Posted on 11/06/2018 10:14:22 AM PST by bort
Election Day turnout in Democrat areas is low.
Is this true ?
Please let DeSantis pull out the win for Florida’s Governorship and fire Nelson form the US Senate...and local R’s to win as well...will know tonight or tomorrow am, hopefully no recounts or too close to call races, DEMs will win those....
I’m looking forward to it. I’m in CA, so I don’t even have to stay up late to watch the lamentations start tonight (I hope)... and I have my own popcorn machine :-)
the 100’ limit on campaign activity is generally measured from the sign-in desk. parking lots and waiting lines are usually fair game.
11 am??? In a Democrat district???? Pfft...they’re just rolling over. Check back around 3.
This relates directly to the very negligent performance of the Democrat officials, school officials and law enforcement in relation to the Parkland school shooting.
Voters were outraged at the lack of oversight in the wake of the horrific shooting.
You can’t buy enough political ads to paper over that kind of malfeasance.
Democrats need to be prepared to slit their wrists and jump off the bridge if FL should go south for them.
Since there i only one ballot that every voter gets how would anyone know how one voted today until polls close?
AH!!!!!!!!!!!!
When did the Heat Miser become black?
BUT
THE
POLLS
ARE
STILL
OPEN
UNTIL
7PM EST/ 7PM CST
TIME....
DON’T
FORGET
THE
DEMS
ALWAYS
WAIT
TO
LATER
IN
THE
DAY
TO
FIGURE
OUT
ANY-
WAY
TO
CHEAT
AND
STEAL/SEAL
THE
ELECTION
IN
THEIR
FAVOR!!!!!
SEE
HOW
I’M
POSTING
NEED
CALMING
MEDS
!!!!
BTW, I am convinced the polls are way off. Putting aside the internal biases of methodologies I think 2 factors the pollsters haven’t adjusted for are 1) GOP voters that won’t tell the truth (they will lie or decline to state) for reasons such as being called racist or general angst about being assaulted by crazy lefties and 2) the polls are self-selecting - it only polls people who are willing to talk to pollsters.
I think there may be something like 2%-3% GOP voters who wont tell the truth, and another 2% or so bias from self-selection. It’s just a hunch but I think there is a slight edge that GOP voters won’t even talk to pollsters.
If I am right, that alone erases most margins of errors.
Then there are all the other problems will the methodology, the biggest ones being that the pollsters wrongly presume that Is break more to the left than they actually vote, and that they get their demographic turnout predictions wrong. I saw a clip of Carl Rove saying that among 18-34 year olds this group is trailing by about 1.5% points lower in EV than they were in 2016.
If I am right about these the 3 stats, it is possible that every poll showing a D lead could be inverted in the final analysis. There is reason to be hopeful. Polls are only as good as the analysis of the data and the assumptions made. I know you know it but so many people don’t realize that pollsters censor some of the results they get to fit their demographic turnout model. If their model doesn’t hold true the whole exercise is useless. I am cautiously optimistic.
LOL...I’ll buy it for a dollar apiece if it keeps the hipsters away!
Since when Broward country needs people to show up? They just press a key and votes come out the other end.
in most parts of the country, the D’s don’t have anyone decent worth voting for
so they don’t bother wasting their time
(besides, if the commie/nazi DNC types need any votes, they just rig the machines or stuff the ballot boxes..so there’s no need for D people to waste their time voting...when you think about it, this is quite a nice courtesy for D’s... smile smile smile)
If this was the Blue Wave, Democrats would set a record turnout.
They could still make it happen... later.
1:45 pm (Kartik Krishnaiyer): My attempts to get hard data from Palm Beach County are thus far bearing little fruit. But my sources on the ground tell me turnout is steady in Republican-leaning precincts. If this trend continues it mirrors what happened in the county in both 2014 and 2016 when VBM/EV went overwhelmingly Democratic but Election Day became much closer to 50-50.
What Carville said was, If Scott wins democrats should throw up and go to bed.
I think FL is going to come down to black turnout. Miami, panhandle, etc. If blacks are all wee=wee’d up and turn out it could be a problem. Hoping for the best. I expect it will be close.
From 2016, worth watching again!!
The *INCREDIBLE* moment CNN realizes Trump will WIN FLORIDA!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VL67D9hoUdk
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