New York Times Polling in Real Time: 2018 Midterms

New York Times ^

[TigerClaws]

Polling in Real Time: The 2018 Midterm Elections (Results at link(

[TigerClaws]

Looking good fur us. No blue wave in sight.

[TigerClaws]

Competitive Open Seats

District

Kan. 2 L. Jenkins (R) R+18 Lean Rep.
Minn. 8 R. Nolan (D) R+16 Tossup
Minn. 1 T. Walz (D) R+15 Tossup
Mich. 11 D. Trott (R) R+4 Tossup
N.J. 11 R. Frelinghuysen (R) R+1 Tossup
Wash. 8 D. Reichert (R) D+3 Tossup
Calif. 39 E. Royce (R) D+9 Tossup
N.J. 2 F. LoBiondo (R) R+5 Lean Dem.
N.H. 1 C. Shea-Porter (D) R+2 Lean Dem.
Nev. 3 J. Rosen (D) R+1 Lean Dem.
Pa. 7* C. Dent (R) D+1 Lean Dem.
Ariz. 2 M. McSally (R) D+5 Lean Dem.
Nev. 4 R. Kihuen (D) D+5 Lean Dem.
Calif. 49 D. Issa (R) D+8 Lean Dem.
Fla. 27 I. Ros-Lehtinen (R) D+20 Lean Dem.

[Repeal 16-17]

I never trust polls, but I hope this one is correct. Liberals will be screaming and crying on Election Night, like they did in 2016.

[Sa-teef]

It's the New York Slimes. How well did their polling do in November 2016?

If they tell me it is raining I'll want a second, unbiased opinion.

[TigerClaws]

I agree polls are abused by the left to spin opinion. But these show Republicans winning a majority of these seats.

The TN Senate seat was +14 for the Republican when they suspended polling.

I think we will pick up seats in the House and Senate.

[RooRoobird20]

At this point in the 2016 election cycle, the Slimes was predicting a Kankles historic landslide over DJT.

Bwah hah hah hah!!!!

[peggybac]

Yikes, Kansas 3 is really blue. Don’t trust the poll but there have been a lot of libs moving into my hood.

[princess leah]

I just don’t get how they can say Az leans dem? Trump won AZ back in 2016 when again they were trying to say that Hillary might just turn AZ Blue....pollsters are either lying or projecting!

[Theoria]

They are doing the calls themselves. It is interesting. The Senate polling looks interesting. They have numbers indicating higher Republican numbers that I've seen.

They also admit as of now, they haven't put in enough calls.

Nevada R Heller 48% D Rosen 45%

Texas R Cruz 54% D Robert Francis O'Rourke 42%

Tenn R Blackburn 54% D Bredesen 40%

[datricker]

This appears to be an interesting poll. Real time and tracking along with geo-location very nice use of technology. I like the tracking polls I figure even if there is a bias I can see the trend - guestimating the bias and using the trend works pretty well in terms of predicting the outcome. Scanning through these polls I’m more confident the republicans hold the house.

[JennysCool]

The media’s “Blue Wave” seems a lot like the media’s “Arab Spring.”

[Repeal 16-17]

The media’s “Blue Wave” seems a lot like the media’s “Arab Spring.”

Don't forget Hillary's Landslide.

[thoughtomator]

> If they tell me it is raining I’ll want a second, unbiased opinion.

If NYT tells you it’s raining, it means they’re pissing on you.

[Mozzafiato]

On election night 2016 the NY Times election predictive results page was the best thing going. They were the earliest to spot the good night for Trump and predicted a Trump win long before the TV networks caught up. Their algorithms were outstanding and made for a fun night.

[Fungi]

Why post this crap?

[snarkytart]

On election night 2016 the NY Times election predictive results page was the best thing going. They were the earliest to spot the good night for Trump and predicted a Trump win long before the TV networks caught up. Their algorithms were outstanding and made for a fun night.
/
/

Yes. They were using live votes coming in and what votes were still out. It was dead accurate.

[editor-surveyor]

.
BS!

[pepsionice]

The key theme to Arab Spring....was social media.

There was also an attempt to create a Russian Spring (fall 2011 Parliament election and spring 2012 Presidential election). That kinda failed in a miserable way as well.

I would even suggest that ‘Macron Spring’ was a social media play that worked well and actually delivered the change planned.

But here now? The Blue Wave and social media? A doomed failure.

[laplata]

On election night 2016 the NY Times election predictive results page was the best thing going. They were the earliest to spot the good night for Trump and predicted a Trump win long before the TV networks caught up. Their algorithms were outstanding and made for a fun night.

><

I agree. It was fun to watch that meter. They really did do a good job with that.

[Sa-teef]

"If NYT tells you it’s raining, it means they’re pissing on you."

Yup.

The overconfidence in 2016 depressed DemonRat turnout in some locations I think? They are learning and this is a rallying cry to the Blue faithful to get out and vote.

Interesting to talk about I guess but don't trust these ba#tards. Nothing they do is honestly in the public good. NYT always has a left leaning agenda and treat any news, good or bad, as propaganda to advance their progressive goal.