Posted on 03/16/2020 7:04:27 AM PDT by Enlightened1
As the number of cases has expanded, the mortality rate has declined. It will likely decline even further if and when those without symptoms can be diagnosed and counted.
US #CoronaVirusDeathRate by date:
4.06% March 8 (22 deaths of 541 cases)
3.69% March 9 (26 of 704)
3.01% March 10 (30 of 994)
2.95% March 11 (38 of 1,295)
2.52% March 12 (42 of 1,695)
2.27% March 13 (49 of 2,247)
1.93% March 14 (57 of 2,954)
1.84% March 15 (68 of 3,680)
(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...
Notice all this hysteria in the media comes after "Russia, Russia, Russia" fails.
Even if we do nothing at all, it will burn out. It always does.
Captain Trips it ain’t.
When this is all over with in months, or a year, or whenever, the CFR won’t be as high as feared.
The problem is that the virus is too infectious and nobody, other than those that contracted it, are immune to it.
So, we have a novel virus that’s spreading like fire in a dry forest, mostly taking down the most vulnerable and elderly. The idea is to slow infections down and allow the system to continue on.
The challenge is doing this without causing panic and allowing the economy to stay somewhat upright.
There are people literally thinking this is World War Z or the attack scene from the 1980’s nuclear war movie, The Day After.
Even Britt doesn’t get the fact that the denominator is unknown.
Also, the death rate is not the issue. It is the infection/sick rate that will shut down the system.
Why is everyone so focused on the death rate? That’s not what is causing them problem.
Warm weather and sunshine....generally halt infection rates. I will say this...you are getting a six-month reprieve and it’ll return by October, if we don’t have a vaccine in public use. But all this hysteria is about to cease in four weeks.
Go look at Wuhan rates....been dropping for several weeks now.
In addition to a higher mortality rate than the seasonal flu, the Wuhan coronavirus puts about 8 percent of patients in ICU which will be an enormous strain on our medical system.
The mortality rates will continue to stay low as long as they slow the spread and hospitals do not get overwhelmed.
BTW, if you were one of the lucky ones to catch covid19 and your respiratory health goes south, you will NOT be having a good time on a respirator, but you will be grateful that there is one available for you.
I agree with the moves taken recently to slow the spread. We do not want to become an italy or iran.
There’s an article questioning if heat drops it. They looked at Singapore.
Because that is where ALL THE HYSTERIA is about.
If we are not going to die, then there is no reason to panic.
False numbers. If you keep adding to the total with new infections it will always look like a low number.
The only way to get true numbers is by the day. EG 100 new cases todau. Follow those hundred to see how many recover and how many of the 100 die.
Also remember that the “recovered” patients often are left with 20 to 30% less lung function.
Impossible to predict just how this disease will progress until you have good statistics on the number infected. It seems to have been around since the beginning of last December, so the number actually infected must be much higher than cases and fatalities currently reported. Given that, its virulence isn’t anywhere near sufficient to justify the irrational response we’ve seen.
We’re told we’re all gonna die!!! Oh well.
This.
We have 100,000 respirators in the U. S.
People with this are in ICU 18 days on average.
What happens when we get past the first 100,000?
Those over 80 will be left to die. Then 70. Then pre-existing conditions.
Doctors will have to decide who lives and dies likely telling folks to just stay home at some point as they did in China, Italy, and Iran.
Well, it's obvious you know nothing about exponential growth. /s
President Trump needs to recognize the hysteria in the media is to hurt the economy and prevent President Trump from being reelected.
Still a very low death rate.
Higher death rates with Cancer, seasonal flu, car wrecks, Combat Vets suicide..... Yet no mass hysteria in the media that wants to bring down the economy to stop President Trump from being reelected.
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He needs much wisdom in this time as he battles both the media and the myth of this virus. Right now he's taking the safe route as far as the election goes because he is doing what the dems like. More government control. If he switches course then the attacks will amp up by 10 fold with any bad news. He is in a very difficult spot but if anyone is up to the task it is President Trump.
Even if we do nothing at all, it will burn out. It always does.
https://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3824207/posts
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/us/coronavirus-deaths-estimate.html
The Worst-Case Estimate for U.S. Coronavirus Deaths
New York Times ^ | March 13, 2020 | Sheri Fink
Posted on 03/13/2020 7:15:22 AM PDT by daniel1212
Officials at the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and epidemic experts from universities around the world conferred last month... Between 160 million and 214 million people in the U.S. could be infected over the course of the epidemic, according to one projection. That could last months or even over a year, with infections concentrated in shorter periods, staggered across time in different communities, experts said. As many as 200,000 to 1.7 million people could die.
And, the calculations based on the C.D.C.’s scenarios suggested, 2.4 million to 21 million people in the U.S. could require hospitalization, potentially crushing the nation’s medical system, which has only about 925,000 staffed hospital beds. Fewer than a tenth of those are for people who are critically ill.
(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...
Yup. For most people its nothing more than a bad cold. Only a few people will find compromised health or death waiting when its run its course.
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