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If This Poll Is Accurate, Trump Will Be Reelected Easily
pjmedia.com ^ | 8/2/2020 | matt margolis

Posted on 08/02/2020 9:14:47 PM PDT by bitt

President Donald Trump’s job approval hit its highest level in more than five months in Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential Tracking Poll from Friday, reports CNSNews.

According to the poll, 50 percent of likely voters approve of Trump, with 39 percent strongly approving. Disapproval was at 48 percent, with 43 percent strongly disapproving.

Trump’s approval in this poll was boosted by black voters. According to Rasmussen, a slight majority of black voters approve of Trump, and a higher percentage of minority voters approve of the president.

Two months ago, black likely voter approval for President Trump in the Rasmussen Reports daily tracking poll was at 40 percent. In August 2019, black voter approval for Trump stood at 26 percent.

Trump received 8 percent of the African American vote in 2016.

I was very much skeptical of Rasmussen’s 40 percent approval number two months ago. Approval that high from black voters would make Trump’s reelection all but certain. While I question the results of this poll, I do believe that it is possible that it could be more accurately capturing the trend of black approval for Trump. If Trump’s approval from likely black voters was at 26 percent a year ago, it is certainly possible that the economic improvements black Americans experienced prior to the pandemic could have resulted in a surge of support.

I don’t see it hitting 40 percent or even 26 percent, let alone 50 percent. But is it possible that Trump could get 10 to 12 percent of the black vote in November? I can see that.

Rasmussen was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2016, but even they urge caution in putting too much stock in these numbers. “Fact Check: True,” they tweeted. “However since this is represented in only 1 overnight polling

(Excerpt) Read more at pjmedia.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Extended News; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 40states; 42states; election; landslide; poll; rasmussen
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To: oldenuff35

They haven’t stopped talking about impeachment to remove the POTUS.

If Biden gets in and the repubes don’t impeach him for Burisma or China then all is lost.


21 posted on 08/02/2020 11:13:10 PM PDT by zaxtres
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To: Dave W
Ballot harvesting is legal only in Cali and a few other states, so I don't see that as being an issue. Trump doesn't have a prayer in Cali, so while not ok to ballot harvest, it doesn't really hurt him - except in the popular vote and that is important, too.

The Republicans need to ballot harvest in select districts of California - especially those where they lost to the Democrats through ballot harvesting in 2016.

22 posted on 08/02/2020 11:14:46 PM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Mocking Liberals is not only a right, but the duty of all Americans.)
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To: Cowboy Bob

2018...not 2016


23 posted on 08/02/2020 11:16:22 PM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Mocking Liberals is not only a right, but the duty of all Americans.)
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat
I agree with you on ballot harvesting. The republicans lost 7 seats to ballot harvesting in California - not enough to keep the House, but enough to make a dent.

Unfortunately, states get to make their own election law and ballot harvesting is legal in California. I sure hope the republicans have learned their lesson and will be out there harvesting votes, too in November. I think they have 14 days after the election to bring more votes in. It is appalling and should not be allowed.

I'm not certain why it is allowed. The constitution states the election is on the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November. It does not state that the election is held from September 15 when early voting starts in some states to November 17th. I would like to see it challenged in federal court.

24 posted on 08/02/2020 11:16:52 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: May Bee

Everyone is talking ballot harvesting but there is another scheme afoot. It is quite possible Trump does not get the overall popular vote due to the larger population density cities. Then according to the movement the states who have voted against their constituents’ wishes to have the electoral votes go to the candidate with the most popular votes. Then with the recent SCOTUS decision which compels the Electoral College to vote the way the state has stated them to vote. Thus if Trump wins the state but the state is under the pact to vote according to the overall popular vote, then state can compel their Electoral College member to vote for the candidate with the most votes in the nation overall.

Since the Electoral college members are elected in December for each state, it won’t help to delay the total vote count by media. Besides the info is going to get out whether we don’t want it to or not.


25 posted on 08/02/2020 11:22:34 PM PDT by zaxtres
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To: Dave W

It should damn well be illegal these are 3rd parties bringing ballots in with NO witness to the vote actually happening, NO guarantees on the signature I can see a family member turning in a ballot but NOT a total stranger!! These people are just filling out these ballots they are NOT actually meeting with the voters NO WAY!! Days after the election should also be illegal for federal elections this needs to be federal law!! State elections are one thing but FEDERAL ELECTIONS should be under federal law!!!


