows
Ha ha ha ha oh stop you’re killing me. Now go away and wipe the drool off your chin.
I think that’s exactly what they’re doing. Setting it up to look like Trump stole the election if he wins.
I hate to say this, but in formerly very red DuPage county 20 miles west of Chicago, RAT lawn signs out number conservative lawn signs four to one. Absolutely would have been impossible even five years ago. Hope this is very different in more important parts of the country.
“Biden Nearly 5 Times More Likely than Trump to Win Election, Forecast Models Average Shows”
LOL! JUST LIKE HILLARY!
Somebody’s listening to lying spirits. Going to be sorry.
Just curious... where are you getting these numbers from??
Chicago, like Pittsburgh, is overrun with Rat union members and gubbermint employees. Take the yardsigns for what they are, a Potemkin Village operation.
Like here people who support Trump likely don’t want some whacko vandalizing their home over a yard sign.
Newsweak is now about as thick as the Weekly Reader was, though not as widely read.
Where do you live in Fairfax County? I hope you are right! Our neighborhood of 350 homes has 3 Trump signs ( one in my yard). There are about a dozen Biden signs( granted this is low compared to Hillary) but 60 or so BLM and “in this house we believe ...science is real” signs so I know how they will be voting.
I hate to say this, but in formerly very red DuPage county 20 miles west of Chicago, RAT lawn signs out number conservative lawn signs four to one.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Where do you think the Chicongo scum has been moving to?
FU Sean Casten! Go Jeanne Ives! Unfortunately, not likely.
After they “regretted” their “Handmaid Tale” lie, they trotted out this one.
Getting a Government check = voting for Rats.
Whoever bought this media rag for a buck paid too much
Models calculate according to an algorithm its designers used, with the data the designers feed into it.
No model can predict anything.
Not the same as weather models. There is no human agent interfering with weather patterns, so a calculation is possible.
Calculating the outcome of an election is not possible because it depends on millions of individual human decisions.
Just every Republican gets out and votes, and we’re safe for another 4 years.
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