Even Britt doesn’t get the fact that the denominator is unknown.
Also, the death rate is not the issue. It is the infection/sick rate that will shut down the system.
Why is everyone so focused on the death rate? That’s not what is causing them problem.
Because that is where ALL THE HYSTERIA is about.
If we are not going to die, then there is no reason to panic.
We’re told we’re all gonna die!!! Oh well.
It is. Why do you think everyone fears getting cancer?
It is the infection/sick rate that will shut down the system.
Even is we end up getting infected at the same rate as the Chinese, that will make it far less than 100,000 infections. That is a tiny fraction of the up to 60 million flu infections every year in the US.
Ding, ding, ding...
Finally somebody who gets it.
I think Britt probably does understand. It's not that tough a concept. It's just that his semantics are vague. I would think that what Britt really means to say is that he is tracking "the mortality rate up to this point", not the final mortality rate. Obviously, since he is saying that this rate is changing, he fully understands that not all of the denominator data is available.
Also, the death rate is not the issue. It is the infection/sick rate that will shut down the system.
Both the death rate and the real sick rate matter. But the current sick rate is also very inaccurate, because of the low level of available of testing.
Why is everyone so focused on the death rate? That’s not what is causing them problem.
Given the ever increasing rate of testing, the death rate is the best indicator of the rate of change of how many people are getting COVID-19, although it lags by about a week.