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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: Repeal The 17th

Here’s some footage from Destin.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kj7uan2Vn-c


1,061 posted on 10/12/2018 2:05:34 PM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: The Westerner

My friends found their parents and they were ok. They made the treck down there last night, With big truck, a lot of supplies and chainsaws.


1,062 posted on 10/12/2018 2:36:14 PM PDT by LilFarmer
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To: kristinn

Wow. That’s impressive.

I’m beginning to get pretty concerned about these 200 plus missing people. By now I would expect they would have been heard from if they’d gone to shelters, or seen waving by helicopters overhead.


1,063 posted on 10/12/2018 2:46:25 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: kristinn

Wow! 170 mph gusts...Great find, kristinn.


1,064 posted on 10/12/2018 2:50:35 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: SE Mom

I read this morning that search and rescue were still working to get access into the most heavily damaged areas.


1,065 posted on 10/12/2018 2:55:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: Repeal The 17th; abb; NautiNurse

Sorry about freepmailing instead of a regular posting. I’m working on another person’s computer and clicked the wrong tab. Oops.


1,066 posted on 10/12/2018 3:01:11 PM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: Jacquerie

LOL!


1,067 posted on 10/12/2018 3:02:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse

Just catching up on today, thanks NN! I just read they’re beginning to find bodies but did not give a number. If they cancelled the mobile morgue they’re probably thinking some were washed out to sea.

I know evacuating is stressful, and I’m as much a rebel as my libertarian friends when being told what to do by the government, but damn, if I lived on the beach or nearby, I would evacuate. Wind is bad, but storm surge is rarely survivable if in the path.


1,068 posted on 10/12/2018 3:09:09 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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To: abb

Destin looks good, beach beautiful. It was nice to watch a tame video.


1,069 posted on 10/12/2018 3:10:03 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse; Repeal The 17th

The people walking in the vid are likely among the knuckleheads who rode out the storm.

As for looters, the area is accessible by boat of which there is no local shortage. I hope a couple are found dead a few days from now.


1,070 posted on 10/12/2018 3:13:07 PM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: SE Mom
FNC reported moments ago from Mexico Beach. First reported fatality today. Another woman known to be riding out the storm is still missing.

Separately, another woman previously reported missing--her home a crumbled pile of cinder blocks and some floor tile. A portion of her ceiling fan and more tile was found up the road. No update on her fate.

1,071 posted on 10/12/2018 3:17:17 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: SE Mom; mewzilla
More info by the numbers...

Source msn.com

The Coast Guard has rescued 129 people and one animal, and
helped transport 142 nursing home patients to safe haven at
Pensacola hospital. The Coast Guard deployed 17 cutters, nine
fixed-wing and 24 rotary-wing aircraft for search and rescue,
and to assess damage.

The Coast Guard continues to assess damage in Bay and Gulf
counties, and urged residents not to board partially sunken
vessels without assistance. The ports in Pensacola and Cedar
Key reopened. But Panama City port remained closed in
Florida, and ports in Wilmington and Morehead City, North
Carolina remained shuttered Friday.

The Red Cross has 1,000 trained disaster personnel heading to
the area. The Salvation Army has 48 mobile feeding kitchens,
which can each provide 1,500 meals per day.


1,072 posted on 10/12/2018 3:25:44 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: SE Mom; mewzilla
Source NY Times
16 Deaths in a Vast Trail of Destruction

Some of the hardest-hit communities have yet to report any fatalities, and although officials said they hoped they would find survivors, a resigned gloom was setting in throughout the disaster zone.

At a news conference Friday afternoon in Marianna, Fla., Sheriff Lou Roberts confirmed three storm-related deaths in Jackson County.

The authorities in Virginia said five people had died, including several who had drowned and a firefighter who was responding to an emergency call. Two other people were feared dead.

Four deaths occurred in Gadsden County, west of Tallahassee, according to Lt. Anglie Hightower, a spokeswoman for the sheriff’s office. The victims included a man who died when a tree crashed down on his home in GreensbNorth Carolina officials reported two more deaths on Friday, raising the death toll there to three. The authorites said a man and a woman had died in McDowell County when their car struck a large tree that had fallen in a road.

At least 1.5 million customers were without electricity in states stretching from Florida to Virginia.

Many health institutions in Florida remained closed, including four hospitals, 13 nursing homes and 14 assisted living facilities, according to information distributed at a senior federal leadership briefing on Friday and shared with The New York Times. The figures were slightly higher than those distributed by Florida’s Agency for Health Care Administration. Several dialysis centers were also closed.


1,073 posted on 10/12/2018 3:34:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: kristinn

“Tyndall AFB update. About those missing wind speed reports, via Luis Martinez with ABC News via Twitter:
I just spoke with Colonel in charge of 821st Crisis Response Group that’s arrived at Tyndall. “There’s a lot of devastation here” Colonel said base leadership that stayed during the storm reported 150 mph sustained winds w/ 170 mph gusts”

Thank you, Kristinn!

Gusts up to 170 mph at Tyndall AFB - Cat 5?


1,074 posted on 10/12/2018 4:15:26 PM PDT by The Westerner (Protect the most vulnerable: get the government out of medicine and education!)
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To: The Westerner; NautiNurse; dirtboy; SE Mom

The threshold is 157 MPH sustained winds for a Category 5. There will be further analysis to make a final determination. I saw one storm chaser on scene estimate a peak strength of 160 MPH sustained winds and pressure of 918 MB.


1,075 posted on 10/12/2018 4:46:57 PM PDT by kristinn (Serving ten to life in paradise)
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To: kristinn; NautiNurse

Must-read Twitter feed from a Hurricane Hunter pilot:

https://twitter.com/Jason_Disharoon?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1050182691147186176&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdisqus.com%2Fembed%2Fcomments%2F%3Fbase%3Ddefault%26f%3Dwund%26t_i%3Dwww%252Fcat6%252FDangerous-Rapidly-Intensifying-Landfalling-Hurricanes-Michael-and-Harvey-May-Grow-More-Common%26t_u%3Dhttps%253A%252F%252Fwww.wunderground.com%252Fcat6%252FDangerous-Rapidly-Intensifying-Landfalling-Hurricanes-Michael-and-Harvey-May-Grow-More-Common%26t_e%3DDangerous%2520Rapidly%2520Intensifying%2520Landfalling%2520Hurricanes%2520Like%2520Michael%2520and%2520Harvey%2520May%2520Grow%2520More%2520Common%2520by%2520Dr.%2520Jeff%2520Masters%2520%257C%2520Category%25206%26t_d%3DDangerous%2520Rapidly%2520Intensifying%2520Landfalling%2520Hurricanes%2520Like%2520Michael%2520and%2520Harvey%2520May%2520Grow%2520More%2520Common%26t_t%3DDangerous%2520Rapidly%2520Intensifying%2520Landfalling%2520Hurricanes%2520Like%2520Michael%2520and%2520Harvey%2520May%2520Grow%2520More%2520Common%2520by%2520Dr.%2520Jeff%2520Masters%2520%257C%2520Category%25206%26s_o%3Ddefault%23version%3D91b68efe0df1ae8547330866c3e10b29


1,076 posted on 10/12/2018 4:51:51 PM PDT by dirtboy
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To: SE Mom

I didn’t hesitate to tell my GD to get the heck out of Dodge. She was already planning to fly to NM for the weekend but the tickets were for Wed. evening and when she couldn’t get an earlier flight, we told her to drive.


1,077 posted on 10/12/2018 4:52:09 PM PDT by tiki
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To: kristinn; The Westerner

Agree. For reference, Hurricane Andrew (1992) was officially recorded as Category 5 ten years later following extensive analysis. Those of us who witnessed the devastation first-hand knew it was Cat. 5 shortly after the storm passed.


1,078 posted on 10/12/2018 4:53:12 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: dirtboy

OMG—one of the pilots said it was the worst he had flown in 18 years as a hurricane hunter. Yowser. When a HH says “we got our clocks cleaned,” you know it was a frightful experience flying through the eyewall.


1,079 posted on 10/12/2018 5:03:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: kristinn; NautiNurse

@ReedTimmerAccu
2m
MEXICO BEACH: helicopter v. ground survey of catastrophic storm surge damage from Hurricane #Michael. By far the worst devastation I have ever seen in 22 years of storm chasing.

Thanks so much for your pings/updates. Reed Timmer has been around the block..he’s got some incredible videos from his Twitter feed and YouTube!


1,080 posted on 10/12/2018 5:15:02 PM PDT by SE Mom (Screaming Eagle mom)
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