Posted on 02/02/2020 12:45:59 PM PST by winoneforthegipper
Harvard epidemiologist and health economist, has warned that the Chinese coronavirus spreading fast throughout the world could turn out to be a major pandemic.
The academic quoted a study showing that the basic reproduction number of the infection (R0) is 3.8. By contrast, the seasonal flu attack in most years only has an R0 of 1.28. The 2009 flu pandemic had an R0 of 1.48 while the catastrophic 1918 Spanish flu that infected 500 million people worldwide had an R0 value of 1.80.
The viral infection A 99% quarantine lockdown containment of Wuhan will not even reduce the epidemics spread by even 1/3rd in the next 2 weeks. Thus, I really hate to be the epidemiologist who has to admit this, but we are potentially faced with possibly an unchecked pandemic that the world has not seen since the 1918 Spanish Influenza. Lets hope it doesnt reach that level but we now live in the modern world with faster (travel) than 1918, Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) said in a series of tweets.
Feigl-Ding also quoted a study by a scientist from the Imperial College of London in which the R0 value is shown to be 2.6, which, while lower than the other study, was still extremely bad, he said. In another series of tweets, Dr. Ding points out that the new coronavirus is an RNA type, meaning that the viruses have RNA as their genetic material rather than DNA. This basically allows the virus to have a high mutation rate, enabling it to change properties quickly.
(Excerpt) Read more at visiontimes.com ...
Ah, the “crew list”... LOL.
;-)
” Kriangsak Attipornwanich.”
Krian-g-sack Anti-porn-watch
How can anyone know the R0 number until they have tested a wide number of people? I mean, lots and lots? General population. Some people may have it with no symptoms, or mild, etc.
I wonder how they know about the flu numbers. I get it every few years and have never gone to doctor or been tested. Do they know from the tested people what the real R0 number is with flu? They seem so sure of themselves.
I am going to believe this is a fake story. To scary so I not want to believe it.
I really pray a lot of folks are hyping this up. The way China is responding with the lock downs really worries me.
However. I have six months of food on hand (getting ready to double it), masks, eye protection, and decon plans. I am prepared to go on lock down in the mountains. Buying seeds and canning supplies now.
I’ve worked with Thai’s.
That actually sounds like a Thai name.
Had a guy called Attiporn (no idea on spelling) who was a great engineer.
Giggled first time I heard his name. He said my name sounds odd to them also.
Yeah, probably not. I have a nose for bullsh8.
I would submit that anyone who isn’t scared sh*tless doesn’t know what’s going on.
I'm quite partial to English/western European names myself, but that is truly an ignorant comment.
Borderline racist, even.
Get a life beyond your political correctness and learn to read.
Your shallow, petulant reply, demonstrates your dearth of character.
It would take an actual set to own up to your disgusting comment. You obviously don't have one.
I’ll pass on this guy’s opinions.
.
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