Posted on 09/25/2020 11:50:30 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden is the odds-on favorite to win the U.S. election against President Donald Trump, according to an average of 7 different forecast models released on Thursday.
Presidential elections in the U.S. are not decided by who gets the most votes. In order to actually win the contest, a candidate must receive a majority of votes in the Electoral College. There are a total of 538 individuals from each state who decide which candidate becomes president. Candidates need at least 270 Electoral College votes to clinch the presidency.
While those electors often follow the popular vote, that has not always been the case. In the 2016 presidential election, Hillary Clinton won the popular vote against Trump, gaining 48.2 percent of the vote to Trump's 46.1 percent. However, Trump picked up 306 Electoral College votes to Clinton's 232 votes, making Trump the president.
In each of Thursday's seven election forecast models, Biden was projected to win both the popular vote and the Electoral College. As averaged together by the website Election Dice, those models predicted that Trump has a 17.9 percent chance of winning while Biden has an 81.8 percent chance of winning. Biden's odds of victory are projected to be nearly five times greater than that of President Trump's.
Data from The Economist showed Biden holding an 8-point lead over Trump, 54 percent to 46 percent respectively. Biden was projected to get 335 votes in the Electoral College, more than the 270 votes needed to become president. Trump was projected to receive 203 electoral votes.
Polling site FiveThirtyEight placed Biden ahead of Trump in the popular vote. Biden held 52.7 percentage points to President Trump's 46 percent. Based on those numbers, Biden was projected to receive 328 votes in the Electoral College
(Excerpt) Read more at newsweek.com ...
LOL!!!!!!!!!!!!!
LOL 2016........the sequel.....
Same models that said Cables had a 98% probability of winning.
Forever to be found in the FR archive vault...
Hillary has a 95% chance of winning.......
Same models that said Cankles had a 98% probability of winning.
Newsweak. Enough said.
Hillary will win we absolutely guarantee it !
These fools never learn.
“Holy stoking delusions, Batman!”
Newsweak pops up it’s little zit head again.
Oh my...
We might as well surrender peacefully...
Maybe that will get us preferred standing in the freight cars...
President Hillary believed the polls. How did that work out?
And I am sure that these forecasting models are nearly as accurate as the Global Warming models and the Hillary Clinton winning in a landslide models.
Well, nooseweak may be on to something. Realclearpolitics shows this for current electoral numbers:
Biden 222
Toss Ups 191
Trump 125
We’re done for I tell ya!
Driving through the DC exurbs, I see 5 times more Trump signs than I have seen Biden signs in Fairfax County. I can only imagine what it’s like WAY outside the swamp.
Let me know when he gets to 98% probability.
Uh-huh
Right
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