Posted on 01/26/2020 9:14:37 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Bernie Sanders leads the race for the Democratic nomination in New Hampshire, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire.
Overall, 25% of likely Democratic primary voters back the Vermont senator, with former Vice President Joe Biden (16%), former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg (15%) and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (12%) battling for second place. Behind these four, Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar (6%), Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (5%) and businessman Andrew Yang (5%) make up a third tier of candidates.
Sanders' edge in New Hampshire, a state he won by more than 20 points in the 2016 primaries, comes as polling from CNN and others in Iowa and nationally shows him gaining ground. In New Hampshire, he has edged up 4 points since the last CNN/UNH poll there in October. Warren has slid 6 points in that time. Biden holds about even with his October support and Buttigieg has gained 5 points.
As in polling elsewhere, shifting preferences among liberals have changed the dynamic of the race: Sanders has gained 13 points among liberal likely primary voters in New Hampshire while Warren has dropped 7 points. Sanders now holds a clear lead within that group: 39% back him, 21% Warren. The Vermont senator has also made gains since October among women (rising from 19% to 27%), and among registered Democrats (from 20% to 29%).
And when asked who they think will win the primary in New Hampshire, nearly 40% of likely Democratic primary voters name Sanders (39%).
About half (49%) of likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire say they are still deciding on their choice, outweighing the 3 in 10 who are firm in their choice (31%). Another 20% say they are leaning toward their candidate but haven't yet definitely made up
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
How effed up is that party where a blatant communist is leading the pack? This is all the indoctrinated brain dead millennials who buy into everything he says because they were taught communism is a good thing. They truly believe communism is utopia, everything will be free, everyone will live like the rich if only the government owns and controls everything.
Reagan so far holds the record when he ran against Mondale with Reagan winning every state except Mondales home state of Minnesota. I don’t think that will ever happen again no matter how bad the Rat candidate could be for the simple fact that the Rat/RINO uniparty of treason succeeded in changing the demographics of so many areas by supporting and encouraging 3rd world immigration and illegal immigration. That’s why the Rat/RINO uniparty of treason have been trying with everything they got to remove Trump because foreign invasion is their life blood and they seem him as a huge threat to it.
If Bernie wins Iowa & NH and loses the nomination his voters will be quite angry. It’ll be especially fun to see the media go very negative on Bernie when then sense this is real. That will anger his supporters even more.
Unbelievable. Unlike Eastern Europeans who come here then become fully pro-American and conservative because they know from experience what a hell on earth Communism and Socialism is, the South American, Caribbean, Haitian, Puerto Rican (who NEVER vote for statehood) and Middle Eastern rabbles invade our country, live off the U.S. taxpayer’s dime, then motor-vote for more of the same old sh!t they left their hellholes to escape from, thus nullifying your vote and my vote. Is this a country to die for or what. Break the border or fly in pregnant and push out a sweet little anchor, and guess what you hit the lottery baby.
Skunk Cabbage will have to make a VERY HARD DECISION soon. She risks Bernie now running away with the nomination, on the first round, and the only way to she may actually have to stop him is to get fully behind one of the announced candidates, rather than trying to plot her own path to the nomination by relying on a split-convention and then galloping-in to the rescue, on her white stallion.
It’s an admission that the poll is as accurate as those cheap dimestore bows and arrows sold in the sixties.
What? New Hampshire democrats like vermont sanders? what a surprise!
Entirely too much confidence is being placed in the polls, which summarize imperfectly the emotional, not-well-thought-out responses given to a surprise telephone call at an inopportune moment.
Perfect scenario for Trump. Even the most vengeful NeverTrumpers wont back Bernie in November
I wouldn’t read too much into NH. Biden is on track to easily win NV and SC. Iowa is tight. Bernie winning as a near favorite son in NH will not move the needle. If Obama endorses Biden this race is over.
That an independent is winning the nomination for the Democrat party doesn’t bode well for Democrats.
How so? They are all socialists and everybody knows it.
The Democrat Establishment is in desperate straits - damned if they try to suppress Bernie Sanders, and damned if they don’t. The situation has progressed too far to be easily reversed, without losing huge boatloads of Democrat partisans on one side or the other. There is no possible coalition ticket between the Democrat Socialists and the more moderate Democrats that will satisfy any significant number of unaligned moderate voters they must attract to gain even a close plurality to the Republicans in most venues, as there will be a couple of splinter parties springing up that will take advantage of these schisms in the Democrat party itself.
It could still happen, that Bernie or someone of similar convictions could gain enough advantage to eke out an Electoral College majority, but they have put a huge handicap upon themselves.
Just my (continuing) thought.
The DNC (especially under its SorozNazi Puppetmeister who is approaching his end of life) desperately wants a win.
And, what could be more obvious that they’ve got a super-loser crop of candidates now
So, I think that they’ll come up with a new candidate between now (should be pretty soon) and election day.
Someone who has high public profile, name and image recognition, someone with favorable ratings who has not made an ass of his/herself with foolish or hateful statements against USA, PDJT, etc.
Probably one of the rare sane movie stars (sort of a D version of Ronald Reagan?)... or a well-known sports star (not a-hole K!) or ? Someone who Starts Off with high ratings
I could be wrong. The alternative is the suicide of the D party will continue and culminate with the election loss.
We will see. If this prediction is correct, I think the DNC will have to pull this magical wabbit out of his hat pretty soon! So, we won’t have to wait very long to find out, smile smile
“What is a NeverTrumper?”
For me, Bill Kristol always comes to mind first.
Pauly Ryan might be the quintessential example.
Or not sell any since folks are bored stiff at these proceedings.
Bernie is Red. Very pink
The real issue in NH is who will come out to vote. In 2016 Sanders got 152,193 of 249,587 votes with two major candidates on the ballot (O’Malley was on the ballot, but got about 667 votes).
Donald Trump got 100,735 of 282,974 votes. There were nine major candidates on the ballot.
The population of NH is 1,350,000 so less than half went to the polls. NH is also the third oldest state in the country by median age with Vermont and Maine leading the pack. It is well known that older people come out to vote in primaries and other lesser elections so it is not going to be younguns flocking to the polls. I think the key for the President is to get more people to the polls (even though he is the only major candidate on the ballot) than the democrats get in total.
There are 17 people on the Republican ballot and 33 candidates on the Democrat ballot in NH with every town having the names in different orders.
Registered votes in NH February 9, 2016
Republican 304,654
Democratic 281,208
Undeclared 360,640
Total*** 946,502
Number of undeclared voters declaring a party then voting Republican or Democratic on Pres. Primary Election Day: Reps: 100,678, Dems: 98,198
Number of undeclared voters declaring a party and then voting on Pres. Primary Election Day who returned to undeclared status before leaving the polling place: 140,906
Number of persons who registered to vote at the polling place on Pres. Primary Election Day: 64,464
***This number includes the voters who registered to vote on election day. Typically, 60% of those election-day registrants were already registered but moved and registered to vote in a different town or ward in New Hampshire
Trivia, who came in second in the 2016 NH Republican Primary.
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