Posted on 03/26/2020 10:29:46 AM PDT by Hojczyk
1/ This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the @imperialcollege authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths - and who has now himself tested positive for #COVID; https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/ …
2/ He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. - more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.
3/ Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased - which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize - which in turn implies it is less dangerous.
4/ Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within “two to three weeks” - last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/196477/j-ideas-neil-ferguson-tells-mps-lockdown/ …
5/ One last point here: Ferguson gives the lockdown credit, which is *interesting* - the UK only began ita lockdown 2 days ago, and the theory is that lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work.
6/ Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US - I found it only in UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.
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(Excerpt) Read more at thegatewaypundit.com ...
Kudos to the panic-mongers for their stellar work!
Ha!
Everybody and their brother was quoting that study.
The Imperial London Study is the study that Clay Jenkins used to lockdown Dallas.
I have to wonder exactly what the guy said vs. what is being said here. Because this article flies in the face of actual epidemiological paradigms.
The high transmissibility of Covid-19 does not in any way support a supposition that it is already widespread. There simply is no evidence of that. The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.
Oxford experts think the Imperial College paper was complete crap:
https://www.yahoo.com/news/oxford-study-suggests-millions-people-221100162.html
It says they believe 1/2 the people in Britain have already contracted the disease. Good news if so.
A higher transmissibility than what we first thought would indicate that the disease is more widespread than we first though. It would also require that the disease be less symptomatic.
I have to wonder exactly what the guy said vs. what is being said here.
I agree with that. We need Ferguson's direct comments instead of Jim Hoft pharaprasing them.
Cue Rosanne Rosannadanna...
Looks like Flubros have the Chicken Freepers on the run.
Team Apocalypse is suspicious of this reassessment.
No, the high transmissibility is actually the reason we have the severe control measures that we have. Remember Ebola in 2015? Remember how no measures were taken to stop its spread in the US? That's because it is not very transmissible. There is no evidence to support a belief that Covid-19 is somehow spreading like wildfire or that there are millions of undiagnosed asymptomatic cases.
“The only thing that can be said is that control measures have been successful in slowing its spread.”
Same thing I say about the garlic on my door. Never had a vampire at my house, not a single one!
Politicians are starting to understand that we have destroyed the economy of the USA and possibly the world on the basis of the projections of a faulty model.
It is going to be fascinating to see who the various politicians will spin this. Even more interesting to see if we move forward with spending all those trillions of dollars approved by Congress.
I hope that the media that helped promote the panic will publicly apologize for being fear mongers.
I went to Yellowstone and received a flyer about avoiding buffalo because of the risk of getting gored. I hung it in my office, and am proud to say that not a single one of my employees was ever gored. Precautions work!
How about Bigfoot? Those beasts are potentially breeding at an exponential rate you know.
Who is the author? Maxwell Smart?
At this very moment 2,000,000.00 people will die...
I’m telling you 200,000 folks are at death’s door...
Would you believe 20,000 and their mostly old and sick...
“It is going to be fascinating to see who the various politicians will spin this.”
I can tell you with 100% certainty how it will be spun:
“It was only the drastic actions of the Federal Government and other centralized powers that prevented this from being a catastrophe beyond all imagination. The only way to hold off this ongoing crisis is for all Americans to surrender all their rights and for as much power as possible to be concentrated in the Federal Bureaucracy.
Otherwise you all will be KILLING YOUR GRANDMOTHERS!!!”
There is no evidence to support a belief that Covid-19 is somehow spreading like wildfire or that there are millions of undiagnosed asymptomatic cases.
We need to directly see Ferguson's evidence.
I simply stated that it was possible and how it could be so.
Certainly you would agree that, right?
Yepper...the TP hoarders saved us all...
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