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Hurricane Dorian Live Thread
NHC/NOAA ^ | 28 August 2019 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 08/28/2019 1:34:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse

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To: NautiNurse
With the latest projections perhaps I will be live streaming Dorian from Broward County. Yesterday it looked like it would be well north of me but now much closer. In fact one projection (the one furthest south) shows it going right over me.

Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.

281 posted on 08/29/2019 12:45:54 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
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To: NautiNurse
With the latest projections perhaps I will be live streaming Dorian from Broward County. Yesterday it looked like it would be well north of me but now much closer. In fact one projection (the one furthest south) shows it going right over me.

Anyway, if I do live stream, I have a nice birds eye view from my upstairs window.

282 posted on 08/29/2019 12:45:54 PM PDT by PJ-Comix
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To: alancarp

thanks very much makes good sense.


283 posted on 08/29/2019 12:46:17 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Maga: USA supports Trump. Home of the Free because of the brave.)
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To: cll

gotcha still a lot of unpredictableness in these storms.


284 posted on 08/29/2019 12:47:44 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Maga: USA supports Trump. Home of the Free because of the brave.)
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To: NautiNurse

Do the forecasters know what they’re talking about? In the past few days, that storm went quite a bit north of what was predicted. If I were guessing, my guess wouldn’t be that it turns due west for a direct FL hit. But I know nothing, so I’m probably wrong.


285 posted on 08/29/2019 12:49:22 PM PDT by grania ("We're all just pawns in their game")
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To: mbarker12474

navy has a good record down here.


286 posted on 08/29/2019 12:49:47 PM PDT by rodguy911 (Maga: USA supports Trump. Home of the Free because of the brave.)
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To: Waverunner
They're also going to turn it around and put it back in the communities. I've weathered (pun intended) several hurricanes in NW FL, and after every one, Publix had trucked out bottled water and ice from the Jacksonville distribution center and was giving it away. This was before they had a retail presence in the area.
287 posted on 08/29/2019 12:53:58 PM PDT by AF_Blue (My decision-making skills closely resemble those of a squirrel when crossing a road)
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To: All

Take it from somebody used to looking at model guidance, there is no real certainty on this outcome, anything could happen and nothing is off the table (for FL, gulf coast, or southeast US). Can’t blame the forecasters, just too much spread in guidance. Some sort of clarity maybe by Saturday, by which time perhaps a 48h window for response. I wouldn’t advise anyone in FL to wait around, evacuation could be very tricky once the details become more obvious.


288 posted on 08/29/2019 12:56:06 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell (Take the next train to Marxville and I'll meet you at the camp)
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To: Peter ODonnell
Some sort of clarity maybe by Saturday, by which time perhaps a 48h window for response

That's enough time to drive to California.

289 posted on 08/29/2019 12:58:29 PM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: Ingtar

“Time to start convincing my sister to leave her trailer just west of Orlando.”

I have followed the news for deaths and injuries after every hurricane. It seems like trees falling on people and those living in trailers are the most reported.

By the way, I’m sure you know that Governor Abbott of Texas is in a wheelchair. I was curious and researched what happened. He was walking or running outside after a Texas storm when he was 26 years old and in law school. A large tree branch fell on him, and he’s been paralyzed ever since.

Your sister should seek out her nearest hurricane shelter in her town. Take a pillow/blanket/sleeping bag, a little suitcase with clothes, and her meds with her.


290 posted on 08/29/2019 1:02:15 PM PDT by toldyou (Even if the voices aren't real, they have some pretty good ideas.)
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To: securityMama
My cattle farm is in north central Florida, several miles outside a small town call Hawthorne. Where the red X is on this map.


291 posted on 08/29/2019 1:12:08 PM PDT by HotHunt (Been there. Done that.)
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To: SkyPilot

Roger that. Thanks.


292 posted on 08/29/2019 1:13:13 PM PDT by HotHunt (Been there. Done that.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

293 posted on 08/29/2019 1:41:56 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: alancarp

294 posted on 08/29/2019 1:46:16 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: numberonepal

that looks like models are pushing Dorian a wee bit more north of Lake Okeechobee. Do you concur?


295 posted on 08/29/2019 1:46:24 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: abb; abbi_normal_2; aberaussie; abner; AbsoluteGrace; alancarp; Alas Babylon!; Alia; ...
Dorian forecast to intensify during the next couple of days...

Summary Of 500 PM AST...Information
----------------------------------------------
Location...About 330 MI E of the Southeastern Bahamas
Max Sustained Winds...85 MPH...
Moving...NW at 13 MPH...
Minimum Pressure...986 MB...

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 mi.


On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

296 posted on 08/29/2019 1:49:22 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Will trans-Atlantic trains cross over or under the ocean?)
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To: SoFloFreeper

GFS - 99 hrs (Vero Beach)
GFS Legacy - 99 hrs (Jupiter)
CMC - 117 hrs (Jupiter)
NAVGEM - 108 hrs (WPB)
ICON - 108 hrs (Ft Laud)
HWRF - 96 hrs (Melbourne)
HMON - 102 hrs (Miami)
NAM - 84 hrs (WPB)
UKMET - 84 hrs (WPB)
Euro - 144 hrs (WPB)


297 posted on 08/29/2019 1:49:40 PM PDT by numberonepal (WWG1WGA)
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To: NautiNurse

Bttt.

5.56mm


298 posted on 08/29/2019 1:50:17 PM PDT by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP! BUILD THE WALL!)
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To: numberonepal

299 posted on 08/29/2019 1:53:29 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: dirtboy

That one is a nightmare.


300 posted on 08/29/2019 1:57:28 PM PDT by thesearethetimes... (Had I brought Christ with me, the outcome would have been different. Dr.Eric Cunningham)
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