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Hurricane Florence Live Thread II
NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

Posted on 09/12/2018 1:53:29 PM PDT by NautiNurse

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence Isaac Invest 95L
No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L
at publication deadline

Florence Public Advisory Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence Buoy/Observations near Isaac Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I



TOPICS: Breaking News; Extended News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; US: North Carolina; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: braking; florence; hurricane; hurricaneflorence; hurricaneflorenceii; isaac; nautinurse; tropical
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To: NautiNurse

Up here in western Pa. noted yesterday odd cloud formations while on the deck...Florences reach is far!


741 posted on 09/16/2018 8:53:28 AM PDT by caww
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To: All

Parts of I-95 closed in North Carolina.

https://www.navbug.com/traffic_conditions_on/north_carolina/i-95.htm


742 posted on 09/16/2018 12:27:00 PM PDT by Darnright (We live in interesting times.)
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To: NautiNurse; All
Whooops ~ watch out for the Critters !
743 posted on 09/16/2018 2:54:21 PM PDT by PraiseTheLord ( .Q.)
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To: Darnright

That definitely puts a kink in North/South transportation.


744 posted on 09/16/2018 3:22:57 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse
New Hanover County (Wilmington) Brunswick Co. (Leland) and Pender Co. are closed to any incoming or outgoing traffic. They have been bringing in supplies by helicopter. Various EMT, power line trucks and the Cajun Navy were there before roads were shut down. This is per a family member in Brunswick Co.
745 posted on 09/16/2018 3:33:34 PM PDT by Oorang (Tyranny thrives where government need not fear the wrath of an armed people - Alex Kozinski)
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To: PraiseTheLord

WILMINGTON, N.C. (AP) — Catastrophic flooding from Florence spread across the Carolinas on Sunday, with roads to Wilmington cut off by the epic deluge and muddy river water swamping entire neighborhoods miles inland. “The risk to life is rising with the angry waters,” Gov. Roy Cooper declared as the storm’s death toll climbed to 17.

The storm continued to crawl westward, dumping more than 30 inches (75 centimeters) of rain in spots since Friday, and fears of historic flooding grew. Tens of thousands were ordered evacuated from communities along the state’s steadily rising rivers — with the Cape Fear, Little River, Lumber, Waccamaw and Pee Dee rivers all projected to burst their banks.

In Wilmington , with roads leading in and out of the city underwater and streams still swelling upward, residents waited for hours outside stores and restaurants for basic necessities like water. Police guarded the door of one store, and only 10 people were allowed inside at a time.

Woody White, chairman of the board of commissioners of New Hanover County, said officials were planning for food and water to be flown into the coastal city of nearly 120,000 people.

“Our roads are flooded,” he said. “There is no access to Wilmington.”


746 posted on 09/16/2018 5:56:13 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: All

Here is an article on the status of the beaches ...

‘Beach by beach: How the Carolina coast is faring after Florence’

https://www.google.com/amp/amp.charlotteobserver.com/news/state/north-carolina/article218496495.html


747 posted on 09/16/2018 6:18:37 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: PraiseTheLord

Preliminary rainfall totals from NOAA collection locations as measured from Thursday through 5 p.m. Sunday:
North Carolina

Swansboro: 33.89

Hoffman Forest: 29.48

Sunny Point: 27.44

Newport/Morehead City: 25.20

Emerald Isle: 23.66

Cedar Point: 21.73

Croatan: 21.70

Bolivia: 21.59

Lumberton: 21.51
South Carolina

Marion: 18.13

Carolina Sand Hills: 16.44

Chesterfield: 16.06

Jefferson: 15.68

Loris: 12.18

Conway: 10.10

Pawley’s Island: 10.08

Read more here: https://www.newsobserver.com/news/state/north-carolina/article218446410.html#storylink=cpy


748 posted on 09/16/2018 6:37:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Do not make me pay Ferrari prices for Chevy Vega health insurance.)
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To: NautiNurse

Look for a major slowdown in shipping, due to interstate closures.

We may also experience a significant rise in prices.


749 posted on 09/17/2018 9:47:01 AM PDT by Darnright (We live in interesting times.)
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To: Admin Moderator

Just wanted to belatedly say thanks!

Too bad the software doesn’t allow the equivalent of a “sticky”, or at least a “temporary sticky” that mods could assign...

Hopefully this situation will continue to wind down, now.


750 posted on 09/17/2018 12:32:07 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: Paul R.

I should add to my last post that obviously the worst is yet to come for quite a few people... Continued prayers are needed!


751 posted on 09/17/2018 12:36:37 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: Paul R.

https://www.richmond.com/news/local/education/richmond-area-schools-sheltered-in-place-because-of-tornado-warning/article_2c310ea3-346a-535b-8158-2aa746174626.amp.html?__twitter_impression=true


752 posted on 09/17/2018 1:16:27 PM PDT by Darnright (We live in interesting times.)
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To: Paul R.; NautiNurse; caww

Yes, the storm is off the front pages now, but its effects will last for months if not years.

I heard today that there are 1500 roads flooded in NC. That’s an unbelievable total and the rivers, most of them, in the Southeastern NC have not even reached flood stage yet.

It’s the water. The winds were not that bad mostly. But the water is the killer.

I hope people will not forget this tragedy....the prayers are definitely still needed.

Thanks for these threads, by the way, NN.


753 posted on 09/17/2018 5:56:38 PM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: Freedom'sWorthIt

I actually heard 1600 roads are flooded (on local news this evening.)

Some rivers have crested (depending on location), some are yet to crest, as you say. For example(s):

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=ilm&gage=cpfn7

and

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=ilm&gage=stpn7

(note however that these projected crests are not records)

vs.

https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?
wfo=chs&gage=jams1

All in all, though, it’s some rough stuff...


754 posted on 09/17/2018 7:15:38 PM PDT by Paul R.
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To: Paul R.

Thanks for the links. Yes it is - rough stuff!


755 posted on 09/18/2018 5:29:07 AM PDT by Freedom'sWorthIt
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To: NautiNurse

Road closures in North Carolina:

https://tims.ncdot.gov/tims/


756 posted on 09/19/2018 8:32:48 AM PDT by jeffers
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