Kudos to the panic-mongers for their stellar work!
Ha!
Everybody and their brother was quoting that study.
The Imperial London Study is the study that Clay Jenkins used to lockdown Dallas.
I have to wonder exactly what the guy said vs. what is being said here. Because this article flies in the face of actual epidemiological paradigms.
The high transmissibility of Covid-19 does not in any way support a supposition that it is already widespread. There simply is no evidence of that. The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.
Oxford experts think the Imperial College paper was complete crap:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/oxford-study-suggests-millions-people-221100162.html
It says they believe 1/2 the people in Britain have already contracted the disease. Good news if so.
Cue Rosanne Rosannadanna...
Looks like Flubros have the Chicken Freepers on the run.
Team Apocalypse is suspicious of this reassessment.
Politicians are starting to understand that we have destroyed the economy of the USA and possibly the world on the basis of the projections of a faulty model.
It is going to be fascinating to see who the various politicians will spin this. Even more interesting to see if we move forward with spending all those trillions of dollars approved by Congress.
I hope that the media that helped promote the panic will publicly apologize for being fear mongers.
Who is the author? Maxwell Smart?
At this very moment 2,000,000.00 people will die...
I’m telling you 200,000 folks are at death’s door...
Would you believe 20,000 and their mostly old and sick...
Is this the same English university that came up with the famous global warming hockey stick to warn us average temp now would be 160F
“Imperial College London coronavirus model”
WOW! I want to say “This is the first I heard of this, BUT IT ISN’T.
I’ve heard about it over the past several days on “Tipping Point” with Liz Wheeler on OANN.
Liz Wheeler WAY out in front on this! Saying this DEEPLY FLAWED study/paper was relied on by our Coronavirus task force. Now she is totally validated as the author admits he is WRONG!
“Ferguson thus dropped his prediction from 500,000 dead to 20,000.”
OOPS!
So the US has 75,233 (Johns Hopkins University) confirmed cases of Coronavirus, and not all of those are severe enough to require hospitalization, or a ventilator. And, some of those have died, but many more have recovered already.
It is also concentrated in just a few states. IF it were spread out equally among the states, it would be less than 1,500 ventilators per state. Some states are already reporting a “flattening of the curve” on new cases and deaths.
So why do I keep hearing that states like New York and California each need 30,000 MORE ventilators? Mulltiple other states are needing thousands more. How many do they already have? How many are they currently using?
If New York and California each get 30,000 new ventilators, they could put nearly ALL of the total currently diagnosed cases to date on ventilators and not even use their current supply -— including all the subclinical and ambulatory cases being picked up and reported on the drive through testing right now.
What am I missing?
Does anyone have his revised US numbers? If I recall correctly, he had us at 2 million dead.
Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased - which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize - which in turn implies it is less dangerous.”
Which was sort of obvious to people who were willing to think clearly about it.....and not panic and not wish for a crisis
The West should have done what South Korea did: test everyone, trace the contacts of those who tested positive, and then quarantine just those people and their contacts. If we had done that there would have been no need for such an extended quarantine. Unfortunately we missed our opportunity. The time to put this plan into action would have been January when the first COVID-19 cases arrived in the US. Now there are simply too many cases for this to be practical. Politicians , both Dem AND GOP, have a lot to answer for.
For those who are interested here is an updated interactive graph:
You can compare various US states or the US with other countries, toggle between linear and logarithmic mode, and scroll down to see adjustments for population.