Posted on 11/01/2018 2:09:56 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
bookmark
Moving our way.
And Trump is appearing in numerous battleground states through Tuesday.
He definitely knows what he’s doing.
but .. but...
Win this election and we actually may have a chance, lose it and we’re screwed. Screwed really hard because worms like Mrs Clinton and that Bolshevik bombshell from the Bronx will be our “rulers”
How do we know the Drudge headlines of 40 seats added to Dem victory or GOP leads in early voting is the right one?
Like really good for you to eat whole grains or dangerously bad to eat whole grains-—with doctors on both sides.
#RocksAreGuns
Drudge hates Trump they want him to fail..I treat Drudge like I do CNN, fake news!
I big part of 538 Nate Silver’s model is based on turnout projections..in fact I would say it’s the biggest part of his model. He is projecting a 7-8 point Democrat edge in his general ballot.
If you take out NY, CA and IL, that 2 point margin in early voting opens up wide in favor of Republicans.
NBC doing their part to get Dems to the polls
10 seconds.................
Well, if that is the case, democrats better be very very concerned. This from Wiki: "The elections saw sweeping gains by the Republican Party in the Senate, House, and in numerous gubernatorial, state, and local races. The Republicans gained control of the Senate for the first time since 2006, and increased their majority in the House"
So, we increase our #'s in the Senate (which seems like a given) and we keep the house and perhaps pick up seats. This would take the left-wing over the edge.
Trump is correct to lay the responsibility of losses in the house at Ryan’s feet. Ryan has been nothing but a boil on the POTUS’ rear and has done nothing to support his policies. Trump, OTOH has gone pedal to the metal campaigning for republicans. Good thing Ryan is leaving, he’s been worthless.
Don’t bother trying to drill down into the individual districts. The sample contains 1350 likely voters across the 69 districts, which works out to just under twenty voters per district.
- -
OK. In other words, the polling is statistical noise.
Well the projection of Democrat seats is based on the same polling that assumes a “Blue wave”. Democrat party id has fallen from the same time period in 2016. So the assumed samples can not be right. If anything they are worse than the ones in 2016. Democrats led GOP in party id at the beginning of the year by +10 and now by +2. They lead by +5 in 2016. They are in a much worse position going into this election and these early vote numbers appear to confirm this.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
I can’t say too much.
But ppl are gonna be shocked at how some of these races don’t go the Ds way.
If you think they are crazy now, wait til Nov. 7.
Dems in worse shape than bogus headline of 40 seats to gain in coming victory.
Thanks. I really needed that. As each of us here goes on the steepest part of the roller coaster we need someone to say it’s okay.
The other bad part of the election amusement park is the terrifying ghoul image gallery of Maxine,Pelosi and Schiff as the Congressional power brokers of the future. Scarier than horror movies by far.
Get every good person you know to vote. 62,979,636 legally voted for Trump in 2016. Let’s all do it one more time in 2018.
He is also assuming that blacks will show up big, and vote 95% Dem...
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.