Posted on 09/13/2020 7:41:02 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
Biden 51, Trump 46 (among both likely and registered voters)
(Excerpt) Read more at static.foxnews.com ...
This is a D+3 poll. Similar to the 2016 Exit Poll and the immediately prior Fox Poll. The D advantage was larger in yet prior Fox Polls.
Weighting for demographics doesn't fix response bias, it there is response bias within cells. We think we're going to do relatively well with blacks and Hispanics. This support registers in anonymous polls, but is not registering in live-caller polls (like this one). There is reason to suspect there is response bias in this and other live-caller polls because of within-cell bias, in spite of the reasonable edge of D's in party affiliation.
Every black and Hispanic you meet should be treated like a "shy Trump". The minority shy Trumps are likely to be the determining factor in this election, as they were in the last.
Back to the narrative. Trump's at 48 in approval. At 48, he's probable to be re-elected. There's a lot of history to back this up. 47 is touch and go. 49 very probable. 50 and above near certain. People will go with the devil they know. This time, like last, Trump will win among voters who disfavor both major party candidates. So, he doesn't need 50 percent approval to win. 48 or so should do it.
Last point: we're likely to have continued good news on the economy and the virus; and, Biden is likely to be a disaster in the debates. Even if the top line of this Fox Poll is correct, we're still in this race, but nobody should feel confident about this. We absolutely must run through the tape.
PURE BS!!!!
Fox has cancer and it looks terminal, are they kidding us?
Judas poll, along with their Woody “fallout” slander this morning.
Total garbage
Fox News Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) (formerly
known as Anderson Robbins Research) and Shaw & Company Research (R). Fieldwork conducted by Braun Research, Inc. of Princeton, NJ. Fox News Polls before 2011 were conducted by Opinion Dynamics Corporation
False polling data will be part of the Democrats argument to undo the election after the president is re-elected. They have already declared their intentions to challenge the election and will accept nothing short of a Biden victory.
‘pollster as a pejorative takeoff of the word huckster.’
Why the News Is Not the Truth - Harvard Business Reviewhbr.org › 1995/05 ›
The news media and the government have created a charade that serves their own interests but misleads the public. Officials …
Political scientist, Lindsay Rogers, by the way, coined the word pollster as a pejorative takeoff of the word huckster.
Search Results Web results 2016
Fox News Poll: Clinton moves to 4-point edge over Trump ...
www.foxnews.com › politics › fox-news-poll-clinton-mo...
Nov 7, 2016 - Fox News Poll: Clinton leads Trump 48-44 on election eve ... outperforms him on having the right temperament to serve as president (+23) and ... Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R) from November 3-6, 2016.
How is this even a possibility??? No one goes to see biden. Hes a hermit. Has no clue whats coming out of his mouth. Even the foreign press joke about biden and the democrats for the damn fools that they are!! Do the democrats really have the power to rig an election that is sooo far against their success in reality???
Is it possible that there is a "silent" majority of people quietly rooting for Biden?
That shows it narrowing quite a bit and Fox polls are routinely the worst.
The term is utterly meaningless when you have a scientifically corrupt sampling methodology. You can't measure the average altitude pigeons fly at by counting only pigeons that fly over 1500 feet or by counting pigeons that take the bait at your pigeon research station. They are inherently biased polls that don't represent all pigeons or all pigeons that fly.
What is weird is slightly more people think Biden has the mental fitness to be President than do Trump.
Black vote for Trump is only 5% in this poll, but Hispanic vote is a whopping 41%, which would tie GW Bush.
A worrying sign, Trump is even with Biden among white women, and is losing seniors (65+) badly.
Any analysis that speaks in terms of one and two point swings pretends the margin of error is zero.
You can’t use a yardstick as a micrometer. Doesn’t matter how hard you squint.
Wait until the debates (if they happen).
you do not get people to answer 67 questions who are not skewed to be overly political....There are many people who are not very political care to bits about anything but will vote ...Did you not get picked up in this pool because they would not answer 67 questions
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