Posted on 07/23/2020 3:33:40 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump in the battleground states of Michigan, Minnesota, and Pennsylvania, according to Fox News statewide registered voter surveys.
Biden benefits from strong support among women, nonwhite voters, and those living in suburban areas, while Trump suffers from a lackluster performance among men and White voters.
In each state’s head-to-head matchup, the president underperforms both his 2016 vote share and his current job approval rating -- and Biden’s edge is larger than the survey’s margin of sampling error.
At the same time, a lot could change between now and the election, which is more than three months away, and many voters are still undecided.
Notably, voters in each of these states can request and return absentee ballots starting mid-September.
Here’s how the results break down state-by-state:
Michigan Biden maintains his lead in Michigan, topping Trump by 9 points, 49-40 percent. In April, he was ahead by 8 points (49-41 percent).
Eleven percent of voters are undecided or support a third-party candidate.
Women give Biden his lead. They back him over Trump by an 18-point margin (53-35 percent), while support among men splits 45 percent apiece.
Biden is also ahead among nonwhites (+61 points), independents (+19), voters ages 65 and over (+17), and suburban voters (+9). Among the 53 percent who are extremely interested in the election, Biden is up by 10 points (53-43 percent).
Trump’s best groups include Whites without a college degree (+10 points) and White voters overall (+5).
Some 45 percent of Michigan voters approve of the job he’s doing, while 54 percent disapprove. That puts him underwater by 9 points. In April, his ratings were upside-down by only 4 (47-51 percent).
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
Women ... always feelings over logic.
Hope they enjoy their Green New Deal; endless BLM marches, looting, rioting; and other loss of liberties when their “man” wins. They are like the women who got on the rail cars to their “new homes near Auschwitz” and believed the guards that they had nothing to fear.
Doing everything to make the results of their fraud look normal.
Fox polls are trash. They are consistent outliers to the left. Notice how they are already couching this garbage with “but a lot could change.”
I’ve seen that narrative in many of the push polls over the past couple of weeks.
They are peddling trash.
Nwrep is a worthless never-Trump troll. Always remember that with anything that he posts.
You are misinformed. Biden crushed Trump in the primary by 211,000 votes, and that doesn’t count 287,000 voted for Sanders
https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/
“Which is why he is changing his approach - yes to masks, no to convention, etc. The current approach is losing, so he needs to make these changes.”
—
I suspect it also factors in the changes in the press meetings this week. No more 2-3 hours of getting in shouting matches with reporters or going off on long needless rambling forays into the weeds. He doesn’t need another bleach comment controversy. Keep it short, realistic and upbeat as possible seems to be the new method, for the time being.
And don't forget the massive turnouts to his "events," as well as the compelling, forceful and convincing speeches he makes in support of his candidacy.
You are forgetting one thing. I have seen it in Florida. Many white voters since George Floyd are feeling uncontrollable guilt. They now speak with such hatred for having been born white. They want to pay reparations and be relieved of their property. They believe Biden will be the one to help them do those two things and they are going to vote accordingly. Have met lawyers who say they have too many cases, doctors who say thry gave too many patients. The white guilt has become overwhelming. I hope to god I am wrong. I knew trump would win in 2016. White penance is the problem. Liberalism needs to be quarantined. He doesn’t need rallies. He has an army of those who want to be absolved for their perceived sins.
Although we live here in a foreign country (Maryland), we've held on to property in both southwestern VA & western PA thinking that they would be an investment as bug-out destinations when the storm hits... Living here on the shores of the Chesapeake Bay have always known that going east was not an option...
Beginning to feel as though we might end up with an Alamo-like experience...
I don’t believe that there are enough brain dead people in this country to elect Biden.
Yes, I am misinformed and rather crushed. I posted results from the very site you linked just after primary day. Trump had the lead. The mail-in votes were not completely counted at the time, but I didn’t think to go back weeks afterwards and check again. This vote by mail and whole ChiCom flu hoax really open this election to voter suppression and mail-in fraud.
