Posted on 04/04/2020 5:55:04 PM PDT by bitt
The nasty Chinese coronavirus is taking a massive toll, not only in America, but also around the world. While not as deadly as past flu epidemics, the final numbers are not yet known. Most of those who catch the virus have mild symptoms, but a small percentage are not so lucky.
Those with severe disease may find themselves in an intensive-care unit, connected to a ventilator for several weeks, with no guarantee of returning home. Mitigation methods are in effect, expanding our vocabularies with now familiar terms of social distancing, quarantines, and stay-at-home orders. While mitigation reduces the spread, preventing hospitals from being overwhelmed with sick patients, the virus may persist longer in the community as a result, lengthening the duration of restrictions.
But this comes at an economic cost, the elephant in the room that few want to talk about. Do we rip the band-aid off quickly, causing more short-term pain, or remove it slowly, causing only discomfort, but for a much longer time? There is no right answer here. Sweden is trying its own no lockdown approach, radically different from its neighbors. Time will tell if Swedens plan worked. Perhaps every country, just like every state, needs a different approach, based on their unique circumstances.
How does America thread the needle between economic and public health? Whats the sweet spot? Both aspects must be addressed
27,000 jobs were lost from February to March, better than expected, but only the tip of the iceberg as closed businesses are forced to lay off employees in the coming weeks. 6.6 million Americans filed for unemployment last week, not surprisingly a record high. The stock market lost a third of its value over the past month, decimating savings and retirement accounts. T
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
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Follow what South Korea did:
Test baby, test!
Up until now there has been No threading of any needle. They took a meat axe to the economy and passed out a few bandaids. Even at that the DNC/MSM accuses Trump of choosing money over safety.
Herd immunity is key. Give this virus to the young and healthy. SK can get a relapse because they ignore this.
I was going to go back and see if there is any data on what the current herd immunity rate in Korea might be.
SK seems to have some knowledgeable biochemists. Now the race is on to find a vaccine to bump their current number before it comes back to bite them.
Medium term protection of the vulnerable and opening up the economy is only possible if we allow 60% of the population to get infected.
The threshold % seems to vary with the specific agent of disease. I read that Measles is 90%
I don’t think the CDC have any CV specific data to put that fraction in an interval of +/- 5%.
The public should be way past tired of this before Mothers’ Day.
The left is winning.
Let ‘er rip.
90% leads to eradication. 60% leads to the disease slowly fizzling to near nothing.
As will be the case with most highly infectious diseases. The problem is that you are trying to break the chain of propagation, and so enough have to be immune that on average one infected person passes it on to less than one person and thus the chain will die before it passes to everyone who isn't already infected. In fact you would like it to be much less than one. As folks have pointed out, American Natives did not develop herd immunity to smallpox.
Does let er rip mean that Jim Robinson is a Flubro?
No, but there’s no way the government can ‘plan’ a restart of the economy, so I say when it’s time, just let ‘er rip and let God sort it out via the free market.
Well... they might as well leave the schools closed for the duration (spare the kids from as much brainwashing as posible) and all non-essential parts of government should stay closed—permanently.
And who’s to say it’s time? Look around you. We’re pent up and rarin’ to go.
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Thread the needle? The "needle" has already been mutilated.
.... here is an attainable "sweet spot". (actually it may be about a half inch closer to the batter's hands -- it was just a nice picture.)
Yes indeed, sweet spot, and it looks to me as if that ball is heading to right field. He’s hitting the ball over the plate, rather than slightly in front of it. Not a criticism at all, especially today with the prominence of shifts.
Check out my thread on the poor guy in Kentucky.
(ankle bracelet)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3831889/posts
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Kentucky Directorate of Coronavirus Compliance Orders Ankle Monitors For Uncooperative Citizens
PS: It's time to start ignoring government, judges, and anyone in authority. They deserve zero respect.
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