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To: Hojczyk

I have to wonder exactly what the guy said vs. what is being said here. Because this article flies in the face of actual epidemiological paradigms.

The high transmissibility of Covid-19 does not in any way support a supposition that it is already widespread. There simply is no evidence of that. The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.


5 posted on 03/26/2020 10:45:49 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org)
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To: exDemMom
The high transmissibility of Covid-19 does not in any way support a supposition that it is already widespread.

A higher transmissibility than what we first thought would indicate that the disease is more widespread than we first though. It would also require that the disease be less symptomatic.

I have to wonder exactly what the guy said vs. what is being said here.

I agree with that. We need Ferguson's direct comments instead of Jim Hoft pharaprasing them.

7 posted on 03/26/2020 10:57:02 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: exDemMom

“The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.”

Same thing I say about the garlic on my door. Never had a vampire at my house, not a single one!


13 posted on 03/26/2020 11:08:04 AM PDT by SoCal Pubbie
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To: exDemMom

Here’s the paper being referred to, I think. When it was released, I read it with great alarm. Not because I agreed with its conclusions and recommendations, but because our glorious leaders would embrace them, and the consequences that would follow.

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf

Regarding to his mea culpas afterward — haven’t seen those.


29 posted on 03/26/2020 11:51:55 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-,)
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To: exDemMom
The high transmissibility of Covid-19 does not in any way support a supposition that it is already widespread. There simply is no evidence of that. The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.

Close to half of US cases have been from the NYC Metropolitan area.

In NYC, people commute to work in the subway/bus system. During rush hour, people are packed together tightly, standing touching each other, breathing in what the person next to you is breathing out.

In such an environment, anything contagious will spread VERY quickly, which may explain NYC's initially high numbers.

34 posted on 03/26/2020 11:59:11 AM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("Those who can make you believe absurdities, can make you commit atrocities." -- Voltaire)
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To: exDemMom
The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.

I say it's because everyone rushed out to buy TP.

I have at least as much basis for my statement as you have for yours.

36 posted on 03/26/2020 12:58:56 PM PDT by gogeo (The left prides themselves on being tolerant, but they can't even be civil.)
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