Nevada? What is the polling in Nevada and Arizona say?
Not that we trust them.
“Nevada? What is the polling in Nevada and Arizona say?”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
I don’t know about the polling, but it’s safe to say that NV is in play.
I was simply trying to establish the importance of NH’s 4 EVs. I’m sure the scenario I shared is one that is being discussed by the Trump campaign.
They don’t poll illegal alien voters in Nevada. However, if the lockdown continues, most of the worker will move before November. This favors Biden, as then those votes can be harvested by absentee ballot.
Rats seem to churn out a poll showing them up in AZ every couple weeks.
But a gravis/OANN poll from late June shows Trump +4 with likely voters. Rats dismiss it because it was for OANN.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2020/Gravis_Arizona_June_2020.pdf
You can see here it’s crosstabs, massive edge for Biden among non-2016 voters and Trump getting a surprising 24% of the Jill Stein vote, 22% of Blacks (less 5% of the state so I’m guessing very small sample size) and an extremely high 76% of Asians. The poll also has McSally up 4, and has her leading among blacks, if anything that’s worrying for suggesting such a wide gap among blacks in favor of Senator who generally runs about 4 or 5 points behind Trump in most polls.
I don’t know what to make of ANY polling right now, I figure differentials are more useful than the actual numbers......where is Cambridge analytica when you need it.
I know of no recent NV polling.