Posted on 11/06/2018 6:12:19 AM PST by SpeedyInTexas
Totals for Florida early vote.
Absentee Ballot (VBM) - REPs lead by 63,496
In-Person Early Voting - DEMs lead by 85,849
Combined Early voting - DEMs lead by 22,353
At this same time in 2016: DEMs lead of 96,450
Numbers represent ballots cast by party registration.
Ballots have not been counted yet.
FROM YOUR LIPS TO GOD’S EARS!!!
OH, how wonderful that would be. Gnashing of teeth and wailing!!
Please do not count your money at the table.
lol
Please do not count your money at the table.
Yes that’s what I’m seeing too. Pasco has picked up the pace here in the past few minutes. Reps are now at 54.8% of the Registered R’s in the county. Most of the other counties are at 60% or higher (for R turnout only) in the Red counties.
Bay should pick up too but we need to monitor.
Is it possible to add columns especially for comparing individual R, D, I turnout relative to 2016 (where available) ?
For example, in Duval, you currently are with 20,431 R votes, 17,097 D votes, 7,837 I votes. In 2016 that was 56,556, 51,397, and 28,334 respectively. The overall turnout is 33% of 2016, but the new columns I would like to see would say R - 36%, D - 33%, I - 27%, which helps to see the individual party performance relative to 2016.
I think I got you covered?
Columns N, O and P show R/D/I turnout as percentages in 2016
Columns V, W and X show R/D/I turnout as percentages in 2018
Let me know if you had something else in mind!
I think they want column R/J for R/D/I to see how the raw party votes in 2018 compares to 2016.
What I’m looking for is R, S, T divided by columns J, K, L respectively. The three wouldn’t necessarily add up to 100%...
Bay and Santa Rosa are going to sink us if they don’t start producing. While Bay has the hurricane issue, Santa Rosa is west of Okaloosa which is 15 points ahead of Santa Rosa.
I see the new columns! You’re my hero!
Ran into a lifelong Republican at CVS here in Boca this morning. He said he voted straight
Democrat for the first time in his life. Hope these cross-overs are few and far between.
Rep turnout in Pinellas now at 61.5%.
A full 68.5% of all Reps in Lee County (Red) have voted. Countywide turnout up to 58.0%.
Just an observation. The highest EV+Mail over performer for Dems was Duval county at +3% vs 2016.
ED voting for Duval is R+3.6% and D -0.3%
On the other hand, EV+Mail for Citrus was R+3.2% vs 2016.
ED voting for Citrus is R+6.4% and D -2.5%
I don’t know how to quantify cannibalization of ED votes by EV, but this seems to me to point towards that possibility.
That’s pretty interesting
At least in your example, Duval Dems have cannibalized.
Yet in Citrus, Citrus Reps have not cannibalized.
BTW, we are catching up to the Dems in Duval.
Publisher of FloridaPolitics.com tweeted out:
“As of 1:26 p.m., in the counties reporting in real-time (see previous tweets for list, mostly Dem strongholds):
GOP has a 122,073 #ElectionDay ballot lead (+12.13). Overall, turnout is GOP +1.68 with an 104,472 ballot lead.”
He also tweeted “TOP TAKEAWAY: Republicans are voting on Election Day. “
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