As The Number Of Cases Has Expanded, The Mortality Rate Has Declined

Twitter ^ | 03/16/20 | Britt Hume

[Enlightened1]

As the number of cases has expanded, the mortality rate has declined. It will likely decline even further if and when those without symptoms can be diagnosed and counted.

 

US #CoronaVirusDeathRate by date:

4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases)

3.69% March 9 (26 of 704)

3.01% March 10 (30 of 994)

2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295)

2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695)

2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247)

1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954)

1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)

[SmokingJoe]

What happens when we get past the first 100,000?

Even China, with a population of 1.4 Billion, and medical facilities which are inferior to the US, managed to peak at less than 100,000. How the heck do you get 100,000 infections in the US with a population of only 333,000?

Those over 80 will be left to die. Then 70. Then pre-existing conditions

Stop trying to create mass hysteria out of nothing.

[SmokingJoe]

Also, the death rate is not the issue.

It is. Why do you think everyone fears getting cancer?

It is the infection/sick rate that will shut down the system.

Even is we end up getting infected at the same rate as the Chinese, that will make it far less than 100,000 infections. That is a tiny fraction of the up to 60 million flu infections every year in the US.

[SmokingJoe]

333,000 should be 330 million.

[<1/1,000,000th%]

And we still don’t have an accurate test.

[McGruff]

I’m still looking for a chart that shows the Total Deaths to Date. I’ll bet it not even a bell shape as opposed to some of the we’re all gonna die charts posted here.

[Vermont Lt]

If you have ever had cancer, or been around someone with a terminal form...you would know that death is the least of your problems. There are days when it is welcomed.

That aside, people “should not” be afraid of dying of this. They should be concerned with the economic and cultural impact. This is going to scrape the veneer off the rot in our culture.

To date, I am surprised at how pleasant everyone I’ve met on my daily walks. I’ve seen more parents walking to the park with their children. I’ve seen more elders walking together.

I think folks need to get away from the internet and actually observe what is happening.

Two weeks from now, it will be interesting to watch.

[lewislynn]

1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)

Let's put this in perspective for the dolts like the never-Trumper Britt Hume and the rest of FOX News..

68 of 3,680 of 400,000,000

[SmokingJoe]

Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month... Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die

So China (population 1.4 billion) managed to contain total infections at less than 100,000. South Korea, Taiwan and Singapore have all managed to contain infections at very low levels relative to their populations and somehow the US(popultion 330 million) ends up with a massive 214 million infections?
Yeah right!

[bert]

[BushCountry]

You take WA cases out of the equation and the mortality rate in the US is currently at .58%. South Korea which had a lot initial deaths (before any known treatment methods) is holding steady at .91%

Like I said the death rate and inversely the cure rate will be affected by all the wonderful cures on the way.

There are over 90 pharmaceutical companies working on a cure and vaccine, several are showing great progress (not factored into the death rate), Favilavir, Remdesivir, Actemra, REGN3048-3051, blood transfusions from survivors, etc.

The vaccine is close (in human testing). Nobody on the doom and gloom side is looking at all the positive things that happening. The vaccine process will be short circuited and given to the most vulnerable within 6 months.

[SmokingJoe]

If you have ever had cancer, or been around someone with a terminal form...

I have.

you would know that death is the least of your problems.

Ummm..NO!
I was with a very close relative when she passed away from breast cancer at 38. What worried her most WAS death. You see, she happened to have a 5 year old child. that she didn't want to leave behind, AND she did NOT want to die at just 38.
Stop making inane, vacuous statements.

[Mom MD]

the initially high mortality rate came from the u fortunate fact that a cluster of the early cases was in a nursing home. The rate was bound to drop and i agree - if we tested more widely and identified the asymptomatic and minimally symptomatic cases it would drop even more.

[Vermont Lt]

If the ONLY thing that concerns you about life is dying, you must lead a pretty boring life.

And your single experience, while touching, means nothing in the grand scheme of things.

But, worry if you will. You are more likely to slip on your driveway and break a hip than even getting this.

Spend your life cowering, watching Fox News. And if you never go out...you don’t have to wash your hands as much.

[hal ogen]

So true. Panic and/or overreaction as so unbecoming.

[DouglasKC]

For the billionth time it’s NOT the mortality rate that anyone in the know is worried about. It’s the fact that if too many people get too critcally ill at the same time our healthcare system will collapse and THEN the mortality rate will go up for EVERYTHING that requires hospitals and doctors.

[DouglasKC]

Even China, with a population of 1.4 Billion, and medical facilities which are inferior to the US, managed to peak at less than 100,000. How the heck do you get 100,000 infections in the US with a population of only 333,000?

Because they've shutdown their country for the last 3 months..and by the way it's still spreading over there just slower which is the goal.

[hal ogen]

I suppose if you are definitely “going to die” (soon)...there is no reason for panic. You are going to die. People should also remember that we all die eventually one way or another.

[wardaddy]

Did “they” or you bother to look at the rest of the warm world?

This virus has had plenty of time to manifest. In the Southern Hemisphere with the same vengeance

Has it .

The answer is no

You have to stumble and parse and reach to prove it’s the same trajectory in warm weather

It’s simply not

Are you aware of a viral respiratory contagion that prefers warm weather?

Singapore is basically all travelers to infected areas and those who came in close contact with them immediately upon return

India has 117 cases

Northern Italy on the other hand is getting pummeled

[SmokingJoe]

If the ONLY thing that concerns you about life is dying, you must lead a pretty boring life.

When you have cancer at 38, your number concern should be about surviving it so you can get on with your life. No one wants to die at 38 from anything unless you are suicidal.
Plus, this is what I said in my post and I quote “What worried her most WAS death”
Nobody said anything about “the only concern” here. You did.

[Socon-Econ]

Raw mortality rates are useless without (1) adjustment for age and pre-existing conditions and (2) a credible estimate of unreported cases, which are harder to trace than deaths.