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Hurricane Laura
NOAA/NHC ^ | 25 August 2020 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/25/2020 5:35:03 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Hurricane Laura emerged from the Caribbean Sea, leaving behind flooding and fatalities in Hispaniola and Cuba. Former Hurricane Marco dissipated Tuesday morning, a few hours before Laura strengthened to a hurricane.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

NHC Public Advisories

NHC Forecast Discussions

NWS Local Statements


Lake Charles Radar Loop
Houston/Galveston Radar Loop
New Orleans Radar Loop
Buoy Obs Near Laura Track

KFDM News Beaumont/Port Arthur
KBTV Fox4 Beaumont
KPLC News Lake Charles Twitter
KHOU News Houston
KHOU News Twitter

Port Arthur News

TS Laura and Marco Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: Louisiana; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; la; laura; tx
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To: janetjanet998

..LAURA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE AT LANDFALL ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST...

10:00 PM CDT Tue Aug 25

Location: 25.2°N 89.5°W

Moving: WNW at 17 mph

Min pressure: 978 mb

Max sustained: 90 mph

Hurricane Laura Discussion Number 25
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
1000 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2020

Laura’s cloud pattern is becoming better organized on satellite
images, with a banding feature over the eastern portion of the
circulation and an expanding central dense overcast with cloud tops
of -80C or colder. The upper-level outflow is becoming better
established over the northwestern quadrant. Flight-level and
SFMR-observed surface winds from NOAA and Air Force Hurricane
Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum winds have increased to
near 80 kt, and the central pressure is falling. The hurricane is
expected to remain over SSTs near 30 deg C until it nears the coast,
with only moderate vertical shear. The SHIPS Rapid Intensification
Index shows a significant probability for a 25-30 kt increase in
strength during the next 24 hours, and this is reflected in the
official forecast. This is also between the simple and corrected
intensity model consensus predictions. Laura will weaken rapidly
after landfall, but it will likely bring hurricane-force winds well
inland over extreme western Louisiana and eastern Texas.

Aircraft and satellite fixes show a continued west-northwestward
track with an initial motion estimate near 300/15 kt. The track
forecast reasoning has not changed. The hurricane should gradually
turn toward the northwest and north over the next day or two as it
moves around the western periphery of a mid-level high and into a
weakness into the subtropical ridge. Later in the forecast period
the cyclone should turn toward the east-northeast and move with
increasing forward speed while embedded within the westerlies. The
official track forecast is very similar to the previous one and
also very close to the simple and corrected consensus track model
predictions.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 26/0300Z 25.2N 89.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 26/1200Z 26.5N 91.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 27/0000Z 28.7N 93.1W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 27/1200Z 31.2N 93.8W 70 KT 80 MPH...INLAND
48H 28/0000Z 33.7N 93.6W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
60H 28/1200Z 36.0N 92.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
72H 29/0000Z 37.2N 89.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
96H 30/0000Z 38.0N 78.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H 31/0000Z 42.0N 65.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP


141 posted on 08/25/2020 7:55:38 PM PDT by janetjanet998
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To: mylife

Dive!
Dive!
Dive!


142 posted on 08/25/2020 8:42:11 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: smokingfrog

Neighbor.................

How longs it been since ya had a nice steamin bowl of

Wolf Brand Chili ?

Well, .... that’s to long !


143 posted on 08/25/2020 9:01:44 PM PDT by advertising guy (It's all fun and games til someone farts , you don't have a fart on you now do you Swalwell ?)
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To: miserare; janetjanet998

Might as well have some music.

Prayers that it won’t be too bad.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Yzgqclyvx0


144 posted on 08/25/2020 9:11:45 PM PDT by thecodont
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To: lonestar

Long time no see/hear from, lonestar.

Hope your place fares well.

We are on the FARRRRRRR west side (of Houston) of this.

Hopefully, not another Rita or Ike.


145 posted on 08/25/2020 9:15:52 PM PDT by Jane Long (Praise God, from whom ALL blessings flow.)
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To: advertising guy

You’re right. I should have stocked up on Nathan’s & Wolfs Brand in case the power goes out when the hurricane hits.


146 posted on 08/25/2020 10:02:29 PM PDT by smokingfrog ( sleep with one eye open (<o> ---)
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To: janetjanet998
Thank you kindly! As of now, the center of Laura is plotted to pass within ten miles of our home -- I'll make good use of the info...

