Hurricane Florence Live Thread II

NHC/NOAA ^ | 12 September 2018 | NHC/NOAA

[NautiNurse]

The National Hurricane Center has been issuing advisories for Hurricane Florence since August 30. The five day "Cone of Uncertainty" archive progression since Aug. 30 may be found here. As the super-size storm named Florence approached the U.S. Atlantic Coast, stories abound of people who are refusing to evacuate barrier islands.

The 82nd Airborne has relocated all of its assets, while FEMA is using Fort Bragg as a major staging area for post-storm supplies, including meals, water and cots. Fort Jackson (Columbia SC) has cancelled events including basic training graduation to prepare for military and civilian evacuees from coastal locations.

While hurricane preparations are rushed to completion, some stores are closing for lack of hurricane supplies inventory. Smart phone app Gas Buddy provides updates for gasoline availability along evacuation routes.

Wave heights to 83 ft. were recorded while Hurricane Florence churned 435 miles from Wilmington, NC. Storm surge is predicted to reach 6-13 ft along the coastline to the N of landfall. Steering currents are forecast to collapse at or near landfall, resulting in Florence meandering for days. This is expected to result in up to 40 inches of rainfall in isolated areas in the Carolinas, and up to a foot of rain in the Appalachian Mountains.

Tropical Storm Isaac: The government of France has issued Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches for the Lesser Antilles.

Invest 95L: The National Hurricane Center predicts 70% chance of development in the Gulf of Mexico. Limited forecast models, satellite graphics and GOM buoy info are available for Invest 95L below.

Mash the graphics below to enlarge. All links and images are self-updating.

Hurricane Florence	Isaac	Invest 95L
		No Forecast Cone for Invest 95L at publication deadline
Florence Public Advisory	Isaac Public Advisory
Florence Forecast Discussion	Isaac Forecast Discussion
Buoy/Observations near Florence	Buoy/Observations near Isaac	Buoys Western GOM

National Data Buoy Center

Local Weather:
Norfolk VA
Morehead City NC
Raleigh NC
Fayetteville NC
Wilmington NC
Charleston SC/Savannah GA
Jacksonville FL
San Juan PR

Hurricane Florence & Isaac Thread I

[NautiNurse]

Florence just inland near Cape Fear...creeping at 3 mph...

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued north of Duck, NC,
including the Chesapeake Bay south of New Point Comfort.

The Hurricane Warning has been changed to a Tropical Storm Warning
from Duck, NC, south to Bogue Inlet, including the Albemarle Sound.

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM Advisory...
----------------------------------------------
About 20 MI...SW of Wilmington NC
About 55 MI...ENE of Myrtle Beach SC
Maximum Sustained Winds...80 MPH
Present Movement...WSW at 3 MPH
Minimum Central Pressure...958 MB...

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195
miles.

On/Off Hurricane List Mash Here-->

[little jeremiah]

Thanks to all for local news!

[Freedom'sWorthIt]

That site shows 20,000 customers without power in my county, Wake County (*near Raleigh).

So far the winds and rain have been bad but power is still on here.

[jeffers]

24 hour dual polarization derived (KDP/ZDR) Rainfall Estimate:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/us/south-carolina/weather-radar-24hr

Current radar:



Since midnight, 5 mph on course 369.2 degrees(due west). In the last hour, 9.5 mph on course 306 degrees.

[PeteB570]

My beach ARLO cam is WiFi and I get the message that the base is off line.

Duke is showing no outage in the greater Shalotte area so I’m hoping just the cable/internet is down.

https://www.duke-energy.com/outages/current-outages

[dirtboy]

[NautiNurse]

Two weather guys at WCTI 12 in New Bern were forced off-air during their broadcast due to flooding. They were the last to leave the building.

WCTI evacuation with photos

[NautiNurse]

Can't see VA, NC, SC, PA, DE, MD, DC, NY, NJ, RI, MA...

Would be easier to say I can see ME, VT, NH and GA, FL. Nothing in between.

[jeffers]

No standing water is visible outside the TV station...did they like...check the roof for leaks?

:-)

[Paul R.]

I finally got back (to FR) and am wondering why an ongoing serious situation like this falls off the (or at least my) sidebar?

[dirtboy]

[Admin Moderator]

I finally got back (to FR) and am wondering why an ongoing serious situation like this falls off the (or at least my) sidebar?

Other items get added and it eventually drops off. I added it to the Breaking News sidebar and it's at the top there now.

[NautiNurse]

The Courtyard Marriott in New Bern gets an unusual visitor...

[NautiNurse]

Thank you!

[dirtboy]

New Bern was in a very bad configuration for surge, and now it looks like it will be in a very heavy feeder band for hours. And the current wind direction will keep any water from being able to drain out for probably 12 hours or so.

[waterhill]

These are from the Arlo system you talked about? You mentioned them here and on a thread I had about security cameras.

[NautiNurse]

Ha! Good catch.

[alancarp]

According to this tweet, the Atlantic Beach pier has been reduced to a handful of pilings.

[alancarp]

(The ‘Oceana Fishing pier’ specifically... Atlantic Beach has multiple piers like this, IIRC)

[dirtboy]