Posted on 05/20/2020 12:26:20 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
The economy has gone from President Donald Trump's greatest political asset to perhaps his biggest weakness.
Unemployment is spiking at an unprecedented rate. Consumer spending is vanishing. And GDP is collapsing. History shows that dreadful economic trends like these spell doom for sitting presidents seeking reelection.
The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a "historic defeat" in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted.
The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the popular vote. That's a sharp reversal from the model's pre-crisis prediction that Trump would win about 55% of the vote. And it would be the worst performance for an incumbent in a century.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
Unemployment on purpose...not because of incompetence. Everyone knows it’s not real.
PENN MI WI and MI are why Trump might lose. At least according to Stossel’s site.
Could Trump win swing states on the second amendment argument? Biden seems horrible on gun rights.
Yes under traditional models he should get crushed. Bad economy = no re election.
However this is anything but a typical situation so applying that model to this blindly is naive.
Define “Open”. Open, BUT only 50% capacity allowed, masks required, limited hours, etc.?
“That is a fart in the wind”
You’re new to politics, huh?
The left will use the media to blame Trump as soon as they need to. Once this becomes an election issue, that video clip of Trump making that statement will appear in political commercials.
“This is classic horse vs. water problem. “
From what I have seen of restaurants and bar opening against orders has resulted in packed houses.
Why is it difficult? It doesn't need to be. It never has been in our nation's history when dealing with other diseases.
(stolen from FReeper knarf)
Your intellectual dishonesty is on display. Again
And it's you. Again. You really need a life.
You need to read up on polio outbreaks. Swimming pools, camps, playgrounds, beaches and movie theaters were closed. Polio affected mostly young people and polio season was the summer, so schools were closed and work places weren’t, but people took the disease very seriously indeed.
The fraud will not occur at the polls.
It is focused on absentee ballots, early voting, same day registration, mail in ballots, dual location voting, substitute voting (dead people, sick people,) ballot harvesting, etc.
Most fraudulent ballots are created before Election Day.
That’s true, she did. However she won the popular vote in California by a ton. That’s where she got her margin. First
point, voter fraud in the LA counties. Second point, here is a pointed lesson for the Electoral College. So now, we must destroy the EC.
It’s better than the old election model!!!
The stock market wasn’t up 369 points on the Dow today, and the NASDAQ 4.7% below its all-time high because investors expect the American public to elect a 77 year-old socialist perv with Alzheimer’s disease in a landslide.
More like a CNN wet dream
Nah President Trump will be fine
Just a fart in the wind
I sense you like blanket statements.
If you don’t think it will be difficult to rebuild our economy after it has been cut off in midstream for 2-3 months I think your reality resting is flawed.
We will have to see, I worry the most above voter fraud.
Must be the Hillary model.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.