I suspect there is some hidden strength in this poll. Figure we take a point each from the Libertarian and "Someone else," and Joe Dementia takes a half point from the Greenie, and we're talking a 1 point race or maybe even a dead heat.
Plus, shy Trumps (moreso in other polls, Trafalgar's pretty good at ferreting out voter sentiment), plus six more weeks of economic recovery and progress on the pandemic. I think we win this state by more than 1 point.
But, what does my opinion count? The only takeaway is that Pennsylvania is in the toss-up category and it's going to come down to who gets out the vote.
Vote like the future of your country depends on it.
Dems need +6 in polling to actually win.
From Trafalgar:
Margin of Error: 2.99%
If it’s this close Trump wins easily.
LOL! My poll says JoeJoe & Heels Up Horror Show have commanding leads. The die hard ‘rats can stay home this time. The cheese is in the trap.
The "6 points down four years ago" was in RCP average of polls. Just before the 2016 election, Trafalgar showed Trump winning by a point.
Trump usually does his best with Trafalgar polling. I’m disappointed he’s not ahead.
Traffic is very good but I think this cycle even they are way short in measuring “shy Trump” and way generous in assuming the 18-24 vote.
Response Rate: 1.44%
Only 3% undecided? Is that even conceivable?
The Democrats will prove once an for all that not only do they hate all White men (like Brett Kavanaugh), they hate all White women who have families. Most White women don't understand that.
The Census Bureau estimates that 76.3% of the US population is White alone. That's a far higher number than what you might think just looking at TV commercials.
That’s a tie.
The trend is moving in the right direction. We have a month and a half to gain the lead. A month and a half ago, Biden’s lead was much larger. Also, the debates loom.
But NBC says Biden is up 51-43 nationallly ( ya right)
What is the D/R/I breakdown?
They are doing the same thing that they tried with Hillary Clinton. It won’t work any better!
They are doing the same thing that they tried with Hillary Clinton. It won’t work any better!
They are doing the same thing that they tried with Hillary Clinton. It won’t work any better!
No reasonable American is voting for a man with dementia
Biased Polls/trolls aside this race is not even going to be close
The rats need to start worrying about losing the house
42 point enthusiasm gap says otherwise.
We should win the State, it is the counting afterwards that bothers me.