Posted on 04/24/2020 8:53:49 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
In early March, President Donald Trump was lambasted for saying on Sean Hannity’s Fox News show that he had a hunch the coronavirus fatality rate, which the World Health Organization pegged then at 3 to 4 percent, was in fact much lower, under 1 percent. Many commentators, myself included pointed out that the beginning of a pandemic medical crisis was not the time to be floating hunches. But, as we always knew was possible, it looks now like the president might well have been right.
New data from random antibody tests conducted in New York State suggest that as many as 2.7 million people statewide have had the coronavirus. That along with the just over 15,000 deaths that have occurred leads to a fatality rate for the virus of .5 percent according to Gov. Andrew Cuomo.
Here is what Trump said on March 4:
“Well, I think the 3.4 percent is really a false number. Now, and this is just my hunch, and — but based on a lot of conversations with a lot of people that do this. Because a lot people will have this and it’s very mild. They’ll get better very rapidly. They don’t even see a doctor. They don’t even call a doctor.”
He went on to say:
“I think that that number (the WHO number) is very high. I think the number, personally, I would say the number is way under 1 percent.”
Democrats and media pundits blasted Trump for spreading “misinformation.”
Trump’s trusting his “hunch” on coronavirus’ fatality rate over the World Health Organization’s numbers.
There’s really no excuse for the president to be spreading this kind of misinformation to downplay a deadly disease.
WATCH: pic.twitter.com/hoVq8q6rRV
— DNC War Room (@DNCWarRoom) March 5, 2020
Trump has a “hunch” that coronavirus isn’t as bad as every expert says it is. pic.twitter.com/KID3XLYerf
— The Daily Show (@TheDailyShow) March 6, 2020
Trump blames Obama for coronavirus response, then says he has a “hunch” death rate is “false number” https://t.co/FukAOCkwIe via @slate
— AM Joy w/Joy Reid (@amjoyshow) March 6, 2020
While this data is preliminary, it is backed up by another study in Los Angeles that found 40 times more people had carried the virus then were previously known. This dropped the fatality rate in LA from 4.5 percent to .1-.3 percent.
It is difficult to stress how important these findings are. The 5-week lockdown that has destroyed the American economy was put in place by contemplating what looks to be rather absurd numbers by the WHO.
While the United States has nearly lost a terrible 50,000 lives to the virus, this radical shift in our understanding of just how deadly it really is should make us question not only the logic of the lockdown in the first place, but more importantly how much longer we are going to stay on this destructive course.
The fact of the matter is that back in early March, what Trump was saying made sense. We had conducted very few tests of asymptomatic people and consequently we were flying blind as to just what percentage of covid-19 cases were becoming critical or leading to death. If Trump’s informed “hunch” continues to be confirmed, it will require vast changes in how we are battling the virus.
For one thing, the idea of contact tracing, which Cuomo said yesterday would be led up by Mike Bloomberg in New York, comes under serious doubt with these new findings. For example, in New York City the sample suggests that about 20 percent or some 1.6 million people have already had the virus. At that rate of spread, tracing becomes a very dubious proposition.
It would be nice if Trump’s perspicacity on this issue led to the media giving him a little more respect on the Chinese Virus response, but that’s unlikely. Either way, the results are fantastic news. At a .5 percent fatality rate or lower, the coronavirus is not the killer we feared it was, and that should make everyone happy.
Looks Like Trump Was Right
It’s why he was elected bonus round reelected.
It was a very educated “guess.” The President understands numbers.
He does so much right, then he suggests taking a disinfectant internally.
I love the man, but sometimes I wish he’d stem the stream of consciousness.
He should not have listened to Fraud and Scarf.
I’m not a scientist or in the health field, but common sense should have lead pretty much anyone to come to the 1% or lower figure. The problem isn’t common sense or the truth. The problem is Trump had to buck all the medical leaders in his statement, and Americans of course generally trust their medical leaders.
RE: He does so much right, then he suggests taking a disinfectant internally.
You’ve been hoodwinked by the mainstream media even as a FReeper.
Please read the posts in this FR thread:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3838457/posts
In the above thread, See Posts #10, #14, #55 and #59
You will learn to understand what it means to READ IN CONTEXT.
That was not what he said or meant. Do not spread fallacies.
He has good common sense he’s not a guesser at things he thinks about them not much of that around now days.
Now so many seek face time with the media and damn the facts.
Partisan Media Shills update.
Testing for the COVID antibody will demonstrate that it’s way below 1%, which is happening now. How long before they stop testing for the antibody? Can’t have facts interrupt the push for mandatory international vaccination and widespread implementation of a surveillance state.
Fauci said it was going to kill us all.
Well then?
WTF are we doing?
Let’s get back to work!!!
I watched the video.
I get that he meant inject the light, using a doctor. And there are rabid Trump haters waiting to tear that apart. If you listen casually, it does sound like he’s saying inject disinfectants.
Hey, it’s only one and a half orders of magnitude off.
Seriously, someone should re-run the model predictions based on the new numbers, and throw up a new slide to tell us we can all stop hoarding toilet paper and get back to regular life that we all know will be coming back, one way or, another soon after nov. 3.
Trump needs an anti-fauci. The problem is that he shot his mouth off on live TV and told everyone that economists could not be trusted. Of course this is true but now he has to be his own anti-Fauci. My concern is that the MSM will pillory him again for this if he tries.
Whatever, if you have to /explain/ what he meant during a live PC, then that is a fail. Do not bully the people who notice what he said, LIVE. I do not hate my president, but this was a blunder.
RE: Whatever, if you have to /explain/ what he meant during a live PC, then that is a fail
Why? The media will MAKE HIM FAIL regardless of what he said. You think they did not do it to Reagan or Bush while giving a pass to Obama, Pelosi or Biden?
The MSM will be the MSM regardless of who the Republican President is.
Trump was WAY ahead of the curve...building the wall to prevent an outbreak from waltzing across the southern border, smacking tariffs on China to bring our supply chain and medical supplies back to these shores, and promoting freedom rather than government-mandated edicts and decrees pushed by unelected tzars and burrocrats.
Like all good LIEberals, he was against it before he was for it.
“he suggests taking a disinfectant internally. I love the man, but sometimes I wish he’d stem the stream of consciousness.”
Sometimes Jeanine Pirro says, “Are you stupid?” I won’t say it, but ...
I listened to the briefing and not once did I get an inkling of him saying to do that. OTOH, if people think he did say it, and they want to do it, I say, “Have at it!” Fewer low-I.Q. RAT voters in November.
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