Posted on 10/16/2018 5:27:51 PM PDT by hattend
All that sounds about right.
Thanks for detailed analysis. So Sara is no saint after all. I knew Alaska was being fuxated a few years back when Anchorage (I think) passed a smoking ban.
Her signs are still up everywhere!
Lynn Gattis lost badly in the primary due to her soft on crime SB91 vote.
OK, so my fear of Walker and Begich becoming a joint ticket didn’t come to fruition. But now Gov. Walker has “dropped out” of the election (although his name presumably will remain on the ballot) and endorsed Begich. What a crummy little weasel. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3698212/posts
Hopefully enough Walker voters will come to their senses and vote for Dunleavy, or else stay home.
wonder what. did he call a Native woman a “Klooch?” otherwise, I can’t think of what he could have said...
His name will stay on the ballot but this is bad news that makes it a competitive race again.
It would be a shame if Begich ends up winning cause a member of his own filthy party (Byron Mallett) tried to pick up a 16 year old chick.
It sounds though like Walker was thinking about bailing for a while. He’s a very good little DEMOCRAT (and some farticle had the nerve to call him a “conservatie” LOL), willing to reward Begich even though Begich is the reason his reelection chances disappeared.
Walker was about the most unpopular Governor in the nation. He was not going to be reelected, even in a one-on-one race with whatever Republican was nominated (so Begich was taking a guaranteed loss for Walker and making it wider). The presumption that every voter for Walker will go for Begich is no guarantee, either. It’s like trying to merge the voters in the NM Senate race if either Rich or Johnson dropped out and endorsed the other against the Dem who is under 50%, a decent chunk of either group won’t support that other person.
If I had to venture a guess, perhaps 75-80% of Walker’s voters go to Begich and the remainder to Dunleavy or someone else or none at all. Dunleavy still wins. Begich would need probably 90%+ in order to eke out a plurality win as he did in 2008 for Senator against Ted Stevens (and that due to the deception of voters believing Stevens was a crook).
AK Survey Research removed Walker from the equation in the past month and did a head-to-head matchup of Begich vs. Dunleavy, and Dunleavy was last leading 52-45%. Count on some voters still voting for Walker, too, since his name will still be on the ballot, and that again will be at the expense of Begich.
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