Ask Hillary about polls.
Minnesota hasn’t voted for a Republican president since 1972. It was the only state that didn’t vote for Reagan in 1984.
If Minnesota is competitive, the Dems can’t trust to any of their historical strongholds.
Biden is in the last stages of Alzheimer’s.
In six months, he will be sundowning at the White House.
Secret Service will have their hands full trying to keep him from riding up and down in the elevator, roaming the halls looking for little girls, and sniffing the drapes.
Sharp objects will have to be locked away.
And what will happen when he confuses the nuclear button with the TV remote?
Don’t believe polls, folks. killery was up 13+ points in October and there was reporting that she would win by a landslide.
Go out and vote in November and bring a few friends.
JoMa
What is the point in polling unlikely voters?
“””Minnesota hasn’t voted for a Republican president since 1972.””””””
Yes, I am aware. I live just west of the occupied territory of Minneapolistan. People here are incredibly fed up with the weak leadership. People want a change.
We shall see how it goes.
I quit doing polls in 2016 for this very reason.
First, Q and Fox are consistently two of the very worst polls out there.
Second, when they get serious with GOP %, like D+1 at best, then they “might” have something.
Third, I suspect they are STILL asking for the “youngest voter in the home,” but now don’t note that in their methodology.
Fourth, the fact that TWO major news outlets ran by “Back to School” story from two weeks ago, but dressed up in their own “reporting,” should tell you I was on to something:
DemoKKKrats will be down 18-24 year old voters by 30% MINIMUM. I think the fact these stories were run suggests the DemoKKKrats think it may be closer to 50%.
I spoke with Baris this week. He has Trump up in PA, down maybe 1 in WI-—but cautioned that WI has a lot of true “swing” voters and that they literally swing within months, so it’s not a big deal. Barris has Trump up in FL comfortably. My guys in OH think Trump is more than safe in OH. Baris also thought ESPECIALLY because of the lower student vote Trump would take NH this time. He said MN was looking very competitive and that the outer belt suburbs would be the key. If they are spooked by the riots, Trump will take MN.
Ras has a poll (there I go, talking about polls) showing Trump with, over two days, 30% and 31% black approval. I caution you, while this is true, it does NOT translate into the same % of black votes. I still think Trump gets 11-12% black vote, but another 5-6% stay home. You might get Kanye getting 1% or more. Biteme will have a hard time getting above 78%. This is flat out fatal for the DemoKKKrats at all levels.
I remain cautious about the House. We’ve had some good candidates step up, and I have us with about 6 pretty likely flips. That means we need about 12-13 more solid candidates have to win their races. There are at least 10 vulnerable districts besides the 6 I listed (2 in IA, 3 in CA, 2 in TX, 1 in NJ, 1-2 in NY). These are only the ones I know of. We still could use pickups in MI, IL, CO, FL, and VA, and we’d be more than set.
I still have the senate as 52-48, losing AZ and CO and gaining AL.
The latest #s from Ravi show that Rs continue to gain ground in FL, posting big gains in Polk, hanging tough in Gadsden, and NOT falling behind much in Broward. Overall Rs have cut the D total advantage in FL from about 1m in 2012 to just 266,000 today. A WI analysis found that Rs had outregistered Ds in Dane and Milwaukee Counties by 37,000. Baris had not seen that and thinks it is highly significant.
Be wary of polls by “FLDude” on Twit. He has never, ever shown his methodology, which I suspect is reading goat entrails.
It appears Trump was right to shake up his campaign, given that there will be no convention and few if any rallies. This will be a campaign like no other.
Wow.
“ We still could use pickups in MI, IL, CO, FL, and VA, and we’d be more than set.”
I think Ives will take the seat here in suburban DuPage County from Casten. She’s running hard and he’s running scared.
L
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