26 posted on 08/02/2020 11:36:28 PM PDT by Trump Girl Kit Cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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To: 353FMG

Good post. Thanks. Bump.


27 posted on 08/02/2020 11:46:30 PM PDT by Barnacle (Build the wall!)
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To: Dave W
Trump doesn't have a prayer in Cali, so while not ok to ballot harvest, it doesn't really hurt him - except in the popular vote and that is important, too.

Well, for one, California has seven Republican members of Congress, including three of the best, Tom McClintock, Kevin McCarthy and Devin Nunes, not to mention the districts that might be swung back Republican if there is a fair vote.

28 posted on 08/03/2020 12:01:07 AM PDT by Barnacle (Build the wall!)
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The Rats will lose, and they’ll continue to crap in everyone’s breakfast...


29 posted on 08/03/2020 12:26:11 AM PDT by Gene Eric (On Don't be a statist!)
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To: oldenuff35

If he’s re-elected easily, then Kevin McCarthy should be the new Speaker (though I’d prefer Jim Jordan, but it won’t happen).


30 posted on 08/03/2020 12:43:40 AM PDT by rfp1234 (Caveat Emperor)
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To: zaxtres

That pact will not be legal, because the states that adhere to it have much fewer than 270 electoral votes collectively.


31 posted on 08/03/2020 12:47:00 AM PDT by rfp1234 (Caveat Emperor)
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To: bitt

I HOPE HOPE HOPE!!!!


32 posted on 08/03/2020 12:53:08 AM PDT by tallyhoe
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To: bitt

We would have figuratively juked for these polls anywhere in 2016


33 posted on 08/03/2020 1:05:13 AM PDT by toddausauras (How far will the left go in terms of destroying our personal freedoms?)
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To: bitt

The latest Democracy Poll looks even better for President Trump.
Reflects some of the inroads made with blacks and Latinos.


34 posted on 08/03/2020 1:21:10 AM PDT by Revolutionary ("Praise the Lord and Pass the Ammunition!")
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To: bitt
I want to believe this, but Washington is already planning the Dim celebration. The filibuster will be eliminated. DC and PR will be new states. All of Trump's reforms will be reversed. And a new Marxist President will be inaugurated when Biden either dies or is 25th Amendmented out (which I think is the plan). That is what the Swamp and media believe will happen.

I want to believe it won't but this year has been a Sh#!t sandwich and it isn't getting any better.

35 posted on 08/03/2020 1:23:39 AM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: Secret Agent Man
theonly way he loses is by massive democrat cheating via fraudulent mail-in voting and ballot harvesting

That's the plan.

36 posted on 08/03/2020 1:47:14 AM PDT by Ingtar
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To: Barnacle

Seven out of 51 is really pathetic. The party lost 7 seats to ballot harvesting, so hopefully those seats are flipped again in 2020. Already one of those seats have flipped in a special election and it wasn’t even close.


37 posted on 08/03/2020 2:04:51 AM PDT by Dave W
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To: bitt

I believe the retirement of 26 Republicans and eight Democrats that walked away from their political careers at the end of the 115th Congress was because they saw the shit show coming. I also believe that many of those Republicans knew they would be a target for their corruption, and high tailed it out of town. That being said, it was both good and bad for the right. Bad in that the right lost the House, good in that the right wouldn’t be bashed and provide cover for the left and lame stream media.


38 posted on 08/03/2020 3:04:29 AM PDT by MAAG (Tetelestai, paid in full. You are as righteous as God is. Double jeopardy is forbidden.)
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To: Secret Agent Man

theonly way he loses is by massive democrat cheating via fraudulent mail-in voting and ballot harvesting
___________________________________
But, how do you call an election when millions of votes never get counted? We know the liberals will never finish the count.


39 posted on 08/03/2020 3:41:06 AM PDT by iontheball
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To: bitt
Like ALL polls, even the ones I like, I really have little belief in them as future predictors.

I have more faith in the accuracy of this poll, but who tells pollsters the truth?

If Trump and the pubbies can limit mail in voting to a few states, like CA and NY, where he has no chance anyway, then we will win.

If this mail in fraud spreads, we are in real trouble.

40 posted on 08/03/2020 3:53:44 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB, TERRORISTS, NOW!)
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