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Will Joe Biden's Long Career Help or Hurt?
Townhall.com ^ | May 3, 2019 | Michael Barone

Posted on 05/03/2019 4:48:36 AM PDT by Kaslin

Joe Biden has been around a long time. He was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 1972, at age 29 (he reached the Constitution's required age of 30 before taking office in January 1973). No one in the current Senate was there then; the current senior-most House member only arrived there after a special election two months later. Few other Americans have had such long-lasting prominent political careers: John Quincy Adams, Andrew Jackson and Henry Clay in the 19th century, arguably; Claude Pepper and Strom Thurmond in the 20th.

Biden's poll numbers shot up after his announcement, by video and in person in Pittsburgh. The three most recent polls show him averaging 33 percent, way ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (16 percent), Sen. Elizabeth Warren (10 percent), Mayor Pete Buttigieg (8 percent) and Sen. Kamala Harris (7 percent). Biden seems to run strongest among those over 45 (who turn out more regularly than those younger) and in the Midwest (where Hillary Clinton lost 50 critical electoral votes, which the Obama-Biden ticket won twice).

Is Biden's long career a help or hindrance? His 36 years in the Senate gave him experience dealing with multiple issues and seeing how positions he's taken have fared over the years. His eight years as vice president gave him the personal exposure to the White House and executive branch that few candidates, in our often dysfunctional presidential nominating system, possess.

His earlier presidential runs, in 1988 and 2008, went nowhere. But he's much better known now, more than any other Democrat. On the other hand, his past stands and votes could be politically hazardous in a Democratic Party whose tweeters demand absolute political correctness according to standards that can change by the hour.

I first interviewed Biden, by phone, in May 1972, when he was a long-shot Democratic nominee against a Republican senator who had held statewide office for 26 years, in the year when George McGovern ended up losing to Richard Nixon by a 61-to-38 percent margin. Biden was a long-shot candidate who got some favorable press after hiring the late Pat Caddell, McGovern's pollster, some weeks later.

But it was clear to me that Biden, then a New Castle County Council member, had perfect political pitch. He argued that the 63-year-old incumbent, who was reluctant to run, should be given an honorable retirement, while he was young and eager to do the job.

Delaware is a small state geographically, with only 550,000 people then and 960,000 now, where citizens expect to meet their officeholders, not just at rallies but at the supermarket and the mall, in local restaurants and movie theaters. It's a state where campaign winners and losers together appear at a small town Return Day parade two days after the election. Biden's touchy-feely campaigning, his obviously genuine friendliness, worked for him in 1972 -- when he won by 3,162 votes -- and in multiple elections afterward.

Delaware was then a political bellwether, resembling the nation as a whole, up through the year 2000. Its Democratic percentage for president was within 4 points of the national average from 1968 to 1996, and its percentage for third-party candidates even closer. It voted 13 percent for George Wallace in 1968, within a point of his national average, with the two downstate counties giving him 18 percent.

So Biden, who regularly rode the Amtrak to Wilmington, got constant in-person tutoring in national politics from his constituents in Delaware. That accounts for some stands Democrats are attacking him for now but that were popular nationally then -- opposition to school busing in the 1970s, tough anti-crime laws in the 1980s and 1990s, his vote for the Iraq war in 2002.

Delaware is no longer a national bellwether. Affluent suburbanites across the country started trending Democratic in the late 1990s, and with most Delaware votes cast in affluent New Castle County suburbs, the state has been safely Democratic since 2000. This may help account for Biden's announcement video that features the 2017 violence in Charlottesville and (a distorted version of) President Donald Trump's comments on it.

That leaves conspicuously open the questions of how Biden will try to clinch the Democratic nomination and how he would govern as president; whether his long history will prove an asset or a liability; and whether he will cruise to nomination and election or stumble from a not-uncharacteristic gaffe. Will he end up like Andrew Jackson, who ran three times and won twice, or like Henry Clay, who ran three times and lost all three?


