Posted on 08/22/2020 1:57:34 AM PDT by NautiNurse
The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season continues to heat up as we are two weeks shy of average season peak activity. Two tropical systems are taking aim at the Gulf of Mexico concurrently. Tropical Storm Laura has formed east of the Leeward Islands. Marco is approaching the Yucatan Peninsula.
There is a possibility we may see the amazing Fujiwhara Effect, where two storms within 870 miles of each other will dance around each other. If one storm is significantly stronger, the weaker storm will be absorbed into the stronger storm. If the two storms are similar in size, they can gravitate toward each other until they reach a common point where they either merge or they spin each other around for a while before they spin off in different directions. The likelihood of a Fujiwhara Effect is low, however, due to the relatively small area in the Gulf of Mexico.
Laura's fate is dependent upon the extent of interaction with the tall mountains of Hispanola and Cuba.
Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.
WHAT WE DO KNOW FOR SURE
ITS ALL BULLSH__T
Yeah tracking these things has to be tough.Especially, when just a wobble away from the anticipated track can put the center of a storm over water or over land which makes so much difference.
You know it! Hey—I noticed buoy 42023 out in the GOM is working AND it is managed by the University of So. FL. Not sure there are enough students in marine or meteorology sciences, but it might be a good idea to have them adopt maintenance of more offshore buoys.
Just privatize it all let some advertising be sold to pay for the maintenance. Let private enterprise do the maintenance without the need for govt. budgets which undoubtedly have all been politicized.
When you see buoys with all kinds of info that no one ever goes near and than see the most populated areas in state waters without any info for dozens of miles it doesn't take much intellect to figure out something went wrong somewhere.
Good morning! Checking in from south Louisiana :)
Giving the hurricanes female names was a practice for several decades that got started by the pilots that would go up and track the hurricanes for wind direction and coordinates.
Then they made half the names male sometime in the late ‘70s or early ‘80s. The first significant storm with a male name was Hurricane David and I still remember the jokes:
“We have our first Jewish hurricane! We can tell because it is heading straight for Miami Beach.”
There were jokes about David getting circumcized and Bar Mitzvahed. This was back when America had a sense of humor.
Does anyone know of any sort of website or blog that has ever taken previous hurricane “predictions” and did a side by side with what really happened vs what the models and/or weather pros have said?
I’ve seen things like that here or there with one specific hurricane but not where they’re all in one place.
It just feels like this far out, they rarely get it right.
And in this circumstance with 2 storms, it seems more like a crap shoot.
Glad you have checked in before greeting the dueling hurricanes. I suppose this means your preparations include double supplies? Water, tarps, sandbags?
The NHC does a post-storm analysis for each named storm. Wiki has synopses of storms by name for each hurricane season. Perhaps that can get you started toward your goal.
We will fill some containers with water, but we have never lost water during a storm, hopefully that will hold true again. My husband keeps the generator ready, topped off our fuel supply. He trimmed some limbs away from the roof yesterday, and we’ll pick all the loose stuff up today and secure the porch swings, etc. checked the lanterns & batteries; I think we’re good. Gonna go check on my elderly parents and make sure they’re OK. We are not in a flood prone area, thankfully so we don’t have to sandbag.
I'm an old guy and still have a sense of humor. Problem for most is that no one has a sense of history. Few know what happened before the year 2000,it's sad.
Many of the younger folks like the music from the 60's and 70's everything from the Beatles to Grand Funk to Dirty Jim Morrison but few know the history.
THe house we are in now had a generator.Two days before we took possession the previous owner removed it.He tried to sell it back to me several months later.I can’t print what I told him.....
My thoughts about university ownership and maintenance go along with the excellent quality provided when performance and outcome is graded. One example, it's pretty well known that if you want quality dental work done for reasonable prices, you go to a dental school where the dental students are evaluated on their performance.
For buoy maintenance, it could be any combo of marine/meteorology sciences, and trade schools. I would imagine a good number of young adventurers would jump at the chance to become seafaring buoy doctors.
Sounds like you are as ready as can be for the storms. Glad you are looking after your parents too. Good daughter!
Excellent idea,with workers like that you might see video of the surrounding area which would go a long way to add to the info we currently get.Also, fishing reports,diving conditions, water turbidity all could be added to comprehensive reports.Lots of boaters would gladly pay for all that rather than what little they get now.
1100 AM NHC Update
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Wow if Laura’s forward speed keeps up,21 mph, that will make a huge difference on how much damage it does.
Oh really? They compare their projections to reality? That’s pretty cool! I’ll check it out. Thanks!
The forecast track is nudged westward, tracking Laura along a more southerly route across Cuba. Current U.S. landfall forecast along TX/LA border Wednesday PM.
Example: Hurricane Michael
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