Posted on 07/10/2020 7:31:08 PM PDT by RandFan
Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin (Mich.), a first-term member who represents a district President Trump won by roughly 7 points in 2016, said that polls showing the president trailing former Vice President Joe Biden are inaccurate.
I dont believe it, Slotkin told Politico Magazine when asked about recent polls showing Biden performing well in key swing states, such as Michigan. FiveThirtyEight currently has Biden nearly 10 points ahead of Trump in Slotkins state of Michigan.
The former CIA analyst said there are too many variables at play for a poll to accurately reflect what will happen in November.
Listen, if anyone tells me they can accurately predict what major events are coming in the remainder of 2020, Ill give them a thousand dollars, Slotkin said. I mean, this has been the year of black swans. I dont for one minute think this [presidential] race is safe in anyones column. Ive been literally begging people to ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time. And if 2020 has taught us anything, its that we have no idea whats coming next.
Slotkin, who was part of a wave of Democrats who won races in 2018, is considered one of the more vulnerable Democrats facing reelection this November. She was one of several swing district Democrats to face scrutiny from Republicans in her district over the House's impeachment vote.
Slotkins said when she hired a pollster in 2018, she used a tactic she learned while working at the Pentagon to probe them on why they didnt accurately predict the results of the 2016 election.
He told me that they fundamentally undercounted the Trump vote; that the Trump voter is not a voter in every single election, that they come out for Trump, so theyre hard to count, Slotkin said of Al Quinlan of GQR, a large Washington-based polling firm.
Surveys often count people they determine are likely voters, but Slotkin learned that a person who tells a pollster that they dont have plans to vote but may ultimately do so were fundamentally undercounted.
I believe that same thing is happening right now, Slotkin said.
If they do, how will folks know what part to throw out and what part to keep?
With the same results. After the 2006 election dim-0s took over both houses of congress and put us in recession within a year. This time they took over just the house and be damned if they aint made the economy even worse that then by exploiting peoples fear of corona. dim-0 gubners shut down the economy.
Translation: Slotkins believes she is not going to be reelected. Her polls show the Trump coat tails will drag her out of office
“Ive been literally begging people to ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time.”
And people don’t understand that pollsters typically survey by demographic class that is meant to skew results. If they survey 75% RATs and 25% GOP (which they do), then the results will favor the RAT side.
People generally believe that the questions asked are fair, and that an equal/fair sample is being surveyed. There’s that, and there’s push polling which also skews results in a certain way.
I completely understand...my corporation is uber leftist. They throw transgendered, gay, BLM crap on everyone and if you disagree openly...you WILL be terminated. No questions asked.
Everyone knows Biden is ahead by a 1000 percentage points. Democrats can rest easy, its in the bag.
Yeah, they can stay home and mainline fentanyl, smoke dope, drink ThunderBird and eat junk food instead of having to vote.
Biden will win even if no one votes for him.
I think that the fireworks were cancelled because they could not get the necessary permits.
When were the Clintons ever concerned, about getting permits or obeying the law from “Thou shall not Kill! to firing off fireworks.
Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin (Mich.), a first-term member
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use discretion, she’s a Clown In Action
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