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: politics

1 posted on 05/03/2019 4:48:36 AM PDT by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Joe Biden’s long career, especially in the Traitorobama kakistocracy, only adds to the crimes for which he should be indicted, tried, convicted, and sentenced to hang for giving aid and comfort to the enemy.


2 posted on 05/03/2019 4:51:52 AM PDT by Carl Vehse
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To: Kaslin


IS THIS A TRICK QUESTION?

What's GOOD about Biden's loooong gov't career?

3 posted on 05/03/2019 4:52:25 AM PDT by onyx
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To: Kaslin

If one is a fellow child predator, biden’s the, um...man.


4 posted on 05/03/2019 4:56:56 AM PDT by onedoug
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To: Kaslin

Spygate is going to take Biden down. He’s toast.


5 posted on 05/03/2019 4:57:02 AM PDT by upsdriver (WWG1WGA)
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To: Kaslin

Delaware.....never been there. Must be a dump if this drip is there favorite son.


6 posted on 05/03/2019 5:00:23 AM PDT by Bonemaker (invictus maneo)
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To: All
In a 1993 speech, Biden used racist-type language that is coming back to haunt the 2020 wannabe:
Biden described a "cadre of young people (he means Black people), tens of thousands of them, born out of wedlock,
without parents, without supervision, without any structure, without any conscience ... because they literally have not been socialized....
Biden said if we dont focus on them now a portion of them, will become the predators 15 years from now."

Biden was echoing the Clintons-----then-Pres Bill signed into law stiffer penalties for inner city criminals.......
Hillary took to the mic to burnish her ambitions, and stupidly called the black criminals "super-predators."
"We have to bring them to heel," Hillary insisted.

Black protesters showed up at her 2016 campaign events, reminding her of her choice of words to describe them.


7 posted on 05/03/2019 5:10:24 AM PDT by Liz ( Our side has 8 trillion bullets; the other side doesn't know which bathroom to use.)
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To: Kaslin

This will be Biden’s third bite at the apple. What will convince voters about him now, that wouldn’t in ‘88?


8 posted on 05/03/2019 5:17:47 AM PDT by Poison Pill
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To: Kaslin

The Leftist democrats are in search of the electable anti-Trump. If they pretend to turn moderate, they will be seen as ratifying Trump initiatives, so they have boxed themselves in.

They do not have a magical personality on the bench that would enable them to evade real issues like Obama did. Obama promoted syrupy moralism to trick Americans into voting for him to prove they were worthy of him.


9 posted on 05/03/2019 5:18:48 AM PDT by odawg
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To: Kaslin

He’s firing on 7 cylinders at most.


10 posted on 05/03/2019 5:23:15 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Kaslin

“Will Joe Biden’s Long Career Help or Hurt?”

It will help Trump and hurt the gaff machine, sleepy Joe.


11 posted on 05/03/2019 5:43:20 AM PDT by Beagle8U (It's not whether you win or lose, it's how you place the blame.)
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To: Bonemaker

I have a Brother-in-law that attends the same church as Biden. Even there he isn’t well liked. They skip church if he is going to be there.


12 posted on 05/03/2019 5:48:30 AM PDT by Beagle8U (It's not whether you win or lose, it's how you place the blame.)
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To: upsdriver
Spygate is going to take Biden down. He’s toast.

Yup. The AOC acolytes are firmly convinced that it's THEIR party now. They are not going to let the old guard that SCROOOOOOOD Bernie last time come back up for air.


13 posted on 05/03/2019 5:50:09 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Kaslin

Joe Biden should be in prison...ROTTING IN PRISON. Let’s examine why today...

https://usdebtclock.org

Sorry kids...I took none of that for you...AND GIVE THEM YOUR MONEY.


14 posted on 05/03/2019 6:16:09 AM PDT by PGalt
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To: Kaslin

To avoid ruining the family name even more, he should have just faded away.


15 posted on 05/03/2019 6:40:13 AM PDT by bgill (when you badmouth women, you are badmouthing your mama and the good women on FR)
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