TXnMA
  

147 posted on 08/25/2020 10:11:22 PM PDT by TXnMA (Anagram: "PANDEMIC --> DEM PANIC")
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To: smokingfrog

I’m in Phoenix and I got 6 cans on the shelf

just in case


148 posted on 08/25/2020 10:57:06 PM PDT by advertising guy (It's all fun and games til someone farts , you don't have a fart on you now do you Swalwell ?)
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Laura Expected to Rapidly Strengthen to Category 4...

500 AM EDT Update

Location...About 315 MI SSE of Lake Charles LA
...About 335 MI SE of Galveston TX
Max Sustained Winds...110 MPH
Moving...NW at 15 MPH
Minimum Pressure...973 MB

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from the center
and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

149 posted on 08/26/2020 2:19:31 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: NautiNurse

Not to take anything from our friends to the east but our local forecast in Houston says expect 1 to 3 inches of rain. I work for a local police department and as of now we are staying on our regular shifts unlike in the past with other storms.


150 posted on 08/26/2020 2:26:35 AM PDT by OldJoeClark ("If a man's from Texas, he'll tell you. If he's not, why embarrass him by asking?" - John Gunther)
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To: All

Hurricane Laura Discussion Number 26
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132020
400 AM CDT Wed Aug 26 2020

Satellite images indicate that Laura has become a formidable
hurricane since yesterday evening. Deep convection has intensified and become more symmetric, with an eye now trying to clear out.

...The models are in very good agreement on the center of Laura moving into extreme southwestern Louisiana or southeastern Texas in about 24 hours, so no changes were made to the previous NHC forecast.


151 posted on 08/26/2020 2:27:04 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: All
Key Messages:

1. Life-threatening storm surge with large and dangerous waves is
expected to produce potentially catastrophic damage from San Luis
Pass, Texas, to the Mouth of the Mississippi River, including areas
inside the Port Arthur Hurricane Flood Protection system. This surge
could penetrate up to 30 miles inland from the immediate coastline
in southwestern Louisiana and southeastern Texas.
Actions to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion as water levels
will begin to rise later today.

2. Hurricane-force winds are expected tonight in the warning area
from San Luis Pass, Texas, to west of Morgan City, Louisiana, and
the strongest winds associated with Laura's eyewall will occur
somewhere within this area. Hurricane-force winds and widespread
damaging wind gusts are also expected to spread well inland into
portions of eastern Texas and western Louisiana early Thursday.

3. Widespread flash flooding along small streams, urban areas, and
roadways is expected to begin this afternoon into Thursday from far
eastern Texas, across Louisiana and Arkansas. This will also lead
to minor to isolated moderate freshwater river flooding. The heavy
rainfall threat and localized flash and urban flooding potential
will spread northeastward into the middle-Mississippi, lower Ohio
and Tennessee Valleys Friday night and Saturday.

152 posted on 08/26/2020 2:30:53 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: OldJoeClark

Thanks for your local report. Not looking good for our friends along the TX/LA border.


153 posted on 08/26/2020 2:33:58 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: NautiNurse

Wow!!!!!


154 posted on 08/26/2020 2:59:38 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: NautiNurse

Wow!!!!!


155 posted on 08/26/2020 2:59:38 AM PDT by sheikdetailfeather
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To: smokingfrog

We were rocking and rolling 500 ft down.


156 posted on 08/26/2020 3:10:32 AM PDT by mylife (Opinions: $1, Today's Special, Half Baked: 50c)
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To: All

157 posted on 08/26/2020 3:13:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Trumptilla MOAB--Mother of All Boat Parades--Clearwater FL, 8-15-2020)
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To: NautiNurse

Pretty...


158 posted on 08/26/2020 3:29:24 AM PDT by dakine
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To: smokingfrog

When we surfaced all hell came down on us.


159 posted on 08/26/2020 3:55:27 AM PDT by mylife (Opinions: $1, Today's Special, Half Baked: 50c)
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To: advertising guy

Texas brand chili is better.


160 posted on 08/26/2020 3:56:21 AM PDT by mylife (Opinions: $1, Today's Special, Half Baked: 50c)
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