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Major Hurricane Michael Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 9 October 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 10/09/2018 4:49:06 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Major Hurricane Michael is churning toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast. Florida Governor Rick Scott declared a state of emergency Monday for 35 counties with mandatory coastal evacuations in the FL Panhandle. 1,250 National Guard troops are aiding the process and more than 4,000 more placed on standby.

FEMA is already on the ground in Florida; other federal agencies are also preparing to assist people in the storm's path.

Alabama Gov. Kay Ivey on Monday declared a state of emergency for the entire state. Georgia Governor Nathan Deal issued a state of emergency for 92 counties ahead of Hurricane Michael landfall.

Meanwhile, Tallahassee city government (Andrew Gillum, Mayor & D'Rat FL Gubernatorial candidate) offices are "closed until further notice." Tallahassee International Airport ‏is suspending commercial flight activity as 12:01 a.m. ET on Wednesday but expects to resume activity on Thursday.

The U.S. military moved its aircraft from the Panhandle on Monday. Roughly 50 F-22 stealth fighter jets — valued around $150 million each — have been relocated from the Tyndall Air Force Base, while the U.S. Navy said it is moving all its training aircraft from Pensacola.

Energy Production The Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) on Tuesday estimated that around 726 MMcf/d (28.4%) of natural gas production and 670,831 b/d (39.5%) of oil production in the GOM had been shut in ahead of the storm.

As of midday Tuesday, 75 platforms and three rigs had been evacuated, while eight dynamically positioned rigs had been moved out of the storm’s path as a precaution, according to BSEE.

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Channels

Public Advisories

NHC Discussions


NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Key West FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar New Orleans, LA
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Mobile AL/Pensacola FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Panama City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tallahassee, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Tampa Bay, FL

Hurricane Michael Thread I


TOPICS: Breaking News; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: gorebullwarming; hurricane; hurricanemichael; localnews; michael; nautinurse; tropical
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To: commish
Hurricane Michael Death Toll Rises to 11 Overnight Source: Weather Channel
1,041 posted on 10/12/2018 5:17:32 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: LilFarmer

Thank you for the NOAA link. Looking at the realtime Sat Data really brings the level of destruction home.


1,042 posted on 10/12/2018 5:20:49 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: NautiNurse
Unfortunately I think the death toll may well top 100-200, although I truly pray the missing are just unable to let anyone know they are ok.

Maybe the National Guard should hand out Obama phones? ;-)

1,043 posted on 10/12/2018 5:22:42 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: NautiNurse
ALL - I need to make an apology and Mea Culpa for some things I said during the Hurricane Florence thread.

Like Reno, I ripped the press for the Over-hyping and hyperventilating about Florence when it was Obvious the storm was going to be significantly weakened well before landfall.

We all knew that the flooding inland was going to be horrific, but it was also obvious the coast was not going to be scoured clean.

My worry then was that the press proclaims every storm the STORM OF THE MILLENIA!!!!, and that people would begin to ignore the warnings and become complacent.

Hurricane Michael has thrown that to the wind (no pun intended), and has shown quite clearly that while a vast majority of storms historically have weakened and been nowhere near the monster predicted -- there will always be the ONE! And this time Micheal was the ONE!

So, we need to learn to put up with the Sheppard Smiths of the world wetting themselves in anticipation, put up with Anderson Cooper kneeling in puddles and live with Jim Cantore holding on to Stop signs -- because while 99 out of 100 storms may not live up to the hype, there will always be the next ONE!

1,044 posted on 10/12/2018 5:30:59 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: NautiNurse

I’ve been able to find very little up-to-date info on how assisted living, skilled nursing facilities in the affected areas in FL have made out. I saw that some residents have been evacuated to sister facilities, some to AL. Any word on if residents were adequately protected?


1,045 posted on 10/12/2018 5:31:38 AM PDT by mewzilla (Has the FBI been spying on members of Congress?)
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To: commish

I have a rule of thumb: See what Joe Bastardi says. He had Michael pegged from the get-go. :-)


1,046 posted on 10/12/2018 5:33:58 AM PDT by mewzilla (Has the FBI been spying on members of Congress?)
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To: mewzilla

Exactly.


1,047 posted on 10/12/2018 5:52:19 AM PDT by glock rocks (... so much win!)
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To: commish

There is growing concern for the fate of an estimated 250-280 people in the Mexico Beach area who chose not to evacuate. Ham operaters are working with cell phone towers destroyed.


1,048 posted on 10/12/2018 5:55:05 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: NautiNurse

I saw that. Hopefully most are found safe. Last report I saw says NG has only found approx. 25 people alive during initial sweeps.


1,049 posted on 10/12/2018 6:26:55 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: Jacquerie; LilFarmer

This is a good searchable current aerial map view of the area.
You can look for your place here.

https://storms.ngs.noaa.gov/storms/michael/index.html

Ping to:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3695142/posts?page=1031#1031

w/ thanks to LilFarmer


1,050 posted on 10/12/2018 8:03:51 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th
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To: Repeal The 17th

Yes, they’re pretty good. I’m able to rest a little easier.


1,051 posted on 10/12/2018 8:08:59 AM PDT by Jacquerie (ArticleVBlog.com)
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To: mewzilla
Source: NY Times October 11
Emergency officials rushed to evacuate patients from storm-damaged hospitals. Five hospitals, five nursing homes and fifteen assisted-living facilities had reported complete evacuations to the state by Thursday afternoon. Four more hospitals and five more nursing homes said they were planning evacuations, and one additional hospital evacuation was underway.

1,052 posted on 10/12/2018 8:16:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse (Two-door Ford suffered unrepairable damage after a head-on collision with facts & truth.)
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To: Jacquerie

Cape San Blas to be called “San Blas Island” in the future?


1,053 posted on 10/12/2018 8:33:32 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th
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To: Repeal The 17th

It does look like the peninsula was cut through at about halfway. Road is completely washed out.


1,054 posted on 10/12/2018 8:55:01 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks! I hadn’t seen that!

Found a couple more articles on what these facilities were supposed to do. None on current status.


1,055 posted on 10/12/2018 9:06:36 AM PDT by mewzilla (Has the FBI been spying on members of Congress?)
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To: NautiNurse; dirtboy
Tyndall AFB update. About those missing wind speed reports, via Luis Martinez with ABC News via Twitter:

I just spoke with Colonel in charge of 821st Crisis Response Group that's arrived at Tyndall. "There's a lot of devastation here" Colonel said base leadership that stayed during the storm reported 150 mph sustained winds w/ 170 mph gusts

1,056 posted on 10/12/2018 11:24:47 AM PDT by kristinn (Serving ten to life in paradise)
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To: NautiNurse

From Schooners, one of the more popular hangouts on PC Beach.

https://www.facebook.com/SchoonersPCB/

Schooners
5 hrs ·

Thank you for your concern!

SO MANY HAVE REACHED OUT TO ASK HOW WE FARED IN THE STORM. WE ARE HAPPY TO REPORT SCHOONERS EXPERIENCED ONLY SLIGHT DAMAGE AND WE WILL REOPEN AS SOON AS WE CLEAN UP AND POWER IS RESTORED.


1,057 posted on 10/12/2018 11:34:08 AM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: kristinn

That should stifle the downcasters ... but I doubt it will.


1,058 posted on 10/12/2018 11:40:02 AM PDT by dirtboy
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To: Repeal The 17th

Here’s a helicopter view of the Cape San Blas cut. Looks like they’ll have to bridge it in the future.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RFH03tlntTQ


1,059 posted on 10/12/2018 1:28:50 PM PDT by abb ("News reporting is too important to be left to the journalists." Walter Abbott (1950 -))
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To: abb; Jacquerie

Jacquerie,
Did you see this?
Can you see your house?
The road is torn to shreds and the water lines are ripped out.


1,060 posted on 10/12/2018 1:58:48 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th
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