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How Roy Moore Could Actually Win Alabama’s Republican Senate Primary
FiveThirtyEight ^ | Live Blog: Women’s World Cup Jun. 20, 2019 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 06/24/2019 10:19:09 AM PDT by Texan4Life

A large primary field may fragment the vote, making it unlikely that a candidate could win a majority and avoid a runoff and making it easier for Moore to advance to a runoff with only the support of his base.

The point is that Moore does have a path — especially a path to a primary runoff if there’s a crowded GOP field. And if he does get there, he would be only one step away from a rematch with Jones.

Moore would still have a decent chance of winning a general election in conservative Alabama, and that is surely a big part of why he’s running again.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Alabama
KEYWORDS: alabama; marajadetroll; primary; republican; senate
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To: marajade

Trump mistakenly endorsed a corrupt candidate in that race. The voters let him know. You’ve been told that endlessly.


301 posted on 06/24/2019 4:34:06 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

It is accepted though by the executive branch in the U S Constitution whose job is to enforce it.

Who would want to elect someone to write a law when they can’t enforce it?

Moore swore an oath to uphold the law being elected as Chief of the Supreme Court of AL. Moore broke his oath.


302 posted on 06/24/2019 4:34:13 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

And your endorsing a candidate who lost. You’ve been told that repeatedly.


303 posted on 06/24/2019 4:34:45 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: Conserv

That you would lump such anti-American scum with good Conservative Americans shows you are utterly beneath contempt.


304 posted on 06/24/2019 4:35:23 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: marajade
Obviously enough conservative voters like yourself disagreed because he lost.

According to one poll, he was 22 points ahead before the lying kooks made their false accusations which were amplified by the media-weapon system.

The people of Alabama were loving him before the media smeared him as a child molesting rapist.

Just as Kavanaugh was in serious trouble before most of the Republicans in Washington rallied to his defense to combat the media lies being spread about him.

Don't you remember Kavanaugh was involved in gang rapes? Remember that? And you expect us to believe these media liars?

Who spoke up for Moore? Nobody! The Establishment hated him anyways.

305 posted on 06/24/2019 4:38:43 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Whatever.

The point is... they’re all idiots who are prone to stay the most stupid things at any moment.

Moore can’t be trusted to run a smart campaign. It would be one blunder after the other.


306 posted on 06/24/2019 4:38:59 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: marajade
"It is accepted though by the executive branch in the U S Constitution whose job is to enforce it."

It is UNCONSTITUTIONAL as it does not exist in any matter, shape or form in that document. If you had any grasp of reality, ma'am, you would know that.

"Who would want to elect someone to write a law when they can’t enforce it? Moore swore an oath to uphold the law being elected as Chief of the Supreme Court of AL. Moore broke his oath."

I don't recall having elected federal black robed tyrants who willfully ignore the Constitution. Roy Moore WAS elected by the people of Alabama, and it was his sworn duty to uphold both the state and federal Constitutions. He did so.

307 posted on 06/24/2019 4:39:00 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
These comments and questions from the peanut gallery keep getting stupider and stupider, don’t they ?

Yes. It's like they didn't bother to keep up with the situation, and simply believe the crap the media spews about Moore, while understanding full well that the media is always lying about Trump.

308 posted on 06/24/2019 4:40:11 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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To: marajade

Troll, get this: I have NOT endorsed ANYONE in the 2020 AL Senate race presently in it. But, please, keep putting words in my mouth and demonstrating your profound level of ignorance of politics with every successive post. You’re doing such a magnificent job.


309 posted on 06/24/2019 4:41:12 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: DiogenesLamp

The current situation is this: Trump doesn’t want him to run. He lost the last time. And obviously some conservatives found it morally objectionable to vote for him.


310 posted on 06/24/2019 4:42:16 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: DiogenesLamp

It’s not if Moore would blunder. It’s how often.

He would hand the election to Jones on a silver platter.


311 posted on 06/24/2019 4:42:24 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Conserv

No, the only idiots and slanderers here are you and Marajade the Troll. Shame on you both.


312 posted on 06/24/2019 4:42:30 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

You’re calling on him to run. What’s the difference?


313 posted on 06/24/2019 4:43:04 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: marajade
Apparently, enough conservative voters believed her.

When you have prominent Republican Senators like Richard Shelby going on national television and actively urging voters to not vote for Moore, it makes otherwise reasonable people believe Moore must be guilty.

But lets face it. Shelby had no proof at all, and just went along with the media accusations against Moore.

This is what you call prejudging a man without evidence.

The Democrats always defend any scum in their ranks, but we shoot our own people over mere accusations without any proof.

314 posted on 06/24/2019 4:43:29 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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To: DiogenesLamp

They communicate like bots. Same talking points and slander spewage regardless of how many times you enlighten them on facts.


315 posted on 06/24/2019 4:43:47 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

I’ve been here since 1999. I was banned for awhile for supporting McCain in the Presidential race. Go figure! So now I am considered a troll because I believe Trump is right when he says he wishes Moore shouldn’t run. I’m done!


316 posted on 06/24/2019 4:44:49 PM PDT by marajade (Skywalker)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

lol. Your desperation is telling.


317 posted on 06/24/2019 4:45:06 PM PDT by Conserv
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To: Conserv
Did You graduate West Point? Did you serve as an officer in a combat region of Vietnam? Did you put yourself through law school, and then have a 40 year scandal free career as a Judge?

Did you have the guts to challenge a Federal dictator Judge? Twice?

318 posted on 06/24/2019 4:45:36 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no o<ither sovereignty.")
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To: Lazamataz
You have to read my comment closely.

Erdogan Disagrees. [:-)

I get you point.

319 posted on 06/24/2019 4:46:13 PM PDT by itsahoot (Welcome to the New USA where Islam is a religion of peace and Christianity is a mental disorder.)
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To: marajade

Lord Almighty, how is there enough oxygen getting to your brain for you to walk upright ?

I am NOT calling on him to run. What I’m doing is not letting you trolling liars get away with sliming a good, Christian man who loves his country with that filth, ignorance and garbage you have the audacity to spew forth here.


320 posted on 06/24/2019 4:46:46 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Who will think of the gerbils ? Just say no to Buttgiggity !)
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