Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Bill Mitchell: Here is the new "game" pollsters are playing. Instead of blatantly oversampling...
Twitter ^ | 4 August 2018 | Bill Mitchell

Posted on 08/04/2018 10:04:11 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel

Bill Mitchell:

I am one of the foremost polling experts on Twitter.

Here is the new "game" pollsters are playing. Instead of blatantly oversampling Democrats, they WILDLY over-sample Independents then claim Independents oppose Trump 2:1.

A complete lie.

Independents LOVE Trump.

(Excerpt) Read more at twitter.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; 2018polls; 4thestate5thcolumn; biasmeanslayoffs; clickbait; deceit; dncstrategy; enemedia; ministryoftruth
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-42 next last
To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Twitter is just so much BS.

Every time I go there I am wait listed or “Twitter is taking to load. Try again later”

Idiotic communications platform


21 posted on 08/05/2018 12:14:12 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZGw2M)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Sorry, Twitter is taking too long to load

Again...


22 posted on 08/05/2018 12:15:09 AM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZGw2M)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Electric Graffiti
"Has he prosecuted anyone in the sanctuary cities or states for harboring illegal aliens? It’s a felony. No? Then it’s not true.

Sessions is worthless on every front. A deep-state compromised rat bastard."

-------------

Agreed.

Clear evidence for all the folks who still wish to call Sessions something other than a traitor to Our President.

23 posted on 08/05/2018 12:30:20 AM PDT by Sa-teef
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

There hasn’t been a fair poll in over 40 years since the democrats learned how to manipulate them. Everyone should do themselves, and everyone else a favor and ignore polls and pollsters.


24 posted on 08/05/2018 12:48:31 AM PDT by Bullish (My tagline is here. you just can't see it.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Burma Jones

Lib pollsters say Indies go against Trump by 2-1.

Mitchell says Indies go for Trump.

Mitchell is saying that the claim that Indies go against Trump is hogwash and that it’s the new method of poll-lying.


25 posted on 08/05/2018 1:06:27 AM PDT by Principled (No one will conquer America, from within or without, until its citizenry are disarmed.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Electric Graffiti

Has he prosecuted anyone in the sanctuary cities or states for harboring illegal aliens?
**********************************************
That’s one of my big complaints against Sessions, too!

He should be directing the arrest and prosecution of those aiding, harboring and hiring illegal aliens. He should begin with some high profile folks and that will intimidate those of lower profile.


26 posted on 08/05/2018 1:29:30 AM PDT by octex
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: Vendome

What are you using for internet a modem? lol

I never have issues with Twitter loading, but Twitter posts are definitely a big load of BS.


27 posted on 08/05/2018 2:02:33 AM PDT by snarkytart
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Burma Jones

My guess is that Democrats are claiming to be Independents.


28 posted on 08/05/2018 5:08:21 AM PDT by scrabblehack
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Vendome

You were right the first time.


29 posted on 08/05/2018 5:30:14 AM PDT by burroak
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Vendome

Sorry, I mistook the “to” to be an “a”.


30 posted on 08/05/2018 5:32:30 AM PDT by burroak
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Bill Mitchell was grounded, focused and accurate, something much needed during the 2016 campaign. He kept me sane during the dark days as the corrupt media tried to depress those of us opposed to the thought of a Hillary presidency. Mr. Mitchell knows his stuff. He’s a twitter must follow.


31 posted on 08/05/2018 5:37:51 AM PDT by islander-11
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CaptainK

I have ignored twenty or more polls. They only call my business land line, which I reserve for business.


32 posted on 08/05/2018 5:41:25 AM PDT by MortMan (The white board is a remarkable invention.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: 867V309
Who audits polling?

We, The People.

With a little help from our Russian friends. /xsarcasm

33 posted on 08/05/2018 5:52:31 AM PDT by HangThemHigh (Entropy is not what it used to be.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Electric Graffiti

Generally, I respect Mitchell’s take on all things President Trump.

However, I don’t know how he can continue to give the worst AG in our country’s history the benefit of the doubt.

Sessions is so awful that I swear he must have voted for Crooked Hillary because he certainly has no allegiance whatsoever to the man who appointed him to his dream job.


34 posted on 08/05/2018 5:57:11 AM PDT by edie1960
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Burma Jones

Simple. It’s because they aren’t really independents.


35 posted on 08/05/2018 6:01:21 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60's....You weren't really there)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: kiryandil

FWIW, Mitchell blocked both me and Richard Baris on Twitter because we both called him out. He literally steals stuff, posts it as his own.

Last year, he had Baris (People’s Pundit Daily) on his show many times, then would run out and post exactly what Baris told him without any reference to PPD.


36 posted on 08/05/2018 6:15:48 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Vendome

Well, unfortunately, it IS the breaking news platform of our day. Anything that happens anywhere in the world is immediately out on Twitter.

Rush, Hannity-—many of these guys are weeks or even months behind info that is readily available on twitter.


37 posted on 08/05/2018 6:17:47 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Burma Jones

The pollsters are trying to get Trump supporters to stay home and not vote. They are trying to make it look like Trump’s re-election is futile, so why bother voting? Just let Kamala Harris be president in 2020.

But Trump has his base fired up. People are going to be voting for Trump in record numbers. He is going to win in a landslide. But that won’t stop the commie Rat pollsters from trying to overthrow him.


38 posted on 08/05/2018 6:36:16 AM PDT by Freedom_Is_Not_Free (End the Mueller Gestapo now. Free the Donald.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: LS
FWIW, when I started getting anxious on Election Day 2016 around 6 pm, I remembered to go to your FR posts and your Twitter feed.    smiling face

Didn't know Bill was a "poll pirate".

39 posted on 08/05/2018 6:54:27 AM PDT by kiryandil (Never pick a fight with an angry beehive)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Why polls are so often wrong:

When pollsters call and get no answer, or a hangup, they just move on. Instead, and for statistical accuracy, they MUST treat these calls as part of the sample with the replies as “unknown”. This would of course force them to use MUCH larger samples to obtain the same margin of error (statistical confidence). But they just skip them as if they hadn’t occurred.

If they included the actual sample size, and counted the hangups / no answers among the sample, their margins of error would be more like +/- 10% instead of +/- 3%


40 posted on 08/05/2018 7:51:10 AM PDT by motor_racer (If you don't read the news, you are uninformed. If you read the news, you are misinformed.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-